- High quality portfolio composition with stronger weighting towards Melbourne and Sydney urban areas minimizing risk from submarket weakness from Brisbane.
- MGR has secured 90% of expected Residential EBIT for FY22.
- Strong pipeline of residential projects to come, delivering earnings growth by FY22.
- Solid balance sheet. Gearing at 22.8% (at lower end of target range of 20%-30%).
- Continuing recovery in weak retail sales especially for supermarkets.
- Strong management team.
Key Risks
- Deterioration in property fundamentals for Office, Industrial and Retail portfolio, such as delays with developments or lower than expected rental growth causing downward asset revaluations.
- Tenant defaults as the economic landscape changes (increasingly competitive retail sector especially from online retailers such as Amazon). For instance, retailer bankruptcies causing rising vacancies in the retail portfolio.
- Generally softening outlook on the broader retail market.
- Residential settlement risk and defaults.
- Higher interest rates impacting debt margins.
- Consumer sentiment towards impact of higher interest rates and effect on retail and residential businesses.
FY21 Results Summary
Operating profit of $550m was down -9% over pcp and operating EBIT of $704m declined -12% over pcp, negatively impacted by lower development profit and higher unallocated overheads, partially offset by growth in NOI (especially growth in Integrated Investment Portfolio NOI following newly completed office asset developments).However, statutory profit was up +61% to $901m and EPS of 14cpss exceeded management’s earnings guidance of greater than 13.7cpss.
AFFO declined -23% over PCP, reflecting the lower operating earnings together with increased tenant incentives and normalization of maintenance capex. Total distribution was $390m, representing a DPS of 9.9cpss, an increase of +9%, funded from operating cash flows which increased +41% over pcp to $635m, driven by final fund through receipts following capitalization of Older fleet, lower development spend and stronger cash collection from the investment portfolio. Net tangible assets (NTA) per stapled security increased +5% over PCP to $2.67.
The Company extended its development pipeline, ending the year with $28bn across mixed use, office, industrial, residential and build to rent. Balance sheet remained strong with cash and undrawn debt facilities of $867m, investment grade credit ratings of A3/A- by Moody’s/Fitch, gearing of 22.8% (lower end of target range of 20-30%). The Company saw cost of debt decline -60bps over PCP to 3.4%, with management expecting further reduction in FY22.
Company Description
Mirvac Group Ltd (ASX: MGR) is a real estate investment and development company. The company operates in Residential and Commercial & Mixed Use space within the real Estate sector. Mirvac Group Ltd is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
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