Investment Thesis
- Solid FY22 earnings guidance.
- Current share price is trading below the blended valuation and offers a >10% upside.
- 50% of the $100m buyback will be purchased in 2022, which should support IRE’s share price.
- Growing quantum of superannuation/pension bodes well for IRE’s clients, which bodes well for demand for IRE’s products.
- IRE’s products are firmly entrenched within Australia, UK and South African financial market players (i.e. IRESS terminals and XPLAN). For instance, in ANZ Wealth Management segment, increasing dynamic of self-licensing by practices, high client retention and increasing demand for integrated solutions, are all key revenue themes. Over 90% of revenue is recurring.
- Strong continuing momentum in the core growth markets of ANZ Wealth Management, and South Africa and the UK.
- New product roll-out providing growth opportunities.
- Solid balance sheet and capable management team.
Key Risks
- Less subscription due to declining sell-side and buy-side demand as well as financial planners.
- Competitive platforms/offering (new disruptive technology); improved features and innovation from competition.
- Associated risks in relation to system, technology and software.
- Regulatory and structural changes in the finance sector impacting clients and their needs.
- Deterioration in equity and debt markets which may have a negative impact on terminal demand.
- Further deterioration with its Canadian segment.
Key Highlights: Relative to the pcp and on a constant currency basis:
- Segment profit: excluding Mortgages, $160-165m, versus $151m in FY21, or including Mortgages $177- 183m, versus $166m in FY21.
- Underlying NPAT: excluding Mortgages, $61-67m, versus $47m in FY21, or including Mortgages $74-81m, versus $59m in FY21.
- NPAT: excluding Mortgages, $50-58m, versus $62m in FY21, or including Mortgages $63-72m, versus $74m in FY21.
- Pro forma revenue $600.2m, was up +3%.
- Pro forma segment profit $166.4m, was up +6%.
- Pro forma EPS of 30.9cps was up +12%.
- The final dividend is 30cps, franked to 15% bringing the full year 2021 dividend to 46.0 cents per share, franked at 38% (average weighted). Franking of interim dividend was high in context of EQT bid.
- IRE maintains conservative gearing levels and leverage remains below the neutral setting of 2.0x
segment profit (currently at 1.4x).
Company Description
IRESS Ltd (IRE) is an ASX-listed company that specialise in software for the finance industry, with a focus on financial markets, wealth management and superannuation. IRE operates in the Asia-Pacific, UK, South Africa and Canada.
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