Business Strategy & Outlook
F5, a leader in application delivery controllers, or ADCs, market sells to enterprises, service providers, and government entities. More than half of F5’s revenue comes from selling support and maintenance services for its products. Mission-critical ADCs manage the uptime, delivery, and security of applications and network traffic flow. Growth in public cloud-based workloads caused a decline in the on-premises ADC hardware required and shifted ADC demand to software-based solutions. F5 was slow to embrace cloud-based workloads as it perilously defended its incumbent offerings, but a revamped management team properly pivoted F5’s focus toward software and cloud-based products as growth catalysts to supplement its legacy hardware dominance, and the firm is set to thrive.
With 90% of its development team dedicated to software, F5’s roadmap is focused on virtual instances of ADCs, stand-alone application security products, and products and services for multi-cloud application control. IT teams may rely on the large public cloud vendors for traffic management within their respective clouds, but F5 helps control the traffic between on-premises, private, and public clouds and has enterprise rich features. As one of the leaders in the ADC market, F5 will likely remain the go-to provider of solutions for their customers’ cloud ecosystems due to product familiarity, customization features, application and network level management, security-focus, and an active developer community. The criticality of applications for organizations and the importance of a positive application experience for consumers are boons for F5. The complexity of managing application traffic will increase as disparate devices spread beyond the data center while requiring lower latency, larger data workloads, and protection from a growing quantity of security threat vectors. F5’s consolidated approach for application and networking traffic flow across the entire network will remain in strong demand as businesses expand their creation and consumption of applications and data.
Financial Strengths
F5 is a financially sound firm. The company has solidly generated strong free cash flow, possesses a war chest of cash, and has no debt on its books. At the end of fiscal 2021, F5 possessed $911 million in cash and cash equivalents versus $369 million in debt. F5 could pursue possible acquisitions, potentially targeting software and cloud-based application delivery, management, and analytics technologies. F5 has a solid track record of repurchasing shares and expects to return half of its free cash flow to investors via share buybacks starting in fiscal 2023. The company has never paid a dividend, and F5 is not expected to pay one in the current forecast. With its strong balance sheet and free cash generation, F5 is expected to continue bolting on acquisitions in areas that support application delivery and security.
Bulls Say
- F5’s leading install base could make it the first choice for customers pursuing the high growth areas of software and cloud-based solutions for application and traffic management.
- A strong brand coupled a very sticky services businesses may ward off potential open source or lower cost software-based threats. F5 has key technology alliances with networking and data center providers.
- Data proliferation and complexities through 5G and Internet of Things offers strong growth possibilities as customers may require a seasoned application delivery vendor.
Company Description
F5 is a market leader in the application delivery controller market. The company sells products for networking traffic, security, and policy management. Its products ensure applications are safely routed in efficient manners within on-premises data centers and across cloud environments. More than half of its revenue is based on providing services, and its three customer verticals are enterprises, service providers, and government entities. The Seattle-based firm was incorporated in 1996 and generates sales globally.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.
Business Strategy & Outlook
A confluence of several issues–poor relative active investment performance, the growth and acceptance of low-cost index-based products, and the expanding power of the retail-advised channel–has made it increasingly difficult for asset managers running predominantly active portfolios to generate organic growth, leaving them more dependent on market gains to drive assets under management higher. While there will always be room for active management, the advantage when it comes to getting placement on platforms will go to asset managers with greater scale, established brands, solid long-term performance, and reasonable fees.
With $687.0 billion in managed assets at the end of May 2022, AllianceBernstein has the size and scale necessary to be competitive in the asset-management industry and is structurally set up to hold on to assets regardless of market conditions, being diversified across its three main asset class segments: equities (44% of managed assets), fixed income (40%), and other investments (made up of the firm’s asset allocation services and certain other alternative investments) accounting for the remainder. However, this has not always translated into solid organic growth or above-average profitability, with AllianceBernstein’s adjusted GAAP operating margins of 23.4% on average during 2017-21 being well below the group average of 30%. During the past five (10) calendar years, AllianceBernstein’s organic AUM growth rate averaged positive 1.9% (positive 0.2%) with a standard deviation of 2.7% (2.9%). Even though the industry is anticipated to continue to face stiff headwinds, the firm is envisioned to produce organic AUM growth in a 0% to positive 2% range annually during 2022-26. However, revenue growth and operating margins will still be affected by industry fee compression and the need for more traditional asset managers like AB to spend more to enhance investment performance and product distribution.
Financial Strengths
AllianceBernstein is structured as a limited partnership, required to pay out essentially all of its available cash flows as dividends to unitholders (but allowing it to be taxed at a significantly lower rate than most corporations). The firm has traditionally managed a fairly conservative capital structure. This does not place the company at a competitive disadvantage relative to its peers, though, because most asset managers tend to carry little to no debt on their balance sheets. At the end of the March quarter, AB had $850 million in debt (tied primarily to its commercial paper program) and $1.1 billion in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents on its books.
The company maintains an $800 million revolving credit facility expiring September 2023, used primarily as backup liquidity for AB’s commercial paper program, and a $900 million committed unsecured senior credit facility with Equitable Holdings, which can be used for AB’s general business purposes (and where AB had $850 million outstanding at the end of March 2022 with an interest rate of approximately 0.3%). While the company’s structure as a limited partnership does limit the amount of capital that AB can allocate to other purposes, the firm does generally hold more cash than debt on its books, which along with substantial liquid investments and solid operational cash flows should enable AB to make investments in other assets/businesses from time to time.
Bulls Say
- With nearly half of its AUM invested internationally, and 43% of managed assets sourced from non-U.S. domiciled clients, AB is one of the more global asset managers.
- AB had $10 billion in its institutional pipeline at the end of March 2022, as well as a commitment from Equitable to invest $10 billion in the firm’s buildout of its private alternatives and private placements offerings.
- Despite rising rates in the first quarter, AB’s bond fund performance held up with 64%, 72%, and 71% outperforming their benchmarks on a 1-, 3- and 5-year basis, respectively, at the end of the period.
Company Description
AllianceBernstein provides investment management services to institutional (45% of assets under management), retail (39%), and private (16%) clients through products that includes mutual funds, hedge funds, and separately managed accounts. At the end of May 2022, AB had $687.0 billion in managed assets, composed primarily of fixed-income (40% of AUM) and equity (44%) strategies, with other investments (made up of asset allocation services and certain other alternative investments) accounting for the remainder. The company also provides sell-side research and brokerage services through its Sanford Bernstein subsidiary.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.
Business Strategy & Outlook
Arista Networks has solidified its market presence through data center switching and software-based networking innovation, and customers are anticipated to remain loyal to the firm’s Extensible Operating System software and peripheral products. Arista’s initial growth came from high-frequency trading firms that found value in its low-latency switches and EOS. By remaining at the forefront of switching and routing speeds, Arista became a key networking supplier to giant cloud operators, service providers, and enterprises. EOS’ novelty lies in its single software image that provides a consolidated view of device activity from end to end and its ability to centrally upgrade the entire network. EOS contains leading software-defined networking features while remaining intuitive and fully programmable. Additional software offerings like CloudVision expand functionality and interoperability across networks. Arista uses merchant silicon for its hardware, which allows the company to focus on its core competencies.
Arista works closely with its core customers to optimize their networking ecosystems, which can strengthen its customer switching costs. To expand its customer base beyond the data centers of hyperscale cloud providers, enterprises, service providers, and financial institutions, Arista entered into the campus market. The adjacent move is due to requests from existing customers desiring one software platform across networking locations, and Arista has bolstered its clout with wireless and security capabilities. Even with current customer concentration risk, it is noted that Arista is impressively growing alongside key customers and that new ventures have expanded from core competencies. Arista is well positioned as a pioneer in the new age of software-defined networking and will continue to be a leader in next-generation switches and routers.
Financial Strengths
Arista is in a financially healthy position; its zero debt balance and $3.4 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of the end of 2021 provide flexibility for the future. With no stated plans to return capital to shareholders, the company’s investment plan is fixated on developing products and expanding sales. The company’s financial health will remain stable and cash could be deployed for growth via bolt-on products or technologies.
Bulls Say
- Demand for EOS continuity across networks should proliferate Arista’s installation base. Installation base growth causes new customers to consider Arista during upgrades.
- Arista has been a first mover on its path to rapid profitable growth. Upcoming industry disruptions that Arista may lead include 400 GB Ethernet switching and campus market splines.
- Instead of relying on partnerships to plug portfolio gaps, Arista might be able to make accretive acquisitions in adjacent markets that could catalyze growth in areas such as analytics, access points, and security.
Company Description
Arista Networks is a software and hardware provider for the networking solutions sector. Operating as one business unit, software, switching, and router products are targeted for high-performance networking applications, while service revenue comes from technical support. Customer markets include data centers, enterprises, service providers, and campuses. The company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California, and generates most of its revenue in the Americas. It also sells into Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.
Business Strategy & Outlook:
Tyro Payments provides merchants with the required infrastructure to accept electronic payments, as well as business banking products. It is the fifth-largest merchant acquirer in Australia by terminals, behind the major four banks. The firm mainly caters to small to medium-size enterprises in the hospitality, retail and health sectors. It is also expanding into adjacent verticals like trade, accommodation and services. Tyro is rapidly capturing the Australian card payments market–especially from smaller nonbank merchant acquirers–with 4.4% share in December 2021 versus 1.6% in fiscal 2016. Its value proposition is to address merchant friction points, rather than being a generic merchant acquirer. Tyro’s solutions are easily integrated, accept a broad range of payment types, and come with a multitude of ancillary features. These features can be industry-specific (for example remote payments and bill-splitting for restaurants) or available to all (for example online gateways for e-commerce payments or least-cost routing). The intention is to embed its solutions into a merchant’s ecosystem to limit switching; and allow Tyro to cross-sell other products like business loans.
Tyro acquires merchants mainly via digital marketing and referrals from its point-of-sale system partners. Prospective merchant acquiring partnerships with other institutions—such as its alliances with Bendigo Bank and Telstra–is another avenue for growth. The strong growth prospects is viewed from increasing penetration into a broadening addressable market. This is likely to be backed by further bolt-on acquisitions to enhance its offerings and the structural shift toward electronic payments. But future gross profit margins are likely to compress from competitive pressures, despite benefits from lower interchange and scheme fees due to growing debit card usage. The major banks have a reinvigorated their focus on banking and global merchant acquirers are contending for a slice of the overall payments market. Tyro will keep reinvesting for growth, limiting the degree of operating leverage it can achieve.
Financial Strengths:
Tyro’s balance sheet is appropriately sound and it has zero debt. The firm is not yet net- profit-after-tax, or NPAT, profitable, but it is expected to return a maiden profit in fiscal 2025 before growing NPAT at a 60% CAGR to fiscal 2031 as it realizes operating leverage. Tyro’s merchant acquiring business is less capital-intensive than other contemporary financial services businesses, including buy now, pay later firms that consistently need to source financing for receivables growth. For Tyro, its spending requirements are mainly on employee expenses, payments for terminals, and software improvements that can be mostly funded organically. Unlike traditional banks, Tyro’s banking business has ample deposits to fund its loan growth thanks to a healthy loan to deposit ratio of 21%. The average loan tenure sits at 6.6 months, unlike multiyear mortgage loans. It has a common equity Tier 1 ratio of 40%, a wide headroom above APRA’s prescribed minimum. The banking business is a comparably small earnings generator for Tyro. The bank shall generate around 8% of group gross profits by fiscal 2031.
Bulls Say:
- Tyro’s growth outlook is strong and there is potential for ongoing market share gains from smaller/generic nonbank merchant acquirers.
- Merchants benefit from using Tyro, as evidenced by signs of client stickiness to date. For example, there has been growing takeup of Tyro’s ancillary features, increased cross-selling success and limited merchant churn, even after a recent service outage.
- Tyro will be increasingly profitable and cash- generative over time. This is due to its limited capital requirements and ability to leverage revenue growth over its fixed costs.
Company Description:
Tyro Payments is an Australian financial technology company engaged in providing routing payments solutions and business banking products to merchants. The firm mainly caters to small to medium-size enterprises in the hospitality, retail and health sectors. It is also expanding its reach into the trade, accommodation and services verticals. Tyro’s value propositions include extensive industry-specific solutions, ease of integration with point-of-sale systems, broad acceptance of payment types and a variety of ancillary features. Despite Tyro’s historic focus on in-store sales, it is also building up online gateways to facilitate e-commerce transactions and build out a multichannel payment solution. Geographically, it operates only in Australia.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.
Business Strategy & Outlook:
Block’s business model on the merchant side, characterized by efficient client onboarding, innovative point-of-sale devices, flat fees, and an internally developed and integrated set of software solutions, allows the company to reach and retain micro merchants that are unviable for other acquirers. In essence, Square’s initial success came largely from expanding the acquiring market, as opposed to stealing material share from existing players. To develop sufficient scale, Square needed to move past its micro merchant base, and recent results suggest it is doing just that. At this point, only about two thirds of its payment volume comes from merchants generating over $125,000 in annual gross payment volume.
Furthermore, absolute growth in clients above this threshold has accelerated meaningfully over the past couple of years, while absolute growth in merchants below this threshold has largely held steady. The move upstream and cross-selling will allow Square to materially improve margins in the years ahead and show the viability of its business model. But the Square is viewed as a narrow-moat niche operator, not a disrupter, with market share limited by its relatively high pricing and long-term margins constrained by its relative lack of scale. Clover has proven itself a strong competitor and appears to be outperforming Square. The company’s effort to build out a consumer business surrounding its Cash App creates option value, and more uncertainty is faced on this side of the business. Block is competing in a space with winner-take-all dynamics, and its competitors have large consumer customer bases, which justified some initial skepticism. However, Cash App’s performance compared with peers has been relatively strong, suggesting it is positioning itself to be a longtime leader in the space.
Financial Strengths:
Block is in a solid financial position. Historically, it has avoided carrying a meaningful amount of debt, which seems appropriate given that the company remains unprofitable. However, the company had about $5 billion in debt on the balance sheet at the end of 2021. Absent one-time gains, Block remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis. But stock compensation makes up a significant portion of its expenses. As such, the company did turn free-cash flow-positive in 2017, and improving profitability will increase free cash flow meaningfully in the coming years. The capital-light nature of the business creates significant financial flexibility, and the company should have room to consider cash-based acquisitions to fill in any product holes.
Bulls Say:
- The ongoing shift toward electronic payments has created, and will continue to create, room for payments companies to see strong growth without stealing share from each other.
- Ancillary services are becoming a more critical engine for growth and will help Square fully monetize its merchant client base and improve margins.
- Electronic payment growth is shifting overseas, and Square’s business model looks portable into international markets, as the company does not rely on a large local salesforce to attract merchants.
Company Description:
Founded in 2009, Block provides payment acquiring services to merchants, along with related services. The company also launched Cash App, a person-to-person payment network. Block has operations in Canada, Japan, Australia, and the United Kingdom; about 5% of revenue is generated outside the U.S.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.
Business Strategy & Outlook:
Worley is one of the largest global providers of engineering and professional services to the oil, gas, mining, power, and infrastructure industries, with about 59,000 employees and more than AUD 11.0 billion in annual revenue. Strong relationships with global resource and petrochemical firms, along with solid levels of long-term recurring work, provide some element of switching cost support, a competitive strength. While the traditional engineering, procurement and construction management space is competitive and few firms have the skills and capacity to take on the work available in many of the key areas in which Worley operates. Most contracts are of a cost-plus nature, so the risk from project delays and cost overruns is minimized. The highly skilled, specialist nature of WorleyParsons’ work means it can earn higher margins than traditional engineering and construction firms.
Worley grew rapidly during the past decade, boosted by numerous acquisitions, and is well placed to renew growth in the longer term when economic conditions and energy prices improve. Activity over fiscal 2017 through to 2018 was weak, given project deferrals and lower energy prices. But measured long-term growth is returning. The environmental and infrastructure segment should benefit from long-term demand growth for new power generation assets. Revenue is derived from recurring maintenance-style work under Worley’s “Services” business stream. Contracts include long-term asset management, facility operation and maintenance work. Further, Jacobs ECR’s inclusion delivers enhanced earnings diversification and more consistent earnings with less cyclical capital expenditure, particularly from chemicals. The merged company balances revenue contribution from Worley’s upstream hydrocarbon segment to 39% from a prior 62%. Downstream grew to 20% from 13% and chemicals to 23% from just 6%. Chemicals in particular is a favorably less cyclical segment driven by population and GDP growth. The merged company also enjoys double the U.S. revenue contribution at 33% from 13%, while reduced 21% from 29% Europe, and 10% from 17% ANZ contributions.
Financial Strengths:
First-half fiscal 2022 net operating cash flow declined sharply, down 71% to just AUD 73 million. It reflects reversal of higher-than-average days payable outstanding levels and trade payables at end June 2021, temporary in nature. This saw net debt excluding operating leases rise 12% to AUD 1.4 billion versus levels six months prior, gearing still conservative at 20% but net debt/EBITDA somewhat elevated just above 2. With cash flows to improve from now, the sub-1.0 net debt/EBITDA by fiscal 2024, including an assumption of a 75% dividend payout ratio. Leverage is within management’s target range of 25%-35%. Net debt/EBITDA may look a little elevated, but this reflects the AUD 4.6 billion takeover of Jacobs heading into a pandemic. Worley’s average debt maturity is relatively short at 2.4 years and anticipated long-term debt options will need to be explored. With positive implication for the outlook, Worley’s work backlog increased 6% to AUD 15.1 billion at end December 2021 versus AUD 14.3 billion at end June 2021. The proportion of sustainability contract wins was a higher 11% versus 4% for traditional work, in line with the direction Worley is strategically targeting. Traditional work still represents 75% of the backlog at this stage, but Worley aspires to ultimately flip this ratio in sustainability’s favor.
Bulls Say:
- Worley is ideally positioned to benefit from any future increase in capital expenditure from energy markets, particularly unconventional oil and gas, coal, and offshore oil.
- Power, infrastructure and environmental markets should all grow solidly in the medium to longer term as developing nations seek to upgrade their populations’ quality of life.
- Little of the company’s own capital is placed at risk on projects, and the risks of rising wages are limited because most contracts cover Worley’s costs plus a margin.
Company Description:
Worley is a leading global provider of professional services, such as engineering, procurement, and construction management, to the oil, gas, mining, power, and infrastructure sectors. Purchase of Jacobs ECR in April 2019 reduced revenue contribution from hydrocarbons to just over 50%, from a prior 75%-80% position. Metals and mining contribute 23% and infrastructure and chemicals the balance. Worley has a global presence with about 59,000 staff in more than 50 countries. It has a strong presence in many developing economies, including Africa.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.
Business Strategy & Outlook:
SAP is a best-in-breed enterprise resource planning provider and holds dominant market share in global ERP software. However, SAP is phasing out its support of its on-premises ERP Central Component software such that by 2030 all of its ERP customers will need to shift to a cloud solution. This vulnerability is a significant threat to SAP’s switching costs, as competitors like Workday offer compelling cloud ERP solutions, while forced migration opens up opportunity to question a company’s best fit for ERP needs. In turn, SAP’s narrow moat, derived from its switching costs, is trending negative. However, it is still early in SAP’s transition of on-premises users to the cloud, which leads us to believe its negative trend could be prolonged. ERP is not SAP’s only offering.
The company offers software in its so-called intelligent spending category, which includes Ariba and Concur, which cater to procurement and travel and expense reporting. While ERP and intelligent spending software caters to operational data–otherwise known as O data–SAP also provides solutions around X data, or experience data. SAP has further entrenched itself in X data with its acquisition of Qualtrics experience management software. But, regardless of which type of data is flowing through SAP software, this data can be stored in SAP’s database offering, HANA, which is the only database compatible with SAP’s cloud ERP, S/4HANA (unlike on-premises ERP’s former database interoperability). Despite SAP’s efforts to nurture high attach rates among offerings amid the vulnerable transition to the cloud, such as via database lock-in, while this is only ruffling more feathers among its customers that have adapted to the new norm of mix-and-match technology, which the cloud has enabled. Such lock-in attempts are influential in SAP’s consistently declining net promoter score. Moreover, SAP’s efforts to add to its ecosystem in the hopes of more effortless user experience have proved to be anything but accretive, as its acquisition of Qualtrics has shown. SAP announced plans to spin off the company only two years after it was acquired.
Financial Strengths:
SAP has been acquisitive over the last decade as it has built out its ERP offerings. Despite this, SAP has maintained healthy leverage ratios and continues to do so with 2019 net debt/EBITDA close to 2. This figure includes the EUR 7 billion of debt SAP issued in December 2018 to finance the Qualtrics acquisition, leaving it with outstanding long-term debt of roughly EUR 14 billion and EUR 7 billion in cash and marketable securities at the end of the fiscal 2020 third quarter. The Qualtrics acquisition has stretched SAP’s leverage ratio slightly beyond its normal levels over the last decade and may limit the company’s ability to make transformative acquisitions in the near future. SAP’s forecasted to still having the ability to make tuck-in acquisitions, and with free cash flow of at least EUR 3 billion expected in 2020 and 2021, SAP may be having any troubles covering its financial obligations.
Bulls Say:
- SAP should be able to migrate the majority of its on- premises ERP customers to S/4HANA while continuing to add hefty net new customers to the platform.
- As more customers transition to the cloud, SAP should be able to extract significant more lifetime value per customer, adding to its top line.
- SAP should see significant margin expansion as a result of improving scale in its cloud offerings.
Company Description:
Founded in 1972 by former IBM employees, SAP provides database technology and enterprise resource planning software to enterprises around the world. Across more than 180 countries, the company serves 440,000 customers, approximately 80% of which are small to medium-size enterprises.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.
Business Strategy & Outlook:
As the leading U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase has positioned itself as the reliable on-ramp to the cryptocurrency space for new and experienced cryptocurrency traders alike. The company’s reputation, regulatory compliance, and record as a custodian have allowed it to maintain transaction fees above many of its peers despite operating in a crowded field with hundreds of competing firms trying to grab market share in the rapidly growing space. Unlike traditional exchanges in the U.S., Coinbase fulfills multiple roles in the trading ecosystem by acting as an exchange, asset custodian, and broker.
Coinbase has continued to branch off into adjacent businesses offering cryptocurrency collateralized loans, a crypto debit card, blockchain infrastructure support, and data analytics services. While these new businesses expand its presence in the cryptocurrency space and add new revenue streams, the company still earns the majority of its income through the transaction fees traders pay when they trade on Coinbase’s platform. These fees are charged as a percentage of trade’s total value. Additionally, the bulk of Coinbase’s trading revenue comes from retail traders who are drawn by strong cryptocurrency markets and repelled by weak ones. This creates a strong correlation between Coinbase’s trading fee revenue and the size cryptocurrency market. Due to its breadth of its service offerings and the connection between cryptocurrency prices and trading revenue, Coinbase’s short- and long-term results are deeply tied to the health and growth of cryptocurrencies as an asset class. Cryptocurrency adoption continues to rise, but questions regarding the long-term viability of cryptocurrency, and the role of speculation in current market prices remain unanswered. Furthermore, Coinbase dramatically increased its spending in 2021, and while recent cost-cutting moves have reversed some of this growth, the company is likely to enter a prolonged period of unprofitability should cryptocurrency prices and trading volume not recover in short order.
Financial Strengths:
Coinbase is in an excellent financial position, particularly after receiving an influx of capital from private-investment-in-public-equity investors coinciding with its direct listing on the Nasdaq exchange. Coinbase saw a spike in trading volume in 2021, leading the company to generate more net income in the first quarter of the year than in the entirety of 2020. As a result, the company ended March 2022 with more than $6 billion in cash and $1.3 billion in cryptocurrency against less than $3.4 billion in debt. The decision to keep strong cash reserves makes sense, given how volatile the company’s revenue generation can be. Coinbase needs to keep sufficient financial reserves to protect itself in the event of a major market collapse. Staying relatively unleveraged will be an important step in keeping the company financially secure in the long term through market cycles, particularly as further losses are expected for Coinbase as cryptocurrency markets remain weak.
Bulls Say:
- Coinbase has established itself as the leading U.S. cryptocurrency exchange and established a strong reputation for security in an industry filled with risk for traders.
- Coinbase has been able to accelerate the rate at which it lists new cryptocurrencies, giving it more exposure to the growth of the asset class.
- There is a global market for cryptocurrency. Regulatory approval from international regulators will allow Coinbase to expand its operations and increase its footprint globally
Company Description:
Founded in 2012, Coinbase is the leading cryptocurrency exchange platform in the United States. The company intends to be the safe and regulation-compliant point of entry for retail investors and institutions into the cryptocurrency economy. Users can establish an account directly with the firm, instead of using an intermediary, and many choose to allow Coinbase to act as a custodian for their cryptocurrency, giving the company breadth beyond that of a traditional financial exchange. While the company still generates the majority of its revenue from transaction fees charged to its retail customers, Coinbase uses internal investment and acquisitions to expand into adjacent businesses, such as prime brokerage, data analytics, and collateralized lending.
(Source: Morningstar)
DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).
This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.
The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require. The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.
The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.
Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents. Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.
The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.