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Global stocks Shares

Ramsay Health Care reported solid earnings in fiscal year 2021

Investment Thesis :

  • Holds a leading positions in Australia, France and Scandinavia.
  •  Earnings will begin to rise in FY22-24 as a result of pent-up demand on waiting lists.
  •   Has a well-diversified portfolio with a large scale.
  • Australia’s largest private hospital operator, with strong industry fundamentals  
  • Favourable macro-industry trends include an ageing and growing population, the spread of chronic disease, and more innovation, treatment, and technology, all of which are driving demand to private hospital.
  • Supportive government policy (tax incentive for people to get private health insurance). 
  • Ongoing brownfield program driving earnings and offshore earnings growth
  • Significant international operation paves way for the firm to grow internationally in near future.
  •  Attractive industry dynamics with high entry barriers for new firms.

Key Risks:

  • Competitive risk (new hospitals, new beds), from listed and unlisted hospital operators
  • Brownfield projects fail to deliver the earnings uplift.
  • Cost pressures (negotiating price increases with private health insurance companies).
  • Government policy on private health insurance is changing.
  • Execution risk (able to get the uplift in earnings from brownfield projects).
  • Snap economic lockdowns due to Covid-19
  • Currency risk

Key financial highlights of year2021:

In relative to the previous corresponding period i.e pcp (herein pcp is year 2020)

  • During the year 2021, RHC revenue increased by 3.9% to $12.4bn.
  • The increase in revenue was driven by strong earning growth across all of its geographical segments-i.e from Asia Pacific, UK and Europe.
  • In Asia Pacific, revenue from patients increased by 7.8% to $5.4bn reflecting strong growth in surgical admission (2) In U.K, revenue increased by 10.2% to $1,024.1m and included payments from the NHSE of $417.6m representing net cost recovery for services provided by Ramsay to the NHSE during the year (3) Europe revenue increased by 6.9% to $6,839.9m and included government grants of $428.3m and was impacted by 80m euros from the sale of a portfolio of nine German hospitals in 1H21
  • EBIT increased by 29.1% to $1.1bn and statutory profit increased by 58.1% to $449m, reflecting a strong increase in admissions.
  • The Board declared a fully franked final dividend of 103cps, bringing the FY21 dividend to 151.5cps (up by 142.4 %) and representing a payout ratio of 79 percent of statutory profit.
  • During the underlying period ROCE improved by 60bps to 9.3% and ROIC gained by 260bps to 7%.
  • Operating cash flow fell by 11.9 % to $1.5 billion, owing to changes in working capital as a result of cash loans from the French government while FCF fell by 14.8 percent to $85,
  • Financial metrics improved, with net debt (excluding lease liabilities) fallen by 15 % to $2.4 billion, lowering leverage to 3.7 times from 4.4 times. 

Company Profile:

Ramsay Health Care Ltd (RHC) is a company that provides medical services. RHC has hospitals, day surgery centres, treatment facilities, rehabilitation centres, and psychiatric units all around the world. It has about 500 sites throughout Australia, the United Kingdom, France, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Germany, Indonesia, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Italy, and the Nordic countries.

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Daily Report Financial Markets

Australian Market Outlook – 1 September 2021

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Technology Stocks

Nitro software operating expenses rise as their top line expands

20025825 - closeup image of businessman drawing 3d graphics

Investment Thesis

  • Total Addressable Market (TAM) for sizeable market opportunity is US$28bn (company estimates which is based on ground up model taking into account customer values). 
  • Created a solid foundation on which to build – the company has penetrated 68 percent of the Fortune 500 companies, and while the initial involvement with these companies may be small, it provides the opportunity to scale up with these customers (approx. 10 percent of the Fortunes 500 customers have 100 or more licenced users).
  • Structural tailwinds – businesses looking to digitise manual, paper-based processes are continuing to migrate online.
  • Looking to become a platform.
  • Subscription provides an appealing recurring revenue base.
  • The company’s competitive position continuously developing in R&D investment and enhance value proposition with customer.

Key Risks

  • Rising Competitive pressure especially when larger player like adobe inc and document sign.
  • Company trade on high valuation multiples like growth in subscriptions, new customers and Penetration of existing clients which disappoints the market growth.
  • Product Innovation stall and fails to resonate with customers.
  • Emergence of new competitors and technology.

Nitro software’s 1H CY21 result

  • Group revenue increased by +27 percent to $24.1 million, with subscription revenue increasing by +66 percent to $15.1 million as a result of new customer acquisition and growth among existing customers.  ARR (annual recurring revenue) of $33.8 million was up +56 percent Year on year.
  • Gross Profit was up 28 percent to US$22.1m, with Gross Profit margin of 92%.
  • R&D expenses of US$5.8m were up by 46% and represented 24% of revenue. Key Operating expenses saw significant increase as the company continuous to invest in the business to drive a top line growth.
  • Operating earnings (EBITDA excluding share-based and M&A expenses) were a loss of $3 million, compared to a gain of $0.2 million in the pcp.
  • At the end of the period, there was no debt and a cash balance of $38.6 million.

Company Profile 

Nitro Software Ltd (NTO), founded in 2005 & listed in 2019, is a global document productivity software company. NTO offers integrated PDF productivity, eSignature and business intelligence (BI) tools through a horizontal SaaS and desktop-based software suite. The Company helps customers move to 100% digital document workflows, eliminating paper and accelerating business processes.NTO serves customers around the world and counts 68% of the Fortune 500 companies among its customers. In total, NTO has over 12,000 business customers (who are defined as having at least 10 licensed users) and across 155 countries.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Shares Technology Stocks

Whispir’s strong FY21 results seems positive for the stock

Investment Thesis

  • Sizeable market opportunity – in the U.S. alone WSP TAM is US$4.7bn (WSP North American target markets) vs total U.S. CPaaS TAM of US$98bn.
  • Established a solid foundation to build from – the Company has over 800 customers worldwide with leading brand names.  
  • Structural tailwinds – ongoing automation and digitization. 
  • Increasing direct sales penetration.
  • Attractive recurring revenue base via subscriptions. 
  • Investment in R&D to continue developing the Company’s competitive position and enhance value proposition with customers.   

Key Risks

We see the following key risks to our investment thesis:

  • Rising competitive pressures.
  • Growth disappoints the market, given the company trades on high valuation multiples – growth in subscriptions, new customers and penetration of existing clients. 
  • Product innovation stalls and fails to resonate with customers. 
  • Emergence of new competitors and technology.
  • Key channel partnerships breakdown.

FY21 key trading metrics 

  • FY21 ARR (annualized recurring revenue) was up +28.5% to $53.6m, driven by increased spending by installed customer base and addition of new customers. Recurring revenue is now at 96.7%.
  • Customer revenue retention was 115.9%, with management noting that whilst customers may initially engage for single communication solutions, once implemented with operational processes, management find that new applications / use cases across client’s organization. 
  • Over the year, WSP added 171 net new customers (up +27% YoY), bringing total customer numbers to 801. An attractive component of WSP’s solution is the Company’s “low code-no code” platform, which easily integrates with existing inhouse client IT systems and can be deployed within hours. This is one of our key competitive advantages.
  • New customer acquisition costs were down more than 50% due to higher sales efficiency and a growing proportion of digital direct sales (self-discovering the platform). 
  • LTV / CAC (ratio of lifetime value to customer acquisition costs) improved to 26.1x (from 23.7x). 
  • Gross revenue churn (3 month average) at Jun-21 was 2.4%.

Company Description  

Whispir Ltd (WSP), founded in 2001, is a global enterprise software-as-a-service (SasS) company. WSP provides a communications workflow platform that automates interactions between businesses and people. The Company has over 800 customers, operates in 60 countries and more than 200 staff globally. WSP operates in an emerging subset of the enterprise communications SaaS market known as Workflow Communications-as-a-Service (WCaaS). WSP currently solves two communication problems: (1) Operational Messaging – engaging with employees; and (2) External Messaging – engaging with customers. WSP operates in 3 key markets – Operational messaging (size $8bn), API messaging (size $32bn) and Marketing messages (size $66bn).

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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ETFs ETFs

SPDR S&P/ASX200 Fund : A well diversified fund providing exposure to Australian market at low cost

Investment Objective:

The State Street SPDR S&P/ASX200 is the first ASX-listed ETF, launched in the year 2001.The SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Fund aims to closely match with the results of the S&P/ASX 200 Index before fees and expenses.

Investment strategy:

The fund aims to give exposure to core Australian stocks. The portfolio is well-diversified, covering approximately 90% of the Australian market in terms of capitalisation. The fund aims to provide both capital growth and income by investing in ASX-listed firms that are liquid. Herein, an investor can get diversified exposure to Australian share market at a low cost and yield performance of the 200 largest and most liquid publicly listed entities in Australia.

The entity responsible for the fund is State Street Global Advisors, Australia Services Limit.

Portfolio Objective:

  • Diversified exposure to Australian share.
  • Provides capital appreciation and growth if funds are invested over long term basis.
  • Provides adequate diversification to investors by investing in a single fund.

Fundamentals:

  • The size of the fund is $4.9bn and no. of holdings  in 203 shares of Australia.
  • The total market capitalization of the fund is AUD $2,196,388.80M as on 31/8/2021.
  •   Minimum subscription or redemption of 25,000 units is available to investor.
  • The fund provide an earnings growth of 10.66% and return on equity is 11.63%.
  • The equity (dividend) yield of the fund is 3.37% and its P/E ratio is 19.34.
  • Generally, the fund make distributions to investors on  quarterly basis.
  • The  management fee of the fund is 0.13%  p.a. of NAV.

Positives:

  • Diversification with low cost
  • Fast, flexible trading
  • Transparency

Negatives:

  • Failure to meet investment objective.
  • Exposure to various risk such as regulatory, credit, market, company,industry, derivative etc.
  • During the holding period the portfolio value may go up and down due to market volatility.

Company Profile:

State Street is a global asset manager and credited for creating the world’s first ETF and being an index pioneer.  Over the past forty years the company has built a universe of active and index strategies across asset classes to help investors achieve their goals.The company has $3.59 trillion asset under management, 23 million clients across 62 countries.

ETF Performance…

Figure 1: Fund performance as at 31 July 2021

(%)FundBenchmark
1-month+1.09%+1.10%
3-months+5.78%+5.80%
1-year+28.52%+28.56%
3-year (p.a.)+9.37%+9.48%
5-year (p.a.)+9.90%+10.05%
Since Inception (p.a.)+8.23%+8.54%

Source:State Street. 

ETF Positioning…

Figure 2: Top ten holdings

Source: State Street

   Figure3: Sector Allocation                       

     Source: State Street

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Technology Stocks

WiseTech declared strong FY21 results and uplift in dividends

Investment Thesis:

  • WiseTech is ahead of its nearest competitors, which clearly makes it a market leader
  • Increased globalization results in growing global trade, thereby accelerating selling of products 
  • Annual customer turnover rate is low and revenue visibility is high
  • Enhancement of WTC products evident from the amount spent on R&D 
  • WTC’s long term goal is to be the operating system for world-wide logistics 
  • After acquiring 39 companies since it got listed on stock exchange in 2016, WTC has built up substantial resources and development capabilities to drive its CargoWise technology pipeline.
  • The scalability of WiseTech business model  
  • Due to higher consolidation of the logistics software industry, geopolitical tensions are considered as tailwinds by management 

Key Risks:

  • Another earnings downgrade is announced by the company
  • Organic growth could narrow down further, which might not result in such high valuation. Although, organic growth was improved during FY19.
  • Management has observed that the revenues from recent acquisitions have declined indeed and rendered very less margin. This means that the return obtained from these acquisitions could take longer than management’s expectations
  • Threats from competition like new product/technological advancements
  • Disruption caused due to technology (data breach)
  • Currency moving adversely

Key Highlights:

  • Share price of WiseTech Global Ltd (WTC) rose by 28.5% after its announcement of FY21 results which is higher than market estimates and the Company’s own expectation. 
  • Strong uplift in dividend payments has also been declared
  • Total Revenue for FY21 is $507.5m, which is up by +18% (or +24% ex FX)
  • EBITDA of $206.7m, is up by +63% in comparison to FY20
  • FY21 NPAT is $105.8m, which was up by +101% with reference to FY20
  • Investment of $167.1m by WTC in Research and Development (up from $159.1m in FY20), which is about 33% of total revenue, ensures that WTC stay ahead of its competitors
  • Management announced a strong FY22 outlook, expecting revenue growth of 18% – 25% and EBITDA growth of 26% – 38% 

Company Profile:

WiseTech Global (WTC) which was founded in October 1994, is a leading provider of software to the logistics services industry globally. WTC develops, sells and implements software solutions that enable logistics service providers to facilitate the movement and storage of goods, domestically and internationally. WTC’s software assists their customers to better address and adapt to the complexities of the logistics industry while increasing their productivity, reducing costs and mitigating risks. WTC services over 6,000 customers across more than 115 countries with offices in Australia, New Zealand, China, Singapore, South Africa, United Kingdom and the United States. 

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.