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Technology Stocks

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd: Changing the cybersecurity mindset in a hybrid cloud world

Business Strategy and Outlook

Check Point Software Technologies is a top player in the cybersecurity market. It generates revenue from selling products, licenses, and subscriptions to protect networks, cloud environments, endpoints, and mobile users. Historically, firms purchased security point solutions to combat the latest threats and had to manage various software and hardware vendors’ products simultaneously. Changing the cybersecurity mindset in a hybrid cloud world, Check Point’s Infinity architecture consolidates various security products into a single management plane that deploys the latest updates across all attack vectors. With its vast customer base of over 100,000 businesses and renowned product leadership for existing threat technology, it is believed that Check Point’s consolidated security architecture provides ample upselling and cross-selling opportunities as enterprises increase their reliance on cloud-based products and distributed networking. With its growth lagging security peers, Check Point will ramp up sales and marketing efforts to showcase the advantage of its platform approach and next-generation security offerings. Check Point has adjusted its selling model to be subscription-based, and further ingrain the company with businesses that favor predictable operating expenditures. Its subscription-based Infinity Total Protection architecture offers all of Check Point’s products on an annual pay-per-user basis. This concept may help permeate Check Point’s product throughout an organization, since there are no additional costs for using more products, which then creates higher switching costs and better customer retention.

Check Point Software Moat Ratings upgraded to wide and increased fair value from $ 132 to  $137

Morningstar analysts have upgraded its moat roating for Check point Software to wide from narrow. For moat trend,analyst maintained a stable view of point in regards to the firm and increased its fair value estimate is now $137 from $132. Check Point’s shares attractive for patient investors in the steady, but lower growing firm.For Check Point’s stable trend, analyst  believes the company has a large, loyal customer base that relies upon its sticky products, but a conservative approach of investing in development and sales and marketing efforts has caused leading competitors to make inroads in the broader security landscape.

Financial Strength

Check Point can be viewed as financially stable firm that should continue to generate strong operating cash flow. .At the end of 2020, the company had no debt with $4.0 billion in cash, equivalents, and marketable securities. Check Point has never paid a dividend, and it is expected to continue to repurchase shares following the announcement of an additional $2 billion buyback authorized during 2020 (with a $350 million cap per quarter).Outside of the repurchase program, it is also expected that Check Point to primarily use its cash for operating expenditures to capitalize on customers requiring cloud-based threat protection. Additionally, Check Point will continue to make tuck-in acquisitions to bolster its presence in the cloud and mobile-based security markets.

Bulls Say 

  • Customers may adopt Check Point’s Infinity platform over using multiple vendors for cybersecurity protection. This should further embed the company’s products and increase switching costs. 
  • Check Point’s movement into cloud-based and mobile user security offers large growth opportunities to supplement its network security portfolio. Its existing customer base may prefer Check Point for security consistency. 
  • Increasing subscription-based sales and growing recurring revenue should further bolster Check Point’s stellar operating margin profile.

Company Profile

Check Point Software Technologies is a pure-play cybersecurity vendor. The company offers solutions for network, endpoint, cloud, and mobile security in addition to security management. Check Point, a software specialist, sells to enterprises, businesses, and consumers. At the end of 2020, 45% of its revenue was from the Americas, 43% from Europe, and 12% from Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa. The firm, based in Tel Aviv, Israel, was founded in 1993 and has about 5,000 employees.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Funds Funds

Franklin Income Fund Class C- a solid yield generating fund

The fund seeks to maximize income, while maintaining prospects for capital appreciation, by investing in a diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds. The fund tracks Linked Blended 50% MSCI USA High Dividend Yield Index + 25% Bloomberg High Yield Very Liquid Index + 25% Bloomberg US Aggregate Index

Process:

This fund aims to deliver income and capital appreciation using a flexible, valuation-conscious approach. Management invests in a mix of dividend-paying stocks, bonds, bank loans, convertibles, and equity-linked securities. But a heavy reliance on credit risk and the lack of an identifiable edge warrant a Process rating of Average. Management has significant flexibility to shift the portfolio, relying on bottom-up security selection, and yield in particular, to drive asset allocation without regard to sector weights or credit quality. The portfolio has averaged roughly 40% in equities. Within equities, management gravitates toward large-cap dividend-payers, which often results in big slugs of utilities, materials, and energy stocks. While this approach has consistently produced a relatively high yield and, at times, solid total returns, it has done so by relying heavily on high-yield bonds.

People:

This fund is backed by veterans, but the team doesn’t possess a clear advantage. Its People rating remains Average. Lead manager Edward Perks has helmed this fund since 2002 and Franklin Managed Income FBLAX since 2006. His comanagers possess complementary experience.

The equity and credit analyst teams the managers rely on for ideas boast a wealth of experience, but our confidence in them is muted. And Franklin Equity Income FISEX, an all-stock fund that invests in some of the same dividend-payers as this offering, is backed by the equity analyst team that generates ideas for a broad range of mandates rather than tailored recommendations.

Performance:

This fund’s substantial risks have resulted in high volatility relative to peers and middling risk-adjusted returns. This fund tends to be much more sensitive to equity markets than its typical allocation – 30% to 50% equity category peer because of its hefty dose of credit risk and its often-double-digit combined stake in equity linked notes and convertible bonds.

Price:

The expenses are critical to evaluate as they come directly come out of the expense. The analysts at Morningstar suggest that this share class will not be able to generate positive alpha relative to the benchmark index.

Asset Allocation:

About Fund:

The Fund aims to maximise income while maintaining prospects for capital appreciation by investing primarily in equity securities and long & short-term debt securities. The Fund may invest up to 25% of its net assets in non-U.S. securities. It’s three properties are: a balanced portfolio with exposure to the US markets, best of equity and fixed income teams and attention to risk elements.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Shares

Cochlear reported solid FY21 results, with earnings up by 54%

Investment Thesis:

  • Attractive market dynamics – growing population requiring hearing aids, improving health in EM providing more access to devices such as hearing aids and relatively underpenetrated market
  • There remains a significant, unmet and addressable clinical need for cochlear and acoustic implants that is expected to continue to underpin the long‐term sustainable growth of COH
  • Market leading positions globally
  • Direct-to-consumer marketing expected to fast track market growth 
  • Best in class R&D program (significant dollar amount) leading to continual development of new products and upgrades to existing suite of products 
  • New product launches driving continued demand in all segments 
  • Attractive exposure to growth in China, India and more recently Japan 
  • Solid balance sheet position
  • Potential benefit from Australian tax incentive 
  • Subject to successful passage of legislation, the patent box tax regime for medical technology and biotechnology should encourage development of innovation in Australia by taxing corporate income derived from patents at a concessional effective corporate tax rate of 17%, with the concession applying from income years starting on or after 1 July 2022 

Key Risks:

  • Product recall
  • Sustained coronavirus outbreak which delays recommencement of hospital operations in China
  • R&D program fails to deliver innovative products 
  • Increase in competitive pressures 
  • Change in government reimbursement policy 
  • Adverse movements in AUD/USD
  • Emerging market does not recoup – significant downside to earnings

Key highlights:

  • COH reported strong FY21 results, with earnings (underlying NPAT) up +54% to $237m and within guidance of $225-$245m, despite Covid-19 impacted surgery activity recovering to varied levels across both developed and emerging markets
  • For FY22, it is expected to deliver net profit of $265‐285m, a 12‐20% increase on underlying net profit for FY21, based on a 74 cent AUD/USD
  • Sales revenue is expected to benefit from market growth, with a continuing recovery in surgery rates across many countries more affected by Covid
  • The management will continue their investment in market growth activities
  • Capex is expected to be ~$70‐90m for FY22 and includes around $20m related to a major process transformation and IT systems upgrade, a program that is expected to be a $100‐120m investment over the next four to five years
  • Effective tax rate is expected to decline to ~25% as a result of the introduction of changes to the R&D tax concession by the Australian government, with legislated changes to take effect from 1 July 2021
  • The Board is committed to maintaining the dividend policy which targets a 70% payout of underlying net profit
  • Record sales revenue of $1,493m, was up +10%, or +19% in constant currency (CC), driven by market share gains, market growth and rescheduled surgeries post Covid lockdowns
  • Implant units climbed +15% to 36,456 (developed markets up ~20%; emerging markets up ~10%), compared to FY19, implant units increased +7%
  • The Board declared final dividend of $1.40 which brings full year dividends to $2.55 per share, up +59% and equates payout ratio of 71% of underlying net profit, in line with COH’s 70% target payout
  • COH’s balance sheet position remains strong with net cash of $564.6m at year-end, improving from $457m in FY20

Company Description: 

Cochlear Ltd (COH) researches, develops and markets cochlear implant systems for hearing impaired people. COH’s hearing implant systems include Nucleus and Baha and are sold globally. COH has direct operations in 20 countries and 2,800 employees.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Shares

National Australia Bank (NAB) delivered a solid FY21 result despite underlying profit declining

Investment Thesis

  • Ongoing share back should be supportive of share price levels.
  • Well capitalized after the capital raising.
  • Expectations of further customer remediation costs.
  • Impairment charges provisioned for in 1H20 with lower risk of further impairments (especially as a low interest rate environment helps customers and arrears).
  • Strong franchise model with management capable of improving below a 40% cost to income ratio (however we do not factor in management’s long-term target of 35%). 
  • Potential pressure on net interest margins as competition intensifies with other major banks in a low interest rate environment. Though we expect these pressures to slightly alleviate as we move into a higher interest rate environment.
  • Improving return on equity with management proving their abilities in recent times to manage profitability in a low interest rate environment.
  • Strong provisioning coverage.
  • A well-diversified loan book.

Key Risk

  • Low growth environment impacting earnings.
  • Potential cuts or reduction to dividends due to low earnings growth. 
  • Intense competition for loan and deposit growth.
  • Normalizing / increase in bad and doubtful debts or increase in provisioning.
  • Funding pressure for deposits and wholesale funding (increased funding costs).
  • Any legal fees, settlements, loss or penalties associated with ASIC or US-based law suits.

FY21 Results Key Highlights:  Relative to the pcp:

  • Revenue declined -2.4% to $16,729m. Excluding large notable items in FY20, revenue was -3.0% lower, on lower Markets & Treasury (M&T) income, which was challenged due to limited trading opportunities.
  • Cash earnings up 76.8% to $6,558m. Excluding FY20 large notable items, cash earnings were up +38.6%.
  • Cash return on equity up 420 basis points to 10.7%.
  • Net interest margin of 1.71%, was 6bps lower due to M&T. NAB saw NIM pressure due to the low interest rate environment, home lending competitive pressures and a mix shift towards more fixed rate lending.
  • Group Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 13% was up 153bps from September 2020 and includes 29bps net proceeds from the sale of MLC Wealth. Leverage ratio (APRA basis) is at 5.8%. Liquidity ratio quarterly average of 128%. Net Stable Funding Ratio of 123%.
  • Fully franked final dividend per share of 67 cents was up from 30cps in 2H20, and brings full year dividend to $1.27 per share, up +111% from 60cps in FY20.
  • Credit impairment charge write-back of $217m (versus $2,762m in FY20) reflecting forward looking provisions and lower underlying charges.
  • Collective provisions at 1.35 of credit risk weighted assets.

Company Profile

National Australia Bank Limited (NAB) is one of Australia’s largest banks, with the majority of their financial service businesses operating in Australia and New Zealand. The bank also has a presence in Asia, UK and the US. NAB offers banking services, credit and access card facilities, leasing, housing and general finance, international and investing banking, wealth and funds management, life insurance and custodian, trusts and nominee services.  

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
LICs LICs

Regal Investment Fund raises $212m through placement and entitlement offers

Shot of elegant smart businesswoman explaining a project to his colleagues with statistics on the computer on coworking place.

Cash Flow TTM is 16.72%. Regal Investment Fund is a Closed Ended Fund Type. Its dividend in July 2021 is 1.0111%. In June 2021, their revenue was AUD$ 262.81 Million and Net Profit is 174.87 Million.

Price Earnings TTM is 2.4% while Earnings per Share is 1.637. Their Year-to date Return is 34.17% and Premium/Discount percent is almost 1.03%. Regal Investment Fund Dividend Indicated Gross Yield is 25.78%.

On 6 October 2021, RF1 announced it was conducting a Placement and Accelerated Entitlement Offer to institutional and wholesale investors and a General Entitlement Offer to eligible unit holders. Combined the Fund was seeking to raise up to $212m.

RF1 successfully completed the Placement and Entitlement Offers during the month, raising $212m. All units issued under the Placement and Entitlement Offers were issued at a price of $3.79 per unit, representing the NAV of the Fund at 1 October 2021 and a substantial discount to the unit price at the time the capital raising was announced.

Capital raised under the Offer will be allocated to existing strategies in line with the Fund’s investment objective with the aim of further diversifying RF1’s portfolio across both private and public alternative investments. The Manager is covering all fees and expenses associated with the Offer.

Asset Allocation

Asset ClassNet Allocation

Australian EquitiesInternational EquitiesCash & Cash EquivalentsOver the Counter DerivativesUnlisted Unit Trusts
52.8%7.7%25.2%0.6%13.7%

Company Profile 

Regal Investment Fund is a listed investment trust incorporated in Australia. The Fund’s Investment Objective is to provide investors with exposure to a selection of alternative investment strategies managed by Regal, with the aim of producing attractive risk adjusted absolute returns over a period of more than five years with limited correlation to equity markets.

(Source: Bloomberg)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Shares

Honda Is Fighting the Chip Shortage With a Strong Balance Sheet

Business Strategy and Outlook

Honda’s products and strong financial position should keep it on solid ground, but the competition is fierce and the U.S. market’s move to light trucks, where Honda’s lineup is not as complete as competitors, may be permanent. Ongoing risks include foreign-exchange volatility, a highly competitive U.S. market, and rising steel prices. 

Honda’s brand and reputation for quality drive demand for its vehicles, but its longtime niche in fuel-efficient cars historically positioned the company well to take advantage of consumers seeking more fuel-efficient vehicles. Over 2003-09, the U.S. car/light-truck mix moved to 55%/45% from 46%/54%, but as gas prices fell and light-truck fuel economy improved, cars have lost share to just 24% in 2020. In 2020, cars made up 41% of Honda’s U.S. sales mix.Honda’s car focus gives it an advantage whenever the critical U.S. market has high gas prices, but with cheap oil,  but Honda leaves share on the table in segments such as full-size pickups and large SUVs, as it does not have product in these segments. 

Despite a strong car and crossover lineup, formidable threats remain, such as rising commodity prices. Honda can mitigate this problem by using more common-size vehicle platforms to reduce costs, but even that is no guarantee. 

Honda Is Fighting the Chip Shortage With a Strong Balance Sheet

Honda’s fiscal 2022 second quarter showed more semiconductor shortage problems than rival Toyota. Honda said on its earnings call that the chip shortage impact is worse than it previously thought so it has lowered fiscal 2022 earnings guidance after raising it in August. Operating profit is now guided to JPY 660 billion yen, down from JPY 780 billion, which is the originally guided figure on May 14. Total company revenue, however, is guided to JPY 14.6 trillion, down from JPY 15.45 trillion in August and JPY 15.2 trillion in May. 

Second-quarter total company operating income fell by 29.7% to JPY 198.9 billion, with a JPY 114.1 billion unfavorable variance from lost revenue more than offsetting a JPY 36.7 billion favorable foreign exchange contribution and slightly lower overhead costs.

Financial Strength

Honda’s financial position is excellent, as the company has a small debt load. We estimate Honda’s cash and available credit lines at March 31, 2021, to be about JPY 6.7 trillion. This flexibility is important because it gives the company plenty of room to acquire more capital in the debt markets if needed.Excluding the captive finance company, Honda held about JPY 2.6 trillion in cash at the end of September. We calculate a net cash position at Sept. 30, excluding the captive finance arm, of over JPY 1.8 trillion. As of year-end fiscal 2021, the consolidated company has JPY 3.9 trillion of unused credit lines. Its debt/EBITDA ratio excluding the financing arm is generally well below 1 but was 1.3 in fiscal 2012 due to the Japan earthquake and Thai flooding. We do not see Honda having any problems meeting debt maturities, and we expect the company even before financial services results to be free cash flow positive over our forecast period.

Bulls Says 

  • Honda’s popular vehicles usually allow it to use fewer incentives than the Detroit Three, boosting the firm’s profits and improving the resale value of its vehicles. 
  • Honda enjoys a reputation for quality, especially in America’s large coastal markets, but management is concerned about quality problems in recent years and Honda has slipped in U.S. J.D. Power quality rankings. 
  • In 2020, Honda produced about 96% of its vehicles sold in the U.S. in North America. This means Honda is better positioned than Toyota (71%) to withstand the yen when it is very strong against the dollar.

Company Profile

Incorporated in 1948, Honda Motor was originally a motorcycle manufacturer. Today, the firm makes automobiles, motorcycles, and power products such as boat engines, generators, and lawnmowers. Honda sold 19.7 million cars and motorcycles in fiscal 2021 (4.5 million of which were autos), and consolidated sales were JPY 13.2 trillion. Automobiles constitute 65% of revenue and motorcycles 14%, with the rest split between power products and financial services. Honda also makes robots and private jets.

 (Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Funds Funds

Resolution Capital Global Property Securities Fund: A diversified portfolio of stocks of real estate sectors

wherein individual Portfolio Managers hold 25 to 35 stocks each. The Fund’s objective is to exceed the total returns of the Benchmark (FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index (AUD) Net TRI) after fees on a rolling 3-year basis.           

Downside Risks:

  • Deterioration in Global economy, especially the property market (deterioration of property prices and fundamentals). 
  • The Portfolio Manager/analysts miss-calculate their bottom-up valuation. 
  • Softening in bond yields negatively impacting pricing. 
  • Key person risks, i.e. Andrew Parsons, Marco Colantonio, Robert Promisel, Julian Campbell-Wood and members of the investment team.
  • risk.

Fund Performance & Current Positioning:

(%)FundBenchmarkOut-performance
1-month 2.64%1.90%+0.74%
3-months 14.10%12.29%+1.81%
1-year 26.67%34.93%-8.26%
3-year (p.a.)9.68%7.18%+2.50%
5-year (p.a.)8.65%6.16%+2.49%
Since Inception (p.a.)13.48%12.33%+1.15%

(Source: Resolution Capital)

Fund Positioning:

StockSectorListing% of portfolio*
PrologisIndustrialUS8.10%
Invitation HomesResidentialUS6.50%
WelltowerHealthcareUS4.70%
Kimco Realty CorporationRetailUS4.20%
EquinixData CentresUS4.10%
Essex Property TrustResidentialUS3.60%
Canadian Apartment PropertiesResidentialCanada3.10%
Kilroy Realty CorporationOfficeUS3.10%
CubeSmartSelf-StorageUS2.90%
Mitsubishi Estate CompanyOfficeJapan2.80%
Total43.10%

(Source: Resolution Capital)

Key Highlights:

  • Investment Team:

The investment team is well-resourced with strong credentials and investment experience and is appropriately aligned and remunerated. The PMs have strong credentials and lengthy experience in real estate: Andrew Parsons, Marco Colantonio, Robert Promisel, have at least 30 years industry experience whilst Julian Campbell-Wood has 17 years’ experience. Performance reviews are conducted twice per year and based on Investment performance of all client Funds strategies, Research analysis and outcomes, Compliance with mandate guidelines and Adherence to ESG policies.

  • Investment Philosophy and Process:

In our view, the Fund adopts the bottom-up stock picking fundamental process that most other peers typically follow. A key advantage in the fund’s investment process is the utilisation of their proprietary database to collate their research that enables cross comparisons among regions and sectors to highlight any discrepancies. 

  • Performance:

Although past performance is not an indicator for future performance, it is an indicator of whether the Fund’s strategy has worked in the past. Although the Fund has performed well on an absolute basis, the Fund has underperformed relative to its benchmark in the past year by -8.3%. Nevertheless, over 3- and 5-year, and since inception, the fund has performed well relative to the benchmark.

  • Association with Pinnacle is a positive: 

ASX-listed Pinnacle Investment Management holds a minority 44.5% stake in Resolution Capital whilst key staff own the remaining 55.5%. Pinnacle provides support via distribution and administration services, which is viewed as positive.

About the Fund:

The Resolution Capital Global Property Securities Fund (Unhedged) – Series II provides exposure to a diversified portfolio of stocks within a range of real estate sectors across developed markets (North America, U.K, Europe, and Asia Pacific). The Fund’s objective is to exceed the total returns of the Benchmark (FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index (AUD) Net TRI) after fees on a rolling 3-year basis.

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Shares

Solid Year for Pendal; Strong Returns to Normalize, but The Hunt for New Money Is Picking Up

Business Strategy and Outlook

Pendal Group is one of Australia’s largest active fund managers, with AUD 139.2 billion in funds under management, or FUM. The business has diversified considerably since being spun out by Westpac in 2007, following the acquisition of U.K.-headquartered JO Hambro in October 2011. 

Pendal’s strategy centres on product, geographic, and asset class diversification. This positions it to capture FUM across various market cycles and fend off competitive pressures from low-cost passive products. It boasts a broad product suite across asset classes, including Australian and global equities, fixed interest and property. Pendal focuses on catering to growing investor needs with large addressable markets, and has seeded 14 funds per year, on average, over the last five years. It has an active pipeline of new products, more recently having launched multiple retirement income and ESG-themed funds. 

The group sources FUM from diversified institutional and adviser clients across Australia, U.S., U.K., and Europe. This provides higher growth opportunities and helps mitigate disruptions from a particular geography. Growth is supported by its strong distribution relationships in each of the region which it operates. Client concentration in its core FUM pool (excluding Westpac which accounts for 12% of total FUM) is relatively low. The 10 largest clients for JO Hambro account for just a third of its FUM. Institutional money currently represents 39% of FUM. 

Solid Year for Pendal; Strong Returns to Normalize, but The Hunt for New Money Is Picking Up 07 Nov 2021 

Pendal’s fiscal 2021 results were unsurprisingly solid, with underlying NPAT up 25% from the prior year to AUD 165 million. Strong markets, investment outperformance and net outflow reductions saw average funds under management, or FUM, grow 14% from the prior year to AUD 108 billion. Base fee margins were resilient at 0.48% and performance fees more than quadrupled. Dividends per share grew 11% to AUD 0.41, representing a payout ratio of 89%.An increasingly diversified clientele and product breadth expands its channels for new money, while relatively low fee margins should help it better withstand fee pressure. The strong performance in fiscal 2021 has improved the momentum of Pendal’s net flows–notably in its U.S. pooled and Australian wholesale channels.

Financial Strength 

Pendal is in sound financial health, with a net cash position of AUD 249 million as of Sep. 30, 2021. The firm has AUD 49 million worth of debt as of Sep. 30, 2021. This was used to fund the acquisition of Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley, or TSW, which has completed in the September quarter of 2021. It was poised to take on about AUD 200 million in debt to help fund TSW’s purchase. However, strong participation in Pendal’s capital raising for TSW has reduced the debt and balance sheet funding required to complete the acquisition. We forecast Pendal’s debt to be discharged within three years. Low capital investment requirements, strong free cash flow, and the balance sheet underpin a high payout of between 80% and 95% of underlying net profit after tax. We expect dividends to broadly match earnings per share growth. Dividends are not fully franked, given the large portion of overseas earnings.

Bulls Say 

  • The diversity of funds / strategies help Pendal grow and hold on to funds under management throughout various market conditions. 
  • The higher-margin overseas JOHCM and TSW businesses give Pendal a stronger organic growth profile than most Australian peers from opportunities in new and existing geographies. 
  • A focus on expanding its product offering with differentiated strategies allows Pendal to stay ahead of emerging investor needs and fend off competition from low-cost passive investments.

Company Profile

Pendal Group is one of Australia’s largest active fund managers. The business is split across three segments: Australian-based Pendal Australia; U.K.-headquartered JO Hambro Capital Management, or JOHCM, and U.S.-based Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley, or TSW. Pendal manages funds across several asset classes via a multiboutique structure. As of Sept. 30, 2021, funds under management, or FUM, stood at AUD 139.2 billion

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Shares Technology Stocks

NEXTDC reports strong results as of ongoing cloud adoption

Investment Thesis

  • Australia is still in the early stages of cloud adoption. The NBN’s implementation will drive demand from cloud providers for NXT’s asset follows more efficient and cheaper broadband. 
  • Extremely high-quality collection of sites.
  • Tier 4 gold centers focus on the premium end where pricing is more stable.
  • NXT has balance sheet capacity to handle more debt and self fund expansion through operating cash flow from the base building. 
  • Capital intensive nature of the sector provides a high barrier to entry.
  • Government adoption of cloud and the subsequent need to outsource present an opportunity.
  • Sticky customers are unlikely to churn which creates a strong customer ecosystem.
  • The Company’s national footprint enables it to scale more effectively than competitors.
  • Margin expansions demonstrate strong operating leverage.
  • Additional capacity has been announced.
  • Given the global demand for data, mergers and acquisitions are on the rise.

Key Risks

  • There is no product diversification (NXT only operates data centres).
  • NXT and competitors have significantly increased their supply of data centres.
  • Delays in the construction or ramp-up of data centres have an impact on the earnings growth profile.
  • Pressures from competitors (price discounting by NXT or competitors).
  • Higher power densities in Australia as a result of increased average rack power utilization.
  • Inadequate customer demand to generate a satisfactory return on investment.
  • NXT’s ability to expand and pursue growth opportunities may be hampered if sufficient capital is not obtained on favourable terms.
  • The risk of leasing (NXT does not own the land or building where its data centres are situated).

FY21 results highlights 

  • Data center service revenue was up +23% to $246.1million and at the bottom end of upgraded guidance of $246m to $251m.
  • Underlying EBITDA increased by +29 percent to $134.5 million, exceeding the company’s revised guidance of $130 million to $133 million.
  • Operating cash flow increased by 148% to $133.2 million.
  • Capex was down -18% to $301 million, falling short of the $380-400 million range.
  • NXT had $1.7 billion in liquidity (cash and undrawn debt facilities) at the end of the fiscal year, and its balance sheet strength is supported by $2.6 billion in total assets, indicating that it is well capitalised for growth.
  • Contract utilisation increased by 8% to 75.5MW. (7) NXT’s customer base increased by 183 (or 13%) to 1,547.
  • Interconnections grew 1,667 (or +13%) to 14,718, and now equates to ~7.7% of recurring revenue.

Company Profile 

NEXTDC Limited (NXT) is a Data-Center-as-a-Service (DCaaS) provider offering a range of services to corporate, government and IT services companies. NXT has a total of five data centers located in major commerce hubs in Australia, with three more due to be completed within the next 2 years. These facilities are network-neutral, meaning they operate independently of telecommunication and IT service providers. Currently NXT has a total of 34.7 MW built for data and serving housing, with a target to reach 104.1MW by the end of 1H18. 

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks

Macquarie Group source new growth opportunities for good future earnings outlook

Investment Thesis

  • Significant operations across the globe, which provides diversity in business and geographic mix.
  • Changing business mix has seen the company move to more reliable (annuity style) earnings stream – making it a more quality (less volatile) business. 
  • Solid management team. 
  • Strong infrastructure business, which should benefit further government polices to drive economic growth. 
  • Push into green energy is a positive. 
  • Solid balance sheet, with surplus capital available for deployment (i.e. growth opportunities). 
  • Management unable to quantify FY21 earnings guidance due to the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic.
  • Potential capital management initiatives in the absence of investment in growth opportunities. 

Key Risks

  • Weakness / volatility in financial markets.
  • Change in regulatory landscape.
  • Weakness in asset values (e.g. MQG’s co-investments).
  • Increased competition for advisory work.
  • Value / EPS destructive acquisitions.
  • Company fails to achieve its FY20 guidance. 

1H22 Result Summary

  • Net operating income of A$7.8bn increased +41% over pcp, driven by higher Fee and commission income (+32% over pcp), Net interest and trading income (+20% over pcp), Net other operating income (+75% over pcp) and Share of net profits/(losses) from associates and joint ventures (A$242m vs loss of A$54m in pcp), which combined with total operating expenses of A$5.1bn (+19% over pcp), delivered NPAT of A$2.04bn (+107% over pcp). 
  • Net credit and other impairment charges declined -48.5% over pcp to A$230m, with lower charges recognised across most operating segments reflecting improvement in expected macroeconomics conditions.
  • Annualised ROE increased +350bps over 2H21 to 17.8%.
  • The Board announced A$1.5bn of capital raising in the form of a non-underwritten institutional placement followed by a non-underwritten share purchase plan, to provide additional flexibility to invest in new opportunities.
  • The Board declared an interim ordinary dividend of A$2.72 per share (40% franked), up +101.5% over pcp, representing a payout ratio of 50%.

Company Profile 

Macquarie Group (MQG) is a leading provider of financial, advisory, investment and funds management services. The company has operations around the globe, including world’s major financial centres. The company operates the following key divisions: Macquarie Asset Management; Corporate and Asset Finance; Banking and Financial Services; Commodities and Global Markets; and Macquarie Capital. MQG has over 14,000 employees in over 25 countries across Europe, Middle East & Africa, Asia, Americas and Australia).  

(Source: Morningstar)

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