Investment Thesis:
- Attractive market dynamics – growing population requiring hearing aids, improving health in EM providing more access to devices such as hearing aids and relatively underpenetrated market
- There remains a significant, unmet and addressable clinical need for cochlear and acoustic implants that is expected to continue to underpin the long‐term sustainable growth of COH
- Market leading positions globally
- Direct-to-consumer marketing expected to fast track market growth
- Best in class R&D program (significant dollar amount) leading to continual development of new products and upgrades to existing suite of products
- New product launches driving continued demand in all segments
- Attractive exposure to growth in China, India and more recently Japan
- Solid balance sheet position
- Potential benefit from Australian tax incentive
- Subject to successful passage of legislation, the patent box tax regime for medical technology and biotechnology should encourage development of innovation in Australia by taxing corporate income derived from patents at a concessional effective corporate tax rate of 17%, with the concession applying from income years starting on or after 1 July 2022
Key Risks:
- Product recall
- Sustained coronavirus outbreak which delays recommencement of hospital operations in China
- R&D program fails to deliver innovative products
- Increase in competitive pressures
- Change in government reimbursement policy
- Adverse movements in AUD/USD
- Emerging market does not recoup – significant downside to earnings
Key highlights:
- COH reported strong FY21 results, with earnings (underlying NPAT) up +54% to $237m and within guidance of $225-$245m, despite Covid-19 impacted surgery activity recovering to varied levels across both developed and emerging markets
- For FY22, it is expected to deliver net profit of $265‐285m, a 12‐20% increase on underlying net profit for FY21, based on a 74 cent AUD/USD
- Sales revenue is expected to benefit from market growth, with a continuing recovery in surgery rates across many countries more affected by Covid
- The management will continue their investment in market growth activities
- Capex is expected to be ~$70‐90m for FY22 and includes around $20m related to a major process transformation and IT systems upgrade, a program that is expected to be a $100‐120m investment over the next four to five years
- Effective tax rate is expected to decline to ~25% as a result of the introduction of changes to the R&D tax concession by the Australian government, with legislated changes to take effect from 1 July 2021
- The Board is committed to maintaining the dividend policy which targets a 70% payout of underlying net profit
- Record sales revenue of $1,493m, was up +10%, or +19% in constant currency (CC), driven by market share gains, market growth and rescheduled surgeries post Covid lockdowns
- Implant units climbed +15% to 36,456 (developed markets up ~20%; emerging markets up ~10%), compared to FY19, implant units increased +7%
- The Board declared final dividend of $1.40 which brings full year dividends to $2.55 per share, up +59% and equates payout ratio of 71% of underlying net profit, in line with COH’s 70% target payout
- COH’s balance sheet position remains strong with net cash of $564.6m at year-end, improving from $457m in FY20
Company Description:
Cochlear Ltd (COH) researches, develops and markets cochlear implant systems for hearing impaired people. COH’s hearing implant systems include Nucleus and Baha and are sold globally. COH has direct operations in 20 countries and 2,800 employees.
(Source: Banyantree)
General Advice Warning
Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.