Business Strategy & Outlook
Sonic Automotive is undergoing many changes. Rollout of its omnichannel Digital One Stop process and the CarCash app allows consumers to shop digitally or in-store and helps Sonic procure more used-vehicle inventory. Management has also worked to make the car-buying process nearly paperless, place the customer with only one person for the entire transaction, and enable the customer to take delivery of a vehicle in an hour or less after deciding which one to buy. In October 2013, Sonic announced its intention to compete with CarMax in used vehicles with EchoPark used-vehicle stores.
The U.S. used-vehicle market is highly fragmented at about 40 million units a year, with late-model used vehicles as old as six years often making up at least 15 million units, so there is certainly room for both firms to pursue their strategies. Openings started in late 2014 in the Denver area and as of March 2022, the EchoPark segment has 47 stores with plans to add 25 a year between 2021 and 2025. It will take time for EchoPark to reach the scale to compete with CarMax’s over 220 stores. The stores will not have a big-box retail format and are not capital-intensive due to most eventually being delivery and buy centers that only cost $1 million-$2 million each. These centers will be served by larger hub stores in a region that each cost between $7 million and $25 million. EchoPark will not do home delivery. Sonic does not plan a captive finance arm like CarMax enjoys. In July 2020, management announced a $14 billion 2025 revenue target for EchoPark, up from $2.3 billion in 2021, with 140 nationwide points. This is not impossible because EchoPark intentionally undercuts competitors on price, then recovers a small loss on the vehicle by arranging loans with third-party lenders and selling extended warranties, targeting over $2,000 gross profit per unit. In 2021, Sonic said it is reviewing alternatives for EchoPark. Sonic will have scale relative to a small dealer and can get better terms from vendors for supplies, computer systems, and health insurance compared with a small dealer. It also captures lucrative service workover repair shops through its warranty business.
Financial Strengths
Sonic’s largest debt maturity at year-end 2021 through 2026 is $118.2 million in 2024, mostly from about $90 million of mortgage line borrowing coming due in November. The credit facility matures in April 2025 and is undrawn at the end of 2021 with $281.4 million available for borrowing. Total liquidity at the end of 2021 is $702.8 million including $299.4 million of cash. Management has told us that the used floorplan line is like a revolver. Net Debt/adjusted EBITDA was about 1.80 times at year-end 2021. Leverage in 2019 declined from about the 3.7 times level thanks to the early redemption of the firm’s $289.3 million 5% notes due in May 2023. Sonic also has $346.2 million of mortgage notes with 62% of the balance at fixed rates ranging between 2.05% to 7% and maturities at various dates through 2033. The company owns about half its real estate, but has not disclosed how much unencumbered real estate it has. In October 2021, Sonic issued $1.15 billion of 2029 ($650 million at 4.625%) and 2031 notes ($500 million at 4.875%) to help fund the $950 million purchase of RFJ Auto Partners in December 2021, but no one is concerned about balance sheet health. The firm’s debt profile is not going to be a challenge for management to maintain.
Bulls Say
- Auto dealerships are well-diversified businesses that have lucrative parts and servicing operations, which help them be profitable in almost any environment.
- EchoPark could prove to be a very lucrative business this decade if it can scale up.
- Sonic has the potential to generate significant economies of scale as vehicle demand rebounds and if EchoPark grows.
Company Description
Sonic Automotive is one of the largest auto dealership groups in the United States. The company has 110 franchised stores in 17 states, primarily in metropolitan areas in California, Texas, and the Southeast, plus 47 EchoPark and Northwest Motorsport brand used-vehicle stores. In addition to new and used-vehicle sales, the company derives revenue from parts and collision repair, finance, insurance, and wholesale auctions. Luxury and import dealerships make up about 88% of new-vehicle revenue, while Honda, BMW, Mercedes, and Toyota constitute about 60% of new-vehicle revenue. BMW is the largest brand at over 26%. 2021’s revenue was $12.4 billion, with EchoPark’s portion totaling $2.3 billion. Sonic bought RFJ Auto in December 2021, which added $3.2 billion in sales.
(Source: Morningstar)
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