Investment Thesis:
- Scrap volumes have been improved
- Scrap prices across key regions have been improved
- Significant earnings could be obtained from cloud recycling over the long run
- Investment in improving scrap quality should improve SGM’s competitive position
- Undemanding valuation relative to its own historical average and ASX200 Industrials Index
- Earnings could be supported by self-help initiatives
- Return on Capital (ROC) of >10% in comparison to 8.6% in FY19 is targeted by the management
- On-market share buyback of $150m
Key Risks:
- Global economy facing substantial downside
- Escalation of trade war between China and the U.S.
- Key areas experiencing weaker scrap prices
- Decrease in volumes
- Changes in regulatory affairs – especially China’s anti-pollution policies.
- Group margins impacted by cost pressures
Key Highlights:
- Strong FY21 results by Sims Ltd., which were ahead of market estimates
- Revenue of $5,916.3m, which is up +20.5%
- Underlying EBIT of $386.6m, which was a significant turnaround from -$57.9m in FY20, affected by volume growth, margin expansion year on year, and material improvement in market prices
- Achievement of fixed cost savings of $75m
- Final dividend declaration of 30.0cps, 50% franked, which brings FY21 total dividends to 42.0cps reflects a significant improvement from 6.0cps in FY20 but at a lower payout ratio
- SGM entered a JV with 50% ownership interest (at a $4.8m cost) with acquisition of assets from JED renewable landfill gas to energy facility near Orlando, Florida.
- The ongoing or announced stimulus spending, particularly in the USA and China, would increase demand for steel-intensive infrastructure spending and drive additional retail consumption. Additional retail consumption will thereby increase post-consumption scrap. These drivers are positive for both ferrous and non-ferrous metal recycling.
- Company will conduct a $150m on-market share buyback
Company Profile:
Sims Ltd (SGM) collects, sorts and processes scrap metal materials which are recycled for resale. SGM’s segments include ferrous recycling, non-ferrous recycling, secondary processing of non-ferrous metals and plastics, international trading of metal commodities and the merchandising of steel semi-fabricated products.
General Advice Warning
Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.