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Shares Technology Stocks

Whispir Ltd reported strong 1H22 results ; Focus on increasing platform usage and onboarding new customers

85215903 - attractive businessman using mobile phone while having lunch

Investment Thesis 

  • Sizeable market opportunity – in the U.S. alone WSP TAM is US$4.7bn (WSP North American target markets) vs total U.S. CPaaS TAM of US$98bn.
  • Established a solid foundation to build from – the Company has over 800 customers worldwide with leading brand names.  
  • Structural tailwinds – ongoing automation and digitization. 
  • Increasing direct sales penetration.
  • Attractive recurring revenue base via subscriptions. 
  • Investment in R&D to continue developing the Company’s competitive position and enhance value proposition with customers

Key Risks

  • Rising competitive pressures.
  • Growth disappoints the market, given the company trades on high valuation multiples – growth in subscriptions, new customers and penetration of existing clients. 
  • Product innovation stalls and fails to resonate with customers. 
  • Emergence of new competitors and technology.
  • Key channel partnerships breakdown. 

1H22 Results Highlights. Relative to the pcp: 

  • Revenues of $39.4m, up +70.4% (CAGR of +37.7% since 1H19). Annualised Recurring Revenue (ARR) at $60.0m, up +26.6% (CAGR of +29.4% since 1H19). WSP saw significant contract wins in ANZ, Asia and North America which bodes well for future revenue growth. 
  •  WSP achieved gross profit of $23.0m, up +64.9%. Gross margin declined from 60.4% to 58.4% due to a surge in transactional revenues, which grew from 66.6% to 80.6% of total revenue. 
  • Operating expenses jumped +75.0% to $29.9m, as WSP grew head count from 169 to 270 to service the growing business. 
  •  WSP reported an EBITDA loss of $(4.6)m versus $(1.8)m in the pcp. 
  •  WSP remains well-funded, with no debt and line of sight to cash flow breakeven. 
  • WSP remains on track to deliver on upgraded guidance for FY22.
  • WSP remains well-funded, with no debt and line of sight to cash flow breakeven

Company Profile

Whispir Ltd (WSP), founded in 2001, is a global enterprise software-as-a-service (SasS) company. WSP provides a communications workflow platform that automates interactions between businesses and people. The Company has over 800 customers, operates in 60 countries and more than 200 staff globally. WSP operates in an emerging subset of the enterprise communications SaaS market known as Workflow Communications-as-a-Service (WCaaS). WSP currently solves two communication problems: (1) Operational Messaging – engaging with employees; and (2) External Messaging – engaging with customers. WSP operates in 3 key markets – Operational messaging (size $8bn), API messaging (size $32bn) and Marketing messages (size $66bn). 

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Philosophy Technical Picks

Spark New Zealand reported strong 1H22 results;Announced plans to establish Spark TowerCo

Investment Thesis 

  • Attractive dividend yield of 5.2%. 
  • Market-leading position in New Zealand. Dominant market share in Mobile, Broadband and is the leader in IT Services.
  • Strong capacity for growth demonstrated across all segments, with IT expected to continue to be a key driver as more consumers and businesses migrate to the Cloud. 
  • Investments in Broadband and the roll-out of 4.5G should see its lagging broadband segment improve.
  • Multi-product offerings provide interesting points of differentiation from other telco providers.
  • Implementation of “Agile” leading to further cost reductions and operating efficiencies.
  • Increasing customer demand for higher-margin cloud-based services.
  • Increases in ARPU growth and connections despite weak industry conditions
  • SPK still commands a strong market position and has the ability to invest in technologies and areas which could provide room for growth.

Key Risks

  • Unsuccessful migration of copper wire customers resulting in earnings drag in May due to weather conditions. 
  • More competition in its Mobile and Broadband segments leading to aggressive margin contraction, especially as products become commoditized.
  • Risk of cost blowout (for instance in network upgrades or maintenance).
  • Churn risk. 
  • Balance sheet risk (including credit ratings risk) should earnings decline due competitive and structural risks. 
  • Reduced flexibility and increased net debt if unable to fund total dividend by earnings per share
  • Any network disruptions/outages.

1H22 results summary. Relative to the pcp: 

  • Revenue increased +5.2% to $1,890m, driven by +5% growth in Mobile Services (secured ~60% of total market), +3.2% growth in Cloud, security, and service management (driven by demand for public cloud and growth in the health sector), +27.5% growth in Procurement revenue (driven by national health software licence contract), +7% increase in Others (investment behind future markets continued to gain momentum and Spark IoT connections increased +31% to 623,000), partially offset by -3.9% decline in Broadband (amid competitive market intensity) and -5.2% decline in Voice. 
  •  Opex increased +4.3% to $1,352m as increase in product costs driven by higher procurement volumes and growth in cloud and collaboration and increase in net labour costs (talent scarcity) was partially offset by precision marketing savings. 
  •  EBITDAI increased +7.6% to $538m with margin improving +70bps to 28.5% and management remains on track to achieve 31%. 
  •  NPAT increased +21.8% to $179m, driven by EBITDAI growth, a reduction in finance expense and lease liability interest, and lower D&A. 
  •  FCF increased +61.9% to $183m with cash conversion of 110%, driven by improvement in working capital, EBITDAI growth and lower tax. 
  •  Capex increased +14.7% to $218m, driven by uplift in mobile RAN investment in support of accelerated 5G rollout and increased investment in IT systems. 
  •  Net Debt declined -1.4% to $1,380m leading to net debt to EBITDAI ratio declining -0.15x to 1.2x, within internal threshold of 1.4x and consistent with S&P A- credit rating. 
  • The Board declared a 100% imputed interim dividend of 12.5cps. 

Spark TowerCo subsidiary announced

Management announced plans to transfer its passive mobile tower assets, spanning ~1,500 mobile sites, into a separate subsidiary, Spark TowerCo, to improve utilisation through coverage expansion and increased tenancy, while delivering cost efficiencies as the Company expands coverage across Aotearoa. Management also intends to commence a process in 2H22 to explore the introduction of third-party capital into Spark TowerCo, with more information expected to be revealed in 2H22. 

Company Profile

Spark New Zealand Ltd (SPK) is a New Zealand based telecommunications company. SPK’s key services are the provision of telephone lines, mobile telecommunications, broadband services and IT services. Its key product offerings are Spark Home, Mobile & Business, Spark Digital, Spark Ventures, and Spark Connect. The Company operates four main segments: (1) Spark Home, Mobile & Business; (2) Spark Digital; (3) Spark Connect & Platforms; and (4) Spark Ventures & Wholesale. 

 (Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks

Edison’s Financing In Place To Support 18 Consecutive Dividend Growth Plans

Business Strategy and Outlook

California will always present political, regulatory, and operating challenges for utilities like Edison International. But California’s aggressive clean energy goals also offer Edison more growth opportunities than most utilities. Policymakers know that meeting the state’s clean energy goals, notably a carbon emissions-free economy by 2045, will require financially healthy utilities. 

It is foreseen Edison will invest at least $6 billion annually, resulting in 6% annual earnings growth at least through 2025. Edison already has regulatory and policy support for most of these investments, which address grid safety, renewable energy, electric vehicles, distributed generation, and energy storage. Wildfire safety investments alone could reach $4 billion during the next four years. It is seen state policies will force regulators to support Edison’s investment plan and earnings growth. In August 2021, regulators approved nearly all of Edison’s 2021-23 investment plan. Regulatory proceedings in 2022 will address wildfire-specific investments and Edison’s $6 billion investment plan for 2024. 

Operating cost discipline will be critical to avoid large customer bill increases related to its investment plan. Edison faces regulatory scrutiny to prove its investments are producing customer benefits. It also must resolve the balance of what could end up being $7.5 billion of liabilities related to 2017-18 fires and mudslides. Large equity issuances in 2019 and 2020–in part to fund the company’s $2.4 billion contribution to the state wildfire insurance fund and a higher equity allowance for ratemaking–weighed on earnings the last two years. Edison now has most of its financing in place to execute its growth plan and continue its streak of 18 consecutive annual dividend increases. It is anticipated Edison to retain a small share of unregulated earnings, but those are more likely to come from low-risk customer-facing or energy management businesses wrapped into Edison Energy.

Financial Strength

Edison’s credit metrics are well within investment-grade range. California wildfire legislation and regulatory rulings in 2021 removed the overhang that threatened Edison’s investment-grade ratings in early 2019.Edison has kept its balance sheet strong with substantial equity issuances since 2019. It is not projected Edison will have any liquidity issues as it resolves 2017-18 fire and mudslide liabilities while funding its growth investments. Edison issued $2.4 billion of new equity in 2019 at prices in line with Amnalysts fair value estimate. This financing supported both its growth investments and half of its $2.4 billion contribution to the California wildfire insurance fund. The new equity also allowed Southern California Edison to adjust its allowed capital structure to 52% equity from 48% equity for rate-making purposes, leading to higher revenue and partially offsetting the earnings dilution.Edison’s $800 million equity raise in May 2020 at $56 per share was well below analysts fair value estimate but was necessary to support its growth plan in 2020 and early 2021. Edison also raised nearly $2 billion of preferred stock in 2021 and might issue more preferred stock to limit equity dilution as it finances its growth program. In particular, it is likely Edison will have to raise equity to finance its $1 billion energy storage project in 2022.It is held dividends to grow in line with SCE’s earnings. The board approved a $0.15 per share annualized increase, or 6%, for 2022, its 18th consecutive annual dividend increase. Management has long targeted a 45%-55% payout based on SCE’s earnings, but the board appears to be comfortable going above that range based on the 2021 and 2022 dividends that implied near-60% payout ratios. As long as Edison continues to receive regulatory support, it is held the board will keep the dividend at the high end of its target payout range.

Bulls Say’s

  • With Edison’s nearly $6 billion of planned annual investment during the next four years, analysts project 6% average annual average earnings growth in 2022-25. 
  • Edison has raised its dividend for 18 consecutive years to $2.80 in 2022, a 6% increase from 2021. Management appears comfortable maintaining a payout ratio above its 45%-55% target. 
  • California’s focus on renewable energy, energy storage, and distributed generation should bolster Edison’s investment opportunities in transmission and distribution upgrades for many years.

Company Profile 

Edison International is the parent company of Southern California Edison, an electric utility that supplies power to 5 million customers in a 50,000-square-mile area of Southern California, excluding Los Angeles. Edison Energy owns interests in nonutility businesses that deal in energy-related products and services. In 2014, Edison International sold its wholesale generation subsidiary Edison Mission Energy out of bankruptcy to NRG Energy. 

(Source: MorningStar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks

APA Group – The Board declared an interim distribution of 25cps and reaffirmed FY22 DPS of 53cps, up +3.9% over pcp

Investment Thesis:

  • High quality assets, which are difficult to replicate. 
  • The quality of APA’s assets; the Company will always retain its M&A appeal. Last takeover bid (by CKI) was at $11.00 per share. 
  • Attractive and growing distribution yield. 
  • Highly credit worthy customers.
  • Currently assessing international opportunities – USA focus.
  • Organic growth pipeline of >$1.4bn.
  • Growth through acquisitions.
  • Diversified customer base by sector.
  • Largest owner of gas transmission pipelines in Australia. 
  • Opportunity to grow its renewable business. 
  • Management announced their ambition to achieve.

Key Risks:

  • Negative market/investor sentiment towards “bond-proxies”.
  • Future regulatory changes by pipeline regulators.
  • Large portion of businesses are exposed to the energy sector.
  • Infrastructure issues such as explosions or ruptures.
  • Adverse decision from COAG reviews transmission costs. 
  • Shorter contract terms on existing capacity.

Key Highlights:

  • Revenue (excluding pass-through) increased +4.3% to $1,117.7m, with growth across all segments including Victorian Transmission System, Diamantina Power Station and Asset Management driven by favourable tariff escalation given exposure to Australian and US inflation indices.
  • Underlying opex increased +4.5% to $257.6m, driven by higher bidding costs associated with corporate development activities, higher insurance premiums, and enhancements across technology, partially offset by ongoing discipline in management of operations & maintenance.
  • Underlying EBITDA increased by +4.5% to $859.8m as higher revenue was partly offset by increased investments in capability and strategic projects.
  • NPAT (excluding significant items) declined -2.2%, as higher EBITDA and a decline in interest expense due to lower average interest costs due to liability management exercise completed in March 2021 was more than offset by higher D&A and tax expense. NPAT (including significant items) was $155.6m compared to loss of $15.5m in pcp, largely due to a non-cash impairment of $249.3m in pcp against the Orbost Gas Processing Plant.
  • FCF increased +22.6% to $515.1m, primarily due to higher earnings and lower interest paid.
  • Total capex increased +27% to $314.4m (growth capex down -41.7% and stay-in-business capex down -16%), primarily due to IT capex increasing +77.5% and corporate real estate capex of $7.9m.
  • The Board declared an interim distribution of 25cps (20.12cps from APT + 4.88cps from APTIT), up +4.2% over pcp and equating to payout ratio of 57.3%. APA reaffirmed FY22 DPS of 53cps, an increase of +3.9% over pcp.

Company Description:

APA Group Limited (APA) is a natural gas infrastructure company. The Company owns and/or operates gas transmission and distribution assets whose pipelines span every state and territory in mainland Australia. APA Group also holds minority interests in energy infrastructure enterprises. APA derives its revenue through a mix of regulated revenue, long-term negotiated contracts, asset management fees and investment earnings.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises food inflation anticipated in 2H22

Investment Thesis:

  • Trading below our valuation. 
  • Potential for solid growth in Europe and Japan, substantial opportunities, that the Company is positioned to take advantage of.
  • Strong market position in all of DMP’s existing geographies.
  • DMP is ahead of the curve with the use of technology and innovative offerings for its customers.
  • Acquisition in Europe to bring in top line revenue growth.
  • Strong management team.
  • Improving margin outlook (i.e., operating leverage benefits).

Key Risks:

  • Acquisition integrations not going to plan.
  • Missing market expectations on sales and earnings growth. 
  • Dietary concerns that drive customers to healthier alternatives.
  • Increased cost in ingredients and labor.
  • Market pressures from the competition. 
  • Departure of key management personnel. 
  • Corporate office having to increase financial support to struggling franchisees.  
  • Any further negative media articles especially around underpayment of wages at the franchisee level.
  • Any emerging concerns around store rollout (such as cannibalization or demographics not supportive of new stores).
  • Increase in commodity prices due to ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Key Highlights:

  • Trading update: For first 6 weeks of 2H22, Network Sales up +6.0% (+1.7% on a same store sales basis) vs +20.9% (+10.1% on same store basis) in pcp and new organic store additions of 23 (vs 11 in pcp) with the Company remaining on track to expand its network by +500 during FY22 (including Taiwan acquisition).
  • Food inflation anticipated in 2H22.
  • FY22 same store sales growth slightly below 3–5-year outlook of +3-6%.
  • 3–5-year annual outlook of +3-6% same store sales growth, +9-12% new organic store additions and ~$100-150m net capex remains intact.
  • Group milestone of 6,650 stores by 2033 with total opportunity of 2.1x current market size (Europe milestone of 3,050 stores by 2033 with total opportunity of 2.3x current market size, ANZ store target of 1200 by 2025-2028 with total opportunity of 1.4x current market size, and Asia milestone of 2,400 stores by 2033 with total market opportunity of 2.3x current market size).   
  • Australia region Highlight includes Network Sales grew +6.4% over pcp to $689.6m (same store sales up +1.7%), however, EBIT declined -6.1% over pcp to $60.3m with margin declining -180bps to 15%, reflecting investment in franchisees (Project Ignite ~$6m) and full & partial temporary store closures arising from Covid-19 (NZ was closed for 4 full weeks during August with Auckland stores closed for a more extended period of time). Online penetration grew with online sales growing +9.7% over pcp to $545.1m and online now representing 79% of total network sales, up +230bps over pcp. The Company opened 3 new stores increasing total store count to 863. 

Company Description:

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) operates retail food outlets. The Company offers franchises to the public and holds the franchise rights for the Domino’s brand and network in Australia, New Zealand, Europe and Japan. 

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
LICs LICs

Keybridge Capital Limited Announces Proposed Takeover Bid Over for WAAM Active Limited

Keybridge Capital Limited (KBC)has announced its intention to make an off-market takeover bid for WAM Active (WAA)for an all scrip consideration of 1.16 x $1.00 Keybridge convertible redeemable promissory notes (CRPN) for each WAA share. This equates to a value of $1.16 per WAA share, an 8.4% premium to the share price at the COB on the day of the announcement (7 February 2021) and a 13.6% premium to the most recently released post-tax NTA. The Offer values WAA at $85.6m, currently a market cap of $79.0m. The Offer is subject to Keybridge shareholder approval.

Keybridge have outlined the following key terms for the CRPN:

  • Face value of $1.00
  • Maturity Date of 10 years from the issue date.
  • Will be categorised as an equity instrument for tax purposes.
  • A gross running yield of 2.0% p.a., fully franked. The CRPN will pay a fully franked dividend of 1.4 cents per note, paid annually.
  • A dividend stopper on Keybridge ordinary shares if a CRPN interest payment remains outstanding.
  • Upon maturity, the CRPN may be redeemed for the face value in cash or converted into Keybridge ordinary shares at a 5% discount to the VWAP.

The Keybridge CRPN is intended to be ASX-listed.

There is a bit of history with regards to Keybridge and WAA. In 2020, WAA made a takeover bid for Keybridge which was unsuccessful. The two parties also went to court regarding the block of shares held by WAA, in which costs were awarded against Keybridge. In the event Keybridge obtains control of WAA, it intends to dispose of WAA’s shares in Keybridge within 12-months. WAA and associated entities of the Wilson Asset Management Group hold a 44.5% interest in Keybridge.

Company Profile

Keybridge is an ASX-listed investment and financial services group (ASX: KBC) with a portfolio of listed and unlisted investments/loan assets in the life insurance (New Zealand), property and funds management sectors and strategic holdings in HHY Fund (ASX: HHY), Yowie Group Ltd (ASX: YOW), Metgasco Limited (ASX: MEL) and Molopo Energy Limited. At 31 December 2021, Keybridge had Net Assets of $18.36m. Keybridge currently holds a 6.0% interest in WAA.

(Source: FNArena)

  • Relative to the pcp: (1) 

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Technology Stocks

Nanosonics Ltd. reflecting a strong rebound in growth compared to 1H21

Investment Thesis

  • Requirement for ultrasound disinfection. Ultrasound transducers must be disinfected between patients to prevent cross-infection. Trophon EPR is a significant improvement above traditional methods (soak, spray, wipe or other manual reprocessing/disinfection method). For instance, traditional soaking takes ~25 minutes versus Trophon which takes ~7-8 minutes to disinfect ultrasound probes.
  • Potential addressable installed base of ~120,000 Trophon EPR units globally (~40,000 in the US, Europe and Rest of World each).
  • New guidelines and regulation drive pathways to reinforce requirements for high level disinfection. For instance, new guidelines in Australia and New Zealand setting Trophon as the standard in high level disinfection.
  • Continued growth in North America to be driven by its direct sales team with adoption remaining strong and Trophon becoming the standard of care.
  • Large and credible distribution partner is retained in GE Healthcare with demand for safety inventory.
  • Managed Equipment Service business model (MES) in the UK overcoming capital budget constraints by clients.
  • Progress with geographic expansion. 
  • Strong balance sheet to support growth strategy.

Key Risks 

  • Competitive pressures as potential entrants enter the market. 
  • Non-receptive markets where NAN’s product is considered overkill compared to traditional disinfection methods such as using sterilised wipes.
  • Key customer risk as one customer is NAN’s largest customer 
  • Product faults or incidents where recalls are required.
  • Adverse foreign currency movements in AUD/USD.
  • Poor execution of R&D with no progress.
  • Nature of business makes it prone to easily reaching a natural penetration rate, where growth becomes subdued.  

1H22 Results Highlight

  • Revenue of $60.6m, up +41%, driven by strong growth with capital revenue of $19.0m, up +102%, and consumables and service revenue of $41.6m, up +23%.
  • Global installed base up +12%.
  • Continued investment in the strategic growth agenda resulted in operating expenses of $42.7m, up +29%.
  • Operating profit before tax of $3.3m, significantly improved from the $0.2m in the pcp.
  • NAN has no debt and its cash position continues to provide a strong foundation to support its growth plans – 1H22 free cash flow reflects net outflow of $3.8m with Cash and cash equivalents of $92.0m at 31 December 2021.
  • R&D investment of $10.7m, up +41%, with a focus on NAN’s new endoscope reprocessing product platform, Nanosonics Coris.

Company Profile 

Nanosonics Ltd (NAN) is an ASX-listed company which focuses on developing and commercialising infection control devices. NAN’s first device, the trophon® EPR is a proprietary automated device for low temperature, high level disinfection of ultrasound probes. The device is approved for sale across major markets including, Australia and New Zealand, US, Europe, Japan, Hong Kong, and South Korea. The trophon® EPR is sold through distributors including GE Healthcare, Philips, Samsung, Siemens Toshiba and Miele Professional.

(Source: BanyanTree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

CGC reported solid FY 21 results driven by International segment to grow its revenue by 30%

Investment Thesis 

  • Improving momentum at the operational level and the stock is trading well below our valuation.
  • Positive thematic play on food supply for a growing global and domestic population.
  • Leading market positions in five core categories (Berries, Mushrooms, Citrus, Tomato and Avocado via the recent acquisition).
  • Near-term challenges could persist a little while longer (e.g. extreme weather and drought)
  • Execution of domestic berry growth program continues, while China berry expansion is gaining momentum. 
  • Balance sheet risk has been removed with the recent capital raising.
  • Given the number of downgrades, management will likely need to rebuild trust with its guidance and execution.

Key Risks

  • Further deterioration in weather conditions leading to pressure on earnings.
  • Further deterioration in earnings could put the balance risk at risk again.  
  • Weather affecting crops or any significant increase in insurance expense. This risk is mitigated as CGC has crop insurance (hail, wind, fire) and structure insurance.
  • Any power outage causing crops to be destroyed per incident.
  • Any significant increase in costs of power, affecting earnings.
  • Any disruption to operations from health and safety issues.
  • Any disruptions or issues associated with water, irrigation and water recycling.
  • Negotiations with supermarket giants Coles (Wesfarmers), Woolworths and independent grocers result in erosion of margins.
  • Pricing pressures arising from either competitors, or insufficient demand.
  • Increased costs due to lower water allocations. 

1H22 Results Highlights                

Relative to the pcp:   

  • Revenue increased +4.8% to $1220.6m, driven by International up +30% (+40% in CC) with both regions performing strongly with production and pricing improvements. 
  •  EBITDA-S increased +10.6% (+14% in CC) to $218.2m, with International up +33.9% (+49.2% in CC) underpinned by strong China pricing and additional production from increased footprint and yield, partially offset by -1.3% decline in Farms & Logistics segment amid Covid-19 lockdowns impacting foodservice/market industry. 
  •  NPAT-S increased +16% (+25% in CC) to $64m with higher D&A amid major capex programs going-live and impact of acquisitions was more than offset by reduced tax expense amid increased contribution from China. Statutory NPAT declined -32% (-28% in CC) to $41.4m. 
  •  Operating cashflow of $114.6m declined -16.8%, amid increased working capital in 2H21 (consistent with normal cycle) and $23.1m tax payments. 
  •  Operating capex increased +51% to $43.2m (expect CY22 to be $55-60m) and growth capex of $84.4m increased +68% amid continuation of international expansion. 
  •  Net debt increased +108% to $299.2m leading to leverage increasing +0.86x to 1.85x, still within target range of 1.5-2x. 
  •  The Board declared a fully franked final dividend of 5cps bringing FY21 payout to 9.0cps (flat over pcp). 

Company Profile

Costa Group Holdings Ltd (CGC) grows and markets fruit and vegetables and supplies them to supermarket chains and independent grocers globally. CGC has leading market positions in five core categories of Berries (Blueberries, strawberries and raspberries), Mushrooms, Citrus, Tomato and Avocado via the recent acquisition.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Technology Stocks

CrowdStrike in the early stages of becoming a market mainstay

Business Strategy and Outlook

CrowdStrike is a leader in endpoint security, a necessity that aids in protecting devices and networks, and its threat hunting and breach remediation services are topnotch. While nefarious threat actors are continually upping their attack methodology to create zero-day attacks and are using the rise in entities using cloud-based resources to their advantage, CrowdStrike developed a methodology to turn any entities’ weak-point into better protection for all of its clients. CrowdStrike’s cloud-delivered endpoint protection platform continuously ingests data from all of its installed agents to enhance its protection solutions while keeping all users up to date against the latest threats. It is anticipated that CrowdStrike’s customer base, revenue, and margins will experience profound growth throughout the 2020s as customers update their endpoint and workload security requirements in a hybrid-cloud world. 

CrowdStrike’s endpoint protection platform melded the needs of next-generation antivirus, threat intelligence, endpoint detection and response, and other features like managed threat hunting into a consolidated management plane. The lightweight agents, installed on physical devices like servers and laptops, or in virtual machines and cloud environments, are continually improving through its cloud database algorithms, becoming more capable as more data is received. In analysts view, CrowdStrike’s solutions establish customer switching costs and its network effect makes changing vendors a challenge as clients rely on having the latest threat protection. 

Alongside a persistent talent shortage in cybersecurity and firms attempting to manage disparate toolsets for various parts of endpoint security, entities are challenged to stay secure in networking environments without distinct security perimeters. CrowdStrike’s experts supplement these overwhelmed or short-staffed teams, and the firm also offers breach remediation and proactive testing services. It is likely that CrowdStrike is in the early stages of becoming a market mainstay as businesses and governments rapidly adopt cloud-based endpoint protection platforms.

Financial Strength

It is seen CrowdStrike as a financially sound company that will be able to generate solid free cash flow and expand its margin profile throughout the 2020s. CrowdStrike had its initial public offering in June 2019 and has historically operated at a loss on a GAAP basis. It is viewed CrowdStrike’s capital deployment efforts true to a land-and-expand strategy, whereby CrowdStrike initially has elevated sales and marketing expenses to gain a customer cohort before expanding its revenue per customer while lowering its operating costs per customer (on a revenue percentage basis). In analysts view, CrowdStrike can benefit from cross-selling and up-selling tangential products to its existing base and new clients, while also converting breach remediation service clients to be product customers. As of the end of fiscal 2022, CrowdStrike had $2.0 billion of cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities and $740 million of debt. With a strong balance sheet and free cash flow generation, it is anticipated CrowdStrike to pay its obligations on time.

Bulls Say’s

  • CrowdStrike’s innovative endpoint security solutions, delivered as a platform, are quickly attracting customers as clients want to consolidate their myriad legacy security tools. Its threat remediation services are a powerful tool in landing new subscription clients. 
  • After landing a client, CrowdStrike can gain significant margin leverage via the cross-selling and up-selling of additional security modules. 
  • CrowdStrike’s products become more capable as new clients are added, and its threat intelligence and hunting can become a core part of customer’s cybercrime defense.

Company Profile 

CrowdStrike Holdings provides cybersecurity products and services aimed at protecting organizations from cyberthreats. It offers cloud-delivered protection across endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data, and threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, identity protection, and log management. CrowdStrike went public in 2019 and serves customers worldwide 

(Source: MorningStar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Shares Small Cap

Myer remains highly uncertain as it grapples with cyclical and structural industry headwinds

Business Strategy and Outlook

Myer targets the middle to upper market, selling exclusive brands in competition with department store David Jones. The five largest Australian department stores share virtually the whole of the department store sector between them. While Myer, with a market share of around 15%, and key competitor David Jones (around 10%) operate at the upper end of the market, they also compete to an extent with the discount department stores operated by Wesfarmers (around 50%) and Woolworths (around 25%).

With entry into the Australian market of brands like Zara and H&M, and online competition from players such as Amazon, it is anticipated domestic department stores will increasingly find it difficult to compete with the international disrupters because of limited comparable sales volume growth. It is seen online sales to become an even more meaningful percentage of sales during the next decade as consumers increasingly perceive online retailers as offering value and convenience. Myer’s strategy is to strengthen its online presence and is rapidly growing its e-commerce business, while rationalising its physical footprint to maintain productivity levels, owing to relatively weak sales growth in the brick-and-mortar channel. But it is likely competition from e-commerce to intensify.

While it is likely the online channel to grow faster than the brick-and-mortar channel to fiscal 2030, and Myer to partially capture its share of this e-commerce growth, Amazon Australia will pursue its piece of the pie, leading to a decline in the size of the sector’s addressable market. The outlook for Myer remains highly uncertain as it grapples with cyclical and structural industry headwinds. To account for this uncertainty, analysts require a large discount to perceived value before investing in Myer. In tough economic times, it is the discount department stores benefit from more frugal customer behaviour. It is expected earnings to improve gradually from fiscal 2022, with the removal of virus-related restrictions when a treatment and vaccine for COVID-19 become widely available.

Financial Strength

The balance sheet continued to improve, and Myer finished January 2022 with a net cash position of around AUD 217 million. This compares with net cash of AUD 206 million as of January 2021. A new four-year funding package secured in November 2021, eliminated near-term refinancing risk. Myer’s board reinstated the dividend, which had been suspended since fiscal 2018. The reinstatement of the dividend signals the board’s confidence in the underlying strength of the business and could improve market sentiment.As are many other retailers, Myer is committed to paying rent to landlords for its store portfolio. These operating leases are now on balance sheet with new accounting standards from January 2019.

Bulls Say’s

  • Myer is an iconic Australian department store brand resonates with Australians. Myer is hanging onto this perception by improving its stores and online offerings to meet customer demand.
  • Myer is well placed to rebound strongly if it can successfully navigate the current economic slowdown.
  • Strategic initiatives–aimed at vertically integrating retail from design, manufacture, and sales–ensure that Myer is capturing a higher share of gross margin and control of its exclusive bands.

Company Profile

Myer is Australia’s largest department store operator, with some 60 stores that are mostly spread across eastern states. Stores are generally located in areas of high foot traffic in major metropolitan shopping centres. Competitive advantages include a well-established brand and scale benefits from a relatively large revenue base. The brand is somewhat iconic among Australian domestic consumers. The group’s loyalty programme has more than 5 million members.

(Source: MorningStar)

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Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.