Investment Thesis:
- Principal Investments could grow to become a meaningful contributor to group performance over the medium-to-long term
- MFG no longer trades at a significant premium to its peer-group post the recent derating
- Acquisitions could pave growth runways, helping to ease the Company’s fund capacity constraints
- Average base management fee (bps) per annum (excluding performance fee) continues to be stable but there are risks to the downside from pressures on fees (which is an industry trend not specific to MFG alone)
- Continued strong investment performances, especially in the global and infrastructure funds
- Growing levels of funds under management
- New strategies could significantly increase addressable market and help sustain earnings growth
Key Risks:
- Decline in fund performance
- Risk of potential funds outflow – both retail and institutional (loss of a large mandate)
- Execution risk with the acquisitions
- Significant key man risk around Hamish Douglass and key management or investment management personnel
- New strategies fail to add meaningful earnings to the group
Key highlights:
- MFG’s FY21 adjusted net profit of A$412.7m, declined -5.8% over pcp, which came in below consensus estimate of A$434m, as a year of trailing the market for MFG’s most important global equities strategy, the Magellan Global Fund, reduced the performance fee take for FY21 by -63% to $30.1m
- The core business of funds management still managed to grow despite a lesser outperformance overall, and the Company reported management and service fees increasing +7% over pcp to $635.4m and average FUM increase of +9% to $103.7bn
- The Board declared a final dividend of $1.141 a share taking FY21 dividend to $1.22 a share and announced a dividend reinvestment plan discounted at 1.5%
- Management saw total Funds Management expenses declined -8.5% over pcp to $106.9m
- Management has restructured three Global Equities retail funds into a single trust (Magellan Global Fund) with total FUN of $18bn
Company Description:
Magellan Financial Group Ltd (MFG) is a specialist funds management business. MFG’s core subsidiary, Magellan Asset Management Ltd, manages ~$53.6bn of funds under management across its global equities and global listed infrastructure strategies for retail, high net worth and institutional investors.
General Advice Warning
Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.