Admiral tends to aggressively increase its customer numbers in times of pricing flux by undercutting the competition in terms of pricing. We have seen this at least once before, and we believe that much more recently, such as last year, we saw this happen again. As Admiral grows these customer numbers, it increases not only its profit from underwriting but also these ancillary sources.
There are three factors causing flux in U.K. motor insurance prices: emerging from lockdown, regulatory pricing review, and regulatory restructuring of claims. These are all affecting motor insurance prices and giving Admiral Opportunities to undercut the competition and expand its customer base.
We believe consensus completely ignores this dynamic of customer growth at Admiral, and on this
Element we are very different. Our estimates for customer numbers are only three fourths of the numbers that investors witnessed during the last global financial crisis, but we are still well over double the 590-basis-point average annual customer growth as per Visible Alpha consensus.
Company Profile
Admiral is a personal lines insurer that writes most of its business in the United Kingdom. The company operates three business divisions: U.K. insurance, international car insurance, and other. This is a reduction from four since April 2021, when new CEO Milena Mondini de Focatiis announced the sale of Admiral’s price comparison businesses within Penguin Portals. This included www.confused.com, www.rastreator.com, www.lelynx.fr, and the group’s technology division, Admiral Technologies. The sale excluded Admiral’s U.S. price comparison business, www.compare.com. The total net transaction value was GBP 460 million, which Admiral intends to return to shareholders.
(Source: Morningstar)
General Advice Warning
Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.