Category: Shares

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Global stocks Shares

Perpetual Ltd. Asset under Management increases by 246% over pcp to $98.3 bn

Investment Thesis:

  • PPT is a business having vast diversification, with earnings obtained from trustee services, financial advice and funds management.
  • PPT has a chance to increase FUM (Funds Under Management) through its Global Share Fund, which has a strong performance track record over 1, 3 and 5-years and significant capacity. 
  • PPT maintains FUM in Australian equities, which is of maximum amount. This equates to levelled earnings growth unless PPT can attract FUM into international equities, credit and multi-asset strategies (and other incubated funds).
  • Inflow of funds from retail and institutional investors are expected to be high especially from positive compulsory superannuation trend and Perpetual Private. 
  • Perpetual Private’s high potential to ramp up growth in funds under management and funds under advice.
  • Process of cost improvements in Perpetual Private and Corporate Trust.

Key Risks:

  • Probability of any significant underperformance across funds.
  • Key man risk surrounding key management or investment management personnel.
  • Probability of change in regulation (superannuation) with major interest on retirement income (annuities) than creation of wealth.
  • The average base management fee (bps) annually (excluding performance fee) continues to be stable at ~70bps but there are risks caused due to drawbacks from pressures on fees.
  • The provision of financial advice and Perpetual Private adjoins more regulation and compliance costs.
  • Industry funds, which are building in-house capabilities (~15-20% of total PPT funds under management), have good exposure.

Key Highlights:

  • The operating revenue increased +31% and underlying profit after tax was up +26% post the acquisition of Trillium and Barrow Hanley.
  • Statutory NPAT decreased -9% because of the significant one-off costs.
  • PPT’s assets under management increased by +246% over pcp (previous corresponding period) to $98.3bn, wherein significant amount of funds outperformed their respective benchmarks over the year.
  • Fully franked final ordinary dividend of A$0.96 per share was declared, thereby amounting the total FY21 dividend to A$1.80 per share, which is up +16% over pcp.
  • Perpetual Asset Management Australia delivered total revenue of A$165.7m, which was down -5% over pcp.
  • Perpetual Asset Management International (new international division comprising the Trillium and Barrow Hanley businesses), had total revenue of A$139.2m and underlying profit before tax was A$40.7m.
  • Perpetual Private delivered total revenue of $183.8m, relatively unchanged over pcp and underlying profit before tax of A$35m.
  • Perpetual Corporate Trust delivered total revenue of $134.9m, up +7% over pcp and underlying profit before tax of A$63.8m, which was +9% higher over pcp.

Company Profile:

Perpetual Ltd (PPT) is an ASX-listed independent wealth manager with three core divisions in Perpetual Investments (one of Australia’s largest investment managers); Perpetual Private (one of Australia’s premier high net worth advice business); and Perpetual Corporate Trust (which provides trustee services). PPT looks after ~$98.3 billion in funds under management, ~$17.0 billion in funds under advice and ~$922.8 billion in funds under administration (as on 30 June 2021).

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Shares Small Cap

Improvements in occupancy to be the major driver for driving up G8 revenues

Investment Thesis

  • Trading at a discount to our valuation.
  • With a growing population, the long-term outlook for childcare demand remains positive (organic and net immigration).
  • Increased emphasis on both organic and acquired growth.
  • Increasing exposure to international markets (Asia).
  • Strategic investor China First Capital Group (12.45% stake in GEM) may see a collaborative expansion into the Chinese market.
  • The Company’s national footprint enables it to scale more effectively than competitors and mom and pop shops.
  • A global operator could be interested in acquiring the company.
  • Improve occupancy levels by leveraging – (rough estimates) A 1% increase in occupancy equates to $10-11 million in revenue and a $3 million EBIT benefit.

Key Risks 

  • The company faces execution risk in meeting its FY19 earnings per share (EPS) target.
  • Pricing pressure is being exerted as a result of increased competition.
  • Increased supply in some areas has resulted in lower occupancy rates.
  • Acquisition with a negative impact on value (s).
  • Execution risk associated with offshore expansion.
  • Childcare funding cuts or adverse regulatory changes
  • Australia is experiencing a recession.
  • Dividend reduction

FY21 Result Highlights

  • Revenue of $421.5 million (vs. $308.2 million in CY20 H1 and $429.9 million in CY19 H1) reflects occupancy recovery and the effects of greenfield growth, Victorian Government Covid-19 payments, and the February fee review, offset by divestments.
  • GEM saw an increase in national Core average occupancy to 68.0 percent (from 65.1 percent in CY20 H1), but it remains below pre-Covid levels of 70.4 percent in CY19 H1.
  • Operating EBIT (after lease interest) of $38.9m was up from $19.7m in CY20 H1 (restated) and in line with $38.8m in CY19 H1 (restated), owing to the “benefits of the Improvement Process, February fee review, and greenfield growth being invested in increasing system support and quality.” 
  • The statutory NPAT of $25.1 million was an improvement over the net loss after tax of $244 million.
  • GEM’s balance sheet remains strong, with a net cash position.
  • GEM did not pay an interim dividend, but the Board “expects dividend payments to resume with a full-year CY21 dividend to be paid in CY22.”
  • GEM’s employee remediation programme is well-advanced, with a provision of $80 million pre-tax ($57 million after tax), less costs incurred to date.

Company Profile 

G8 Education Limited (GEM) owns and operates care and education services in Australia and Singapore through a range of brands. The Company initially listed on the ASX in December 2007 under the name of Early Learning Services, but later merged with Payce Child Care to become G8 Education.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Expert Insights Shares Small Cap

Ampol the Latest to Join the Energy M&A Frenzy with Bid for No-Moat Z Energy

Word equity under magnifying glass --- Image by © Image Source/Corbis

in line with the Ampol’s bid. The decline in value is in accord with the terms of a proposed merger and our prior standalone fair value estimates. Merger and acquisition activity continues at a frenetic pace in the Australasian fossil fuel space, coronavirus fragility and carbon concerns marking some as prey. Ampol is proposing an NZD 3.78 per share cash offer for Z Energy via scheme of arrangement. Australia’s largest refined fuel retailer has been granted a four week-exclusivity period in which to undertake due diligence prior to formalising the offer for its smaller New Zealand counterpart.

The equity issuance may take the form of partial share consideration to Z shareholders. Or Ampol may simply conducting a pro rata entitlement offer to its own shareholders, which would be done following regulatory approval and nearer the date of completion. Ampol may have to sell-down some NZ assets to meet NZ competition guidelines. This could include its Gull network. With Ampol shares falling on the bid news, and Z Energy shares rising but not meeting the bid price, the implication is the market on balance thinks Ampol is paying too much, or at least that the bid won’t succeed. The natural question is how do we reconcile this with our much higher standalone valuation for Z.

Company’s Future Outlook 

Despite there being no certainty that discussions will result in a binding agreement, we think the chance of success is high. The latest is apparently the fourth in a series of nonbinding offers from Ampol, including at NZD 3.35, NZD 3.50, and NZD 3.60 along the way. And there is logic to a merger– Ampol and Z have very similar business models. Z Energy’s board wouldn’t have opened the books if the chance of a deal proceeding was low. At NZD 3.78 Ampol will be getting Z Energy at a material 33% discount to our NZD 5.60 standalone fair value. 

Our formal recommendation for Z shareholders is don’t accept, based solely upon the offer’s material discount to our NZD 5.60 standalone fair value. However, we suspect that advice is likely to prove academic. Z shares rose just over 14% on the day to NZD 3.48, though still 8% below the proposed bid level. They have moved just into 4-star territory from 3-star prior. Z Energy shares have been in the doldrums for over two years given intense retail fuel competition in New Zealand, more recently exacerbated by COVID-19 disruption.

The shares have fallen from a peak of NZD 8.65 and have only recently show signs of life from NZD 2.56 lows. Ampol’s most recent offer price represents a 24% premium to the last NZD 3.04 close. We suspect there is Z Energy shareholder fatigue that might help Ampol’s offer along. However, if Ampol’s bid were to fall over, our stand-alone Z Energy fair value estimate is unchanged at NZD 5.60.

Company Profile 

Z Energy was born of the purchase of Shell New Zealand’s downstream operations by Infratil and the New Zealand Superannuation Fund in 2010. It has since transitioned to New Zealand’s largest stand-alone retailer of refined petroleum products and meets close to half of the nation’s transport fuel requirements, serving both retail and commercial customers. The principal activities of Z Energy are importing, distributing and selling transport fuel and related products. The business has scale and sells a full range of transport fuels.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

Morgan Stanley: Increasing Capital Allocation to Exemplary and FVE to $85

fintech icon on abstract financial technology background represent Blockchain and Fintech Investment Financial Internet Technology Concept.

James Gorman and Morgan Stanley’s management team have deftly positioned the firm to key financial sector trends through acquisitions. They inked a transformative deal with the acquisition of Citigroup’s Smith Barney that increased Morgan Stanley’s proportion of stable, balance-sheet-light earnings after the enactment of higher regulatory capital requirements. 

Recent acquisitions of E-Trade and Eaton Vance further extend Morgan Stanley’s capabilities and deepen its competitive advantages. E-Trade is a technology firm that offers a leading self-directed brokerage, digital bank, and workplace services business. Eaton Vance is an asset manager that will benefit from Morgan Stanley’s international relationships, while Morgan Stanley’s investment management business can leverage Eaton Vance’s financial intermediary distribution channel and capabilities in environment, social, and governance investing and mass customization of financial products.

Morgan Stanley’s thoughtful acquisitions provide it the scale and scope to effectively compete with the largest financial sector players that are increasingly moving beyond their traditional industry silos. Given synergies and exposure to industry tailwinds, we expect Morgan Stanley’s returns on tangible common equity will increase over time and support the company’s valuation.

Company’s Future outlook

It is estimated that Morgan Stanley’s acquisitions and strategy have led to the increase in its valuation, management’s path to increasing the firm’s valuation to over 2 times tangible book value from 0.5 times in just a decade.” Morgan Stanley plans upgrading capital allocation rating to Exemplary from Standard and increasing fair value estimate to $85 from $70.

Company Profile

Morgan Stanley is a global investment bank whose history, through its legacy firms, can be traced back to 1924. The company has institutional securities, wealth management, and investment management segments. The company had about $4 trillion of client assets as well as nearly 70,000 employees at the end of 2020. Approximately 40% of the company’s net revenue is from its institutional securities business, with the remainder coming from wealth and investment management. The company derives about 30% of its total revenue outside the Americas.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

CWY’s FY22 Quantitative earnings guidance are expected to have negative monthly impact

Investment Thesis 

  • CWY trades at fair value based on our infused valuation.
  • Earnings are fairly defensive (as the Company has long term rubbish collection contracts with local government).
  • The solids segment is growing at a slightly higher-than-average GDP rate, with the potential to benefit as CWY’s sales team concentrates more on price increases.
  • Liquids and Industrial Services are expected to recover and benefit from high oil prices.
  • A strong balance sheet that allows for bolt-on acquisitions or capital management initiatives.
  • High entry barriers – difficult to replicate assets & solid margin business

Key Risks

  • Its Solids segment performed worse than expected.
  • There will be no or only minor price increases.
  • Liquids and Industrial Services performed poorly.
  • Oil prices are recovering slowly or not at all.
  • China’s National Sword policy imposes additional cost surcharges.
  • Management fails to meet their key segment margin targets.
  • While earnings are largely defensive, there is some exposure to cyclical economic activity, which may be a drag on earnings.

FY21 Result Highlights

  • Net revenue increased by 7.5% to $1,476.3 million; EBITDA increased by 4.4% to $405.3 million; and EBIT increased by $0.3 million to $213.0 million. “FY22 D&A is expected to be higher reflecting full year contributions from acquisitions and municipal contracts that partially contributed in FY21, new municipal contracts that start in FY22 (Logan, Hornsby), the start of operations at the rebuilt Perth MRF, and higher landfill depreciation,” management stated.
  • The reported EBITDA of $48.0m was +4.6% higher. EBITDA margin was 110 basis points higher than in FY20, owing to the successful implementation of the strategy of exiting low-value workstreams. EBIT increased by $1.2 million to $22.6 million, and the EBIT margin increased by 60 basis points to 7.4 percent.
  • EBITDA increased by 3.5 percent to $110.0 million, while margins increased by 80 basis points to 21.5 percent. EBIT increased by 5.1% to $67.6 million, and EBIT margins increased by 70 basis points to 13.2 percent.
  • Covid-19 lockdowns on lower East coast oil collection volumes had an impact on hydrocarbons. Covid-19-related activity at aged care facilities, hotel quarantine, and mass testing and vaccination centres resulted in higher earnings for Health Services.
  • Despite lower volumes from visitor states, hospitality (grease trap), cruise ships, and automobile industries as a result of Covid-19, liquids and technical services earned more than the pcp.

Company Profile 

Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd (CWY) is Australia’s leading total waste management services company. CWY has a nation-wide footprint in solid, liquid, hydrocarbon and industrial services (with ~200 solid, liquid, hydrocarbon and industrial services depots and processing facilities across the country servicing well over 100,000 customers.

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

Cushman & Wakefield Excellent Recovery in First Half of 2021

20025825 - closeup image of businessman drawing 3d graphics

a boom in the commercial real estate services industry since the nadir of the real estate-driven global financial crisis of 2007. As the third-largest player in the space by market cap, Cushman & Wakefield has benefited disproportionately from various tailwinds that have underpinned an impressive run of growth. Key to this success has been the company’s industry-leading brand reputation and a platform that melds complementary business lines in areas such as property sales, leasing, project management, and outsourcing to serve its corporate and institutional clients.

Although Cushman & Wakefield nominally reports its segments on a regional basis, it also discloses the amount of revenue coming from each business line. Among these, the property, facilities, and project management business is the largest and also the most stable, providing contractual revenue from corporate customers. This business line, which contributes around 54% of companywide revenue, is where Cushman & Wakefield provides many of the services needed by corporations that occupy real estate. 

Finally, the company’s valuation and other business line include several services for corporate and institutional clients, which include appraisals that are used for various purposes. The leasing business line is Cushman & Wakefield’s second largest, contributing around 23% of companywide revenue. In this business line, the company’s brokers work with owners and occupiers of commercial real estate during the leasing process, primarily by executing lease agreements. Similarly, the capital markets business line, which contributes around 14% of companywide revenue, is where brokers facilitate the sale and purchase of commercial real estate property.

Financial Strength

Cushman & Wakefield has somewhat concerning financial health. Commercial real estate is highly cyclical and is subject to significant volatility during downturns, meriting a more cautious approach. Cushman & Wakefield’s higher level of leverage is the result of an aggressive acquisition strategy that has helped cement the firm’s position as a global provider able to compete effectively with CBRE and JLL. In response to the corona virus crisis, Cushman & Wakefield announced it would issue $650 million in senior notes, bringing further attention to its borderline precarious financial situation. 

Bull Says

  • As one of the largest of only a few truly international one-stop shops, Cushman & Wakefield is poised to continue taking share from competitors in a growing industry that increasingly rewards scale.
  • The trend of corporate outsourcing represents a significant opportunity and area of growth for Cushman & Wakefield.
  • Cushman & Wakefield is emerging as an authority on the topic of workplace protocols amid the corona virus era of social distancing, which will allow it to win new outsourcing contracts with major clients.

Company Profile

Cushman & Wakefield is the third largest commercial real estate services firm in the world with a global headquarters in Chicago. The firm provides various real estate-related services to owners, occupiers and investors. These include brokerage services for leasing and capital markets sales, as well as advisory services such valuation, project management, and facilities management.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

Auckland Airport Taxis on the Runway with 2% Increase in FVE

with wide-moat Auckland Airport’s annual result offering fiscal 2022 guidance on what the airport will spend (on capital programs), but no guidance on what it will earn (for example revenue from passengers). Fair value estimate increases 2% to AUD 6.70 for the Australian listing due to time value of money. The shares screen as fairly valued at current levels. The New Zealand government has indicated that once vaccination rates increase, the plan is for a phased reopening, so long as that remains supported by the medical science.

The more cautious response to the pandemic in Australia and New Zealand means restrictions are unlikely to be largely removed until midway through fiscal 2022, a further recovery in the economy, consumer confidence in long-haul travel to rebuild, and a reigniting of the logistics needed to support mass travel, including travel agents, tour operators, business conferences, and so on.

The experience elsewhere in the world supports this view, with other highly vaccinated developed markets gradually removing restrictions. The pandemic’s notoriety was elevated in 2020 with the outbreak of corona virus on the Diamond Princess, but even the cruise industry has now restarted services in parts of the world. The company’s base case remains that virus concerns eventually fade, and passengers get back on board boats and airplanes.

Company’s Future outlook

It is believed that the air travel will recover to pre-pandemic levels. Air New Zealand’s fiscal 2021 domestic passenger capacity averaged a respectable 77% of pre-pandemic levels. Across the Tasman, Qantas was slower for the year, due to more frequent restrictions in Australia. However in the fourth quarter, a period which was relatively virus and restriction free nationwide, Qantas achieved domestic passenger traffic at 95% of pre-pandemic levels. Admittedly domestic travel in both nations was likely boosted by the inability to travel abroad. However, this is largely offset by the absence of international travelers taking domestic flights, especially in New Zealand, where nearly all international arrivals enter the country through Auckland Airport.

Company Profile

Auckland Airport is New Zealand’s largest airport, handling 21 million passenger movements in fiscal 2019, approximately 70% of the country’s international visitors. It owns 1,500 hectares of land, and hosts ancillary commercial services, including retail and duty-free, car parking, hotels, warehouses, and offices. Substantial development opportunities could bring its capacity up to nearly 26 million passenger movements per year anticipated by 2026, as well as adding capacity in the ancillary services offered. It also has a minority stake in the small but fast growing Queenstown airport on New Zealand’s south island.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Philosophy Shares Small Cap Technical Picks

Pact Group’s stock price has risen as a result of a 100% dividend increase.

Investment thesis

  • Strong market share in Australia, with a strong influence in Asia. As a result, it offers appealing exposure to the growth of both developed and emerging markets.
  • The corporation’s newly appointed CEO brings a fresh perspective on company strategy, which can restructure the company for strong volume growth.
  • Based on our projections, the valuation is reasonable.
  • Going forwards, management appears to be less centred on acquired growth, implying that the Company is less likely to make a value-destroying acquisition.
  • The reintroduction of the dividend is a positive sign that management is optimistic about future earnings growth.
  • In an environmentally friendly market, focusing on sustainable packaging.

Key Risks

The following are the key challenges to the investment thesis:

  • Increased competitive pressures, resulting in further margin erosion.
  • Cost pressures on inputs that the corporation would be unable to pass on to users.
  • A worsening in Australia’s and Asia’s economic conditions.
  • The risk of emerging markets.
  • Poor acquisitions or failure to meet synergy targets as PGH shifts away from packaging for food, dairy, and beverage clients and towards more high-growth sectors such as healthcare.
  • Negative currency movements (purchased raw materials in U.S. dollars)

Highlights of key FY21 results

  • Revenue fell -3 percent to $1,762 million, while underlying EBITDA increased by 4% to $315 million, underlying EBIT increased by 10% to $183 million (EBIT margin increased by 120 basis points to 10.4 percent), and underlying NPAT increased by 28% to $94 million. The positive motivational drivers of group EBIT growth over the year were: margin improvement (+$10m) as a result of disciplined raw material input cost management; volume growth in Packaging & Sustainability (+$9m); and volume increase in Materials Handling & Pooling (+$15m).
  • As a result of strong operating performance and working capital management, cash flow performance improved, with free cashflow increasing by +44 percent to $104 million. 
  • Balance sheet gearing decreased slightly year on year, working to improve to 2.4x (within the targeted range of 3.0x) from 2.6x. The company has $317 million in liquid assets (undrawn debt capacity). 
  • Strong capital returns, with a +120bps increase in ROIC to 11.8 percent. The Board declared a final dividend of 6cps (65 percent franked), helping to bring the year’s total dividends to 11cps (vs 3cps in the pcp).

Company Description  

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (PGH) was established by Raphael Geminder in 2002 (Mr. Geminder remains a major shareholder with ~44% and is the brother in law of Anthony Pratt, Chairman of competitor Visy). Pact has operations throughout Australia, New Zealand and Asia and conceives, designs and manufactures packaging (plastic resin and steel) for many productsin the food (especially dairy and beverage), chemical, agricultural, industrial and other sectors. 

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

Domino’s Pizza is taking the next step of growth and has released its FY21 results.

Investment thesis

  • Potential for solid growth in Europe and Japan, with significant opportunities that the Company is well positioned to capitalise on.
  • DMP has a strong position in the market in all of its existing geographies.
  • DMP is ahead of the curve in terms of technology and innovative customer offerings.
  • Merger in Europe to increase top-line revenue.
  • A solid management team.
  • Aiming for higher margins (i.e. operating leverage benefits).

Key Risks

The following are the key challenges to the investment thesis:

  • Acquisition integrations are not proceeding as planned.
  • Failure to meet market expectations for sales and earnings growth.
  • Dietary concerns that compel customers to seek out healthier alternatives
  • Input and labour costs have risen.
  • Competition-related market pressures.
  • Key management personnel have left.
  • The corporate office must increase financial assistance to struggling franchisees.
  • Any additional negative media coverage, particularly regarding underpayment of wages at the franchisee level.
  • Any new concerns about store rollout (such as cannibalisation or demographics not supportive of new stores).
  • Commodity prices have risen as a result of Australia’s ongoing drought.

Highlights of key FY21 results

  • FY22 has begun on a strong footing, with 2,974 stores (including 26 opened this fiscal year) delivering +7.7 percent network sales growth (+2.7 percent on a Same Store basis)… With a two-year cumulative Same Store Sales growth of 13.7 percent, Domino’s is trying to demonstrate sustainable growth by retaining customers from the pandemic’s initial peaks.
  • The 3-5 Year Outlook for New Store Openings has increased to +9-12 percent (up from +7-9 percent),” with management stating that “a review of our modelling has increased our expectations for Benelux (+200 stores) and Japan (+500 stores), and now expects to operate 6,650 stores by 2033.
  • DMP reaffirms its 3-5 year Same Store Sales forecast of +3-6 percent.
  • The 3-5 year net capex outlook has been raised to $100-150 million (up from $60-100 million) as DMP assists franchisees with store expansions.
  • The Board has determined that it will increase its payout ratio from 70% to 80% in recognition of this new phase in Domino’s growth and the expected free cash flow.

Company Description  

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) operates retail food outlets. The Company offers franchises to the public and holds the franchise rights for the Domino’s brand and network in Australia, New Zealand, Europe and Japan. 

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

International Still a Drag, but Other Segments Mostly Positive for Scotiabank in Fiscal Q3

. Its domestic operations are more concentrated in mortgages and auto lending. The international exposure gives the bank the potential for higher growth and return opportunities compared with peers, but it also exposes the bank to more risks.

The bank is in the middle of rationalizing its many back-end systems and improving efficiency bankwide.The bank is continuously focusing in digitalisation and has been spending the most on its technology and communication expenses. These efforts will ultimately pay off in the form of improved operating efficiency, customer engagement, and internal sales coordination. This leads us to believe that returns on tangible equity near 15% are sustainable over the longer term for the bank.

International Still a Drag, but Other Segments Mostly Positive for Scotiabank in Fiscal Q3

Bank of Nova Scotia reported decent fiscal third-quarter earnings. Adjusted earnings per share were CAD 2.01, representing solid year-over-year growth which is higher than last quarter’s EPS of CAD 1.90. Provisioning continues to be a major driver of improved earnings. Credit costs remained solid and provisioning was low during the quarter while the bank is still holding excess reserves for future credit losses

Revenue growth continued to be lackluster for Scotiabank, up only 1% year over year as the bank’s international segment remains under some pressure and fee growth for the global markets segment faced tough year over year comps. It is expected that the international fees to continue to recover as the economic picture is improving in essentially all of Scotia bank’s Pacific .

Financial Strength:

Bank of Nova Scotia holds strong overall financial health with net revenue of CAD 30729 million and net income of CAD 6582 million in the year 2020. Nova Scotia’s reported common equity Tier 1 ratio of 12.2% as of July 2021 which remains satisfactory. This is above the 11.5% goal that management has targeted and leaves the bank well positioned to absorb the upcoming rise in credit costs. With dividend payout ratios at manageable levels between 40% and 50%, we expect its capital generation will continue to provide growth in its capital position, leaving room for future bolt-on acquisitions, increased capital return to shareholders, or both

Bulls Say

  • The Canadian market remains attractive; the government has placed barriers to entry that protect high returns.
  • The international segment’s exposure to higher growth emerging markets in Latin America will offset Scotia bank’s slower growth in its home markets and offer a runway for higher growth and returns compared with peers.
  • Scotiabank has consistently been one of the most efficient bankwide operators, and its higher relative level of spending on technology should allow this to continue.

Company Profile

Bank of Nova Scotia is a global financial services provider. The bank has five business segments: Canadian banking, international banking, global wealth management, global banking and markets, and other. It offers a range of advice, products, and services, including personal and commercial banking, wealth management and private banking, corporate and investment banking, and capital markets. The bank’s international operations span numerous countries and are more concentrated in Central and South America

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.