Category: Dividend Stocks

Companies return profits to shareholders through two main channels, capital gains and income. A high dividend yield indicates that a company is returning a large amount of cash to shareholders relative to the value of the company. This allows investors to maximize their income received relative to their investment amount. The gross dividend is calculated from the net dividend amount paid to shareholders plus the value of any attached franking credits associated with those dividends. A fully franked dividend will have franking credits equal to 30% of the gross dividend value, which can, therefore, represent a significant source of additional value.

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Dividend Stocks

NortonLifeLock Is a Big Fish in a Murkier Pond; Maintain FVE; Shares Fairly Valued

Finance and Economy Chart for Dollar Gold Euro Currencies Trading View

Business Strategy & Outlook

 The NortonLifeLock is a strong player in the consumer-oriented security space. With offerings ranging from security, identity protection, and privacy, NortonLifeLock has its fingers in many consumer-focused pies. However, as at the overall consumer-focused cybersecurity space, the cutthroat competition, a lack of pricing power, and a lack of evident customer switching costs. With these factors top of mind, the NortonLifeLock’s future growth prospects to not be in excess of low single digits. The business’ overall strategy relies on three levers for growth: international expansion, partner-based revenue streams, and bundled offerings. While all three strategies can help the firm attain more customers or increase its average revenue per user, ARPU, it pertinent to differentiate between its sound strategies and the bearish outlook on the overall industry.

As per industry’s outlook, NortonLifeLock’s three key end markets—security, identity protection, and privacy—are teeming with competitors. At the same time, it is important to

highlight NortonLifeLock’s strategies that are sound and will allow the firm to grow despite a challenging competitive landscape. First, the firm’s focus on international expansion is well reasoned, and the growth potential in Asia and EMEA. Second, the firm’s emphasis on bundling can allow it to create more sticky clients. Lastly, the firm’s emphasis on partner-based revenue streams can allow it to create more certainty around its top line. Embedding NortonLifeLock’s offerings in an existing

ecosystem of applications within a company can allow it to grow its installed base organically.

All in all, cognizant of both NortonLifeLock’s strengths as a strong player in the consumer-focused cyber safety space and the challenging landscape the firm occupies. While the firm’s strategies in maneuvering the space as sound, the industry’s competitive dynamics will restrict NortonLifeLock’s future growth potential.

Financial Strengths

The NortonLifeLock’s financial position is healthy. Since the enterprise security business, Symantec, was sold to Broadcom in 2019, NortonLifeLock has operated as a leaner, more agile organization—substantially improving its gross and operating margins. This transformation, which was done via cost reductions and narrowing the business’ line of focus to consumer-oriented end markets, has also allowed the firm to return more capital to shareholders via share buybacks and dividends.

Over the explicit forecast, the NortonLifeLock’s financial position to remain steady. While the firm carries more than $2 billion in long-term debt on its balance sheet, one cannot foresee the firm having any repayment issues due to its strong cash flow generation profile. Going forward, one cannot expect to see a material change in NortonLifeLock’s capital structure. The firm to raise capital by issuing debt rather than equity.

Bulls Say

  • NortonLifeLock’s bundling offers allow the company to land and expand customers that want one unified vendor for their security and identity protection needs.
  • The firm has a solid cash generation profile along with its commitment to return shareholder capital via dividends and share buybacks.
  • International expansion remains a viable area for topline growth as the company can potentially increase its number of paid users in the European and Asian markets.

Company Description

NortonLifeLock is a cybersecurity pure-play that offers security, identity protection, and privacy solutions to individual consumers. The firm’s security and identity protection offerings, via Norton and LifeLock, respectively, have long maintained their positions as two of the most recognizable consumer-focused security and identity-protection products.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

A less Uncertain Future for Australian Banks, particularly on the Downside

Business Strategy & Outlook:  

National Australia Bank is one of four major banks operating in oligopolistic Australia and New Zealand markets. It is Australia’s biggest business bank, offering a full range of banking and financial services to the consumer, small business, and corporate sectors, with significant operations in New Zealand. The bank has consistently held onto its large share of business loans, and continued investment shows a clear intention to retain this position. The banks greater investment into specialist credit teams across areas such as agriculture, health, education, franchising, as well as business banking centres, sets the bank apart. This ultimately led to a better understanding of the customers’ requirements, faster turnaround times, and higher approval rates. Capacity to make investments into digital onboarding and fast access to unsecured lending ensure the bank retains high satisfaction amongst small business customers. While risks directly related to COVID-19 have abated, wage pressures, labour, and supply chain challenges, and high inflation pose challenges as the cash rate increases. The main current influences on earnings growth are modest credit growth and widening margins as the banks reprice lending rates in a rising cash rate environment. Operating expenses will continue to rise as the bank invests to capture growth opportunities, this despite productivity improvements being realised. After enjoying super low impairment charges pre-2020, large loan losses expected due to COVID-19 resulted in large provisions in fiscal 2020. It is expected a return to midcycle levels around 0.18% in fiscal 2025. The MLC wealth divestment completed in May 2021 after reaching an agreement with IOOF for AUD 1.44 billion as the bank simplifies and refocuses on its core banking operations.

Financial Strengths: 

National Australia Bank is in good financial health, with common equity Tier 1 of 12.5% above the regulator’s 10.5% benchmark as at March 31, 2022. The bank slashed the fiscal 2020 dividend to AUD 60 cents per share on both lower earnings a reduced dividend payout ratio. The payout shall average 70% of earnings before notable items over the next five years, in line with the target range of 65%-75% introduced in 2020. National Australia Bank completed a AUD 2.5 billion buyback announced in July 2021, announcing an additional AUD 2.5 billion buyback in March 2022. Assuming completion of the second share buyback and the acquisition of Citigroup’s Australian consumer business, the bank should remain above its 10.75% to 11.25% target range.

Bulls Say: 

  • Management focus is on the successful, lower-risk, and profitable domestic banking. Economies of scale, pricing power, a strong balance sheet, and high credit ratings provide a robust platform to drive growth.
  • As Australia’s biggest business bank, National Australia Bank has the most to gain from the rebound in demand for business credit.
  • NAB has the ability to achieve significant cost savings and drive operational efficiency improvements.

Company Description:

National Australia Bank is the most business-focused of the four major banks, holding the largest share of business loans and the number-three spot in home loans. National Australia Bank is currently the third-largest bank by market capitalisation, with the franchise covering consumer, small business, corporate, and institutional sectors. Under the UBank brand the bank also owns one of Australia’s largest digital-only banks. Offshore operations in New Zealand round out the group.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

MyState Uncertainty Rating upgraded to Medium

Business Strategy & Outlook:  

MyState Ltd is one of Australia’s smallest listed banks, commanding a tiny 0.26% of the mortgage market. A key point of difference though is MyState’s large exposure to housing, and in particular, owner occupied and low loan/value ratio loans. Housing loans make up around 95% of MyState’s total loan book, in comparison to roughly 65% (on average) for the major banks. This contributes to the bank’s sound credit quality, with the lowest arrears and bad debts in the industry. Due to its size, MyState struggles to generate comparable margins to the majors, mainly due to its much smaller customer base and higher funding and operating costs. 

The bank is focused on growing its loan book to increase scale, with its recent track record demonstrating its ability to grow both loans and deposits well above system. It is progressively expanding and diversifying its loan book outside Tasmania, utilizing mortgage brokers to grow in the Australian eastern states. However, with MyState continuously repricing mortgage rates to win customers, solid loan growth has not been matched by income growth. As a result, return on equity has averaged 9% to 10% over the last five years. Digitisation, marketing and operational efficiency remain the key areas of focus. Technological advancements will continue to be integrated into daily operations to keep cost growth down and enhance customer experiences. MyState’s cost/income ratio should improve over time as it leverages increasing scale, have more automated systems and processes and rationalizes the branch network. MyState is banking on digitization and marketing for continued customer growth; but these initiatives as “must-dos” to keep up with competition, rather than differentiating factors to drive significant growth in loans or deposits. There is scope for MyState to grow its loan book further, given its low penetration in Australia’s eastern seaboard.

Financial Strengths: 

The bank is in sound financial health, with comfortable regulatory capital levels (total capital ratio of 13.8% and common equity Tier 1 ratio of 11.6% as at December 2021). MyState’s board has set a minimum total capital ratio of 12.5%. The capital structure and solid balance sheet provide comfort that it can manage a potential increase in mortgage loan losses. Customer deposits roughly represent two thirds of total funding requirements. Access to residential mortgage-backed securitization funding is supporting the wholesale funding requirement. However, ongoing access to RMBS markets is dependent on changing, and at times unpredictable, capital market conditions. MyState has approximately 13% of its funding from securitization, a relatively high exposure to RMBS markets compared with its larger peers.

Bulls Say:  

  • Low credit costs associated with mortgages provides more consistent earnings in comparison to larger more diversified lenders.
  • Customer deposits provide 75% of funding, helping reduce demand for more expensive wholesale funding.
  • The bank is increasing its loan book above system with increasing broker channel distribution, leading improved geographic diversification and scale.

Company Description:

MyState Limited is a Tasmania-based financial company that provides banking, trustee, and funds management services. The company generates the vast majority of its profit from its banking business, which provides a range of financial services including home and personal loans, credit and debit cards, and other financial products. Home loans account for the vast majority of its loan book. The funds management segment provides trustee and funds management services through the subsidiary TPT Wealth.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

As a middle of the road business, it is foreseen reinvestment is critical for Aviva

Business Strategy and Outlook

As a good middle-of-the-road insurer Aviva has had its fair share of problems over the years. As with many previously poorly run companies, these issues have stretched across leverage, controls, turnover and likely relatedly, its sprawling business portfolio. While prior leadership teams tried to get a handle on this business, up until now none have really done so. It is mainly attributed this to a focus on growth and innovation, without a focus on strong capital management and discipline. Mark Wilson’s tenure was characterized by the Friends Life acquisition, the digital garage and his appointment at BlackRock. It felt like Maurice Tulloch would tilt the business more toward general insurance but it is likely that the business’ problems became too much for him. Present CEO Amanda Blanc is now set on making things right and has divested noncore assets, promising now to focus on the U.K., Ireland, and Canada. 

Aviva is not a highly differentiated business and does not have a strong strategy, in experts’ opinion. As a middle of the road business, it is foreseen reinvestment is critical. Two of its three objectives have been achieved in opinion and those are focus and financial strength. However, what is waited for is to see is how Blanc will transform the remaining assets into a collection of units that are better than they are and perhaps approaching market-leading. From what is known, this is about investing in exceptional customer service and it’s hard to imagine anyone disputing that need. All too often that falls by the wayside in this segment of financial services. However, there is no disputing that excellent customer service has tangible and financial benefits. It leads to lower customer turnover and lower acquisition costs both in terms of volume and margin. Lastly, this is largely a long-term savings business so accretive investment in Aviva Investors will be crucial.

Financial Strength

It is anticipated Aviva has a weak balance sheet. Aviva’s debt is a little over half of its shareholders’ equity. Most of this is core structural borrowings that are held by the centre. Pleasingly, management has decided to appease investors with a near GBP 2.0 billion debt reduction in 2021 and a further GBP 1.0 billion debt reduction program over the coming years. This debt reduction plan has been assisted by the GBP 7.5 billion raised from the eight business sales. This has provided management with plenty of room to commence a GBP 1.0 billion buyback on top of the deleveraging. It is alleged the net of these actions should substantially improve the business’ leveraged position. The interim dividend for 2021 was increased to GBX 7.35 per share and the total dividend for the year will be GBX 22.0. This means a final of GBX 14.7 per share for full-year 2021. Guidance is for a dividend of GBX 31.5 for full results of 2022.

Bulls Say’s

  • Aviva’s new CEO is still making good strides to focus, transform, and simplify the business. 
  • Leverage has been an issue, and this is a primary focus of the new management team. 
  • Targeted capital remittance plans provide a nice buffer for further buybacks or business reinvestment.

Company Profile 

Aviva is a multiline insurer headquartered in the United Kingdom. It traces its roots back to the late 1700s with the establishment of the Hand-in-Hand Fire Office, a mutual insurer of loss from fire. This mutual, along with many other entities acquired and established over the years, was purchased by Commercial Union in 1905. In the late 1990s, Commercial Union and General Accident merged to form Commercial General Union, or CGU. A few years later CGU and Norwich Union merged and later rebranded as Aviva. Aviva acquired Friends Life in 2015. Aviva has been through quick successions of leadership in recent years. Mark Wilson served as CEO in the five years between 2013 and 2018. Maurice Tulloch then took over and Amanda Blanc been leader since July 2020. 

(Source: MorningStar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do, business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and is not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

Allianz has Reported Strong Results on Nonoperating Items Other Than the Pimco Division

Business diagram on financial report with coins

Business Strategy and Outlook

While it is believed as Allianz is one of the best-run multiline insurance companies, life and health insurance is its main problematic business. Allianz has three main business units, nonlife insurance, life insurance, and asset management. The nonlife and life businesses contribute between 35% and 40% of operating profit, while asset management accounts for around 25%. In the nonlife business, Allianz sells motor, accident, property, general liability, travel insurance, and assistance services. From a reporting standpoint, nonlife is broken down into geographies: German-speaking countries and Central and Eastern Europe; Western and Southern Europe, including Asia-Pacific; Iberia and Latin America and Allianz Partners; global insurance lines and Anglo markets. Germany, Italy, and France dominate, but Allianz Partners, Allianz global corporate solutions, and reinsurance are also important.

Allianz Partners is a business-to-business-to-consumer segment selling travel insurance through airlines, tuition insurance through colleges or universities, event protection sold with sports or concert tickets, and assistance services that cover travel, medical, transportation, medical evacuation, prescription replacement and emergency legal referral. Allianz global corporate solutions provides insurance for companies that operate globally and writes program insurance across lines like property, motor, travel, and liability.

Geographically, life and health are driven by Germany, Italy, and France, but the United States is also important. By product line, the life and health division are broken into guaranteed savings and annuities; capital-efficient products; protection and health; and unit-linked without guarantees. The guaranteed savings and annuities business dominates, contributing well over one third of operating profit. And the dependence of life and health on guaranteed savings and annuities shows how reliant Germany is on guarantees within long-term savings. Allianz’s German weighted average guarantees are still some of the highest for the business

Financial Strength

Allianz’s balance sheet is good with debt/capital at a little over 21%

Bulls Say’s

  • Allianz has a strong asset-management business that includes Allianz Global Investors and Pimco. 
  • Allianz is a good underwriter of general insurance. 
  • Turnaround stories include Turkey and Global Corporate.

Company Profile 

Allianz is a global insurance group offering insurance and asset-management services. The insurance business is organised in two segments: property-casualty insurance, life and health insurance. Allianz is one of the largest asset managers in the world with its Pimco franchise

(Source: MorningStar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice. The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do, business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities. Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and is not liable for any unintentional errors in the document. The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

ANZ: The Board Declared an interim fully franked dividend of 72 cps

Investment Thesis:

  • ANZ is trading on an undemanding valuation, with 1.1x Price to Book (P/B) and dividend yield of 5.8%. 
  • All else being equal, ANZ is offering an attractive dividend yield on a 2-yr (6.1%) and 3-Yr (6.6%) view. 
  • Strong oligopoly position in Australia (along with three other major banks in CBA, NAB, WBC).
  • Strong management team and Board.
  • Macro environment to be both a tailwind and headwind – We expect a rising interest rates environment to be both positive and negative in that while it will enable banks to charge more for loans, it also could result in deterioration in asset quality, slower loan growth, as well as higher inflation and wage growth to be detrimental to costs expense.
  • Net interest margin (NIM) remains under pressure, but some offsetting tailwinds could see NIMs hold up better than market expectations.  
  • Strong capital position could lead to ongoing capital management initiatives.
  • Continued focus on cost could yield results which come in ahead of market expectations. 

Key Risks:

  • Any unexpected customer remediation provisions.
  • Loan deferrals turn into structurally impaired loans. 
  • Intense competition for already subdued credit growth.
  • Increase in bad and doubtful debts or increase in provisioning especially any Australian and institutional single exposure loan losses.
  • Funding pressure for deposits and wholesale funding.
  • Credit risk with potential default of mortgages, personal and business loans and credit cards.  
  • Potential changes to Australian Banking legislation.
  • Significant exposure to the Australian property market.
  • Operating costs come in below market expectations.

Key Highlights:

  • Statutory Profit after tax of $3,530m, up 10%. Cash Profit from continuing operations was $3,113m, down 3%.
  • Profit before credit impairments and tax was -7% weaker to $4,157m.
  • Cash Return on Equity was 10%, -18bps weaker than 10.2% in 2H21.
  • CET1 ratio decreased 81 basis points to 11.53% during the half but remains above the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority’s ‘Unquestionably Strong’ benchmark.
  • The Board declared an interim fully franked dividend of 72cps (which is flat relative to 2H21 or +2.9% or 2 cents increase on FY21 interim dividend), and consistent with its stated target Dividend Payout Ratio of between 60% and 65% (cash continuing, ex large/notables basis).
  • Total credit provision was a net release of $284m (individual provision charge of $87m was up +26% whilst collective provision release of -$371m was a significant difference from -$145m in 2H21).
  • Australia Retail and Commercial. Reported a +11% uplift in cash earnings to $1,986m driven by positive balance sheet momentum after ANZ increased home loan processing capacity by 30%, bringing assessment times in line with major peers.
  • NZ. ANZ reported a +2% increase in cash earnings to $787m as ANZ was able to grow home loans by 7% half-on-half, taking ANZ’s total home loan book in NZ to more than NZ$100bn and increasing market share by 28bps to 30.66%. ANZ maintained its position as New Zealand’s biggest fund manager and KiwiSaver provider managing over NZ$37bn in investments for more than 650,000 investors.
  • Institutional. This division saw disappointing results with a -23% decline in cash earnings to $730m. Interestingly ANZ executed first ever Australian bank issued AUD stablecoin (A$DC) payment through a public permissionless blockchain transaction for Victor Smorgon Group.

Company Description:

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ANZ) is one of the four major banking institutions in Australia with an international presence having activities in general banking, mortgage and instalment lending, life insurance, leasing, hire purchase and general finance.  In addition, ANZ operates in international and investment banking, investment and portfolio management and advisory services, nominee and custodian services, stock broking and executor and trustee services.

(Source: Banyantree)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

Sage Making Further Progress Toward the Cloud

Business Strategy & Outlook

The emergence of cloud-based software in the early 2000s, along with the proliferation of smartphones and tablets and the emergence of software-as-a-service, or SaaS, business models, revolutionized the global software market. Established software providers, such as Sage Group, which historically sold on-premises software via perpetual software licenses, experienced an increase in competition and disruption of established business models. The small and medium enterprise, or SME, accounting software market experienced numerous new cloud-native SaaS providers, such as Xero, which have rapidly grown and won market share from incumbent providers.

Although Sage entered the 2000s as the largest global provider of SME accounting software, the company had grown via acquisition to become a disparate group with numerous products stretched over a large global footprint. This enabled companies, such as Xero, to enter Sage’s domestic U.K. market and rapidly grow, thanks to its modern product, simple and clear value proposition, and a nimble business model.

Sage initially struggled to transition into a cloud-based SaaS provider but finally seems to be making progress. Its acquisition of cloud native accounting software provider Intacct in 2017 was a key step on this journey, which quickly added a strong product and cloud native mindset to the group. The rationalization of the group, both from a geographical and product perspective, is also an ongoing important transition, which will strengthen the group for the new market environment. Sage is likely to experience profit margin compression in the short term as it reinvests into product development and sales and marketing to keep pace with cloud native SaaS providers. However, this should secure the company’s long-term future and eventual profit margin expansion. Despite strong competition, the company is protected by a switching cost based economic moat, and the transition of its customers to cloud based SaaS will protect the business in the long term. Sage’s asset-light business model should enable strong cash generation in the long term, which to underpin dividends and a strong balance sheet.

Financial Strengths

Sage is in good financial shape. As at March 31, 2021, Sage had net debt of GBP 650 million. This implied a net debt/EBITDA ratio of just 1.6 and an EBIT/interest coverage ratio of 14. Generally speaking, Sage’s asset-light business model and economic moat should enable strong cash flow generation, which should support dividend payments and maintain a strong balance sheet.

Bulls Say

  • Sage has a renewed focus toward its core cloud accounting software offering and intends to exit businesses and products that do not align to this strategy, optimizing its research and development as well as its sales and marketing strategies in the process.
  • Sage’s software-as-a-service business model has low capital investment requirements and predictable recurring earnings leading to strong free cash flow generation.
  • The acquisition and integration of Intacct into the Sage group is driving an innovative software culture.

Company Description

Sage Group Plc is a U.K. based provider of accounting and enterprise resource planning, or ERP, software, predominantly to customers in the U.S., Europe, and South Africa. The company was founded in 1981 and historically sold on-premises software products with perpetual software licenses. However, the company is transitioning toward fewer cloud connected and cloud native products, sold via software-as-a-service, or SaaS, contracts. Sage’s main cloud native products include Sage Business Cloud Accounting, for small businesses, and Sage Intacct, which Sage acquired in 2017, for medium-size businesses.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

Transferring Coverage of Narrow-Moat Henkel; FVE Reduced to EUR 80

Business Strategy & Outlook

In January 2022, Henkel announced the decision to combine two of its business units (beauty care, and laundry and home care) into one consumer unit in an attempt to achieve more synergies in its customer and channel execution after years of subpar performance, especially in North America. While the operating an overall larger portfolio is important in driving customer management and limited upside in terms of growth as there is little marketing and innovation expertise to be shared between the units. Moreover, large competitors in the space are moving in the opposite direction, with Unilever for instance recently announcing that it would move from three divisions to five business groups, with each responsible for end-to-end strategy and execution.

Nonetheless, Henkel’s CEO Carsten Knobel updated the company’s midterm ambition following the announcement of the customer unit formation. The firm now targets midterm organic sales growth

of 3%-4%, up from 2%-4% previously, along with mid- to high-single-digit adjusted EPS growth at constant currencies, free cash flow expansion, and an adjusted EBIT margin of 16%. Notably,

this level of adjusted EBIT margin falls below the peak level of 18% achieved in 2018, signaling that management is recognizing that some of the recent higher investment in marketing and innovation

would not be temporary, with limited margin opportunities remaining. Given the firm’s track record, a 16% medium-term adjusted EBIT would imply an improvement in competitiveness in the consumer space, which one cannot see as likely at this time. That applies to the top line as well, and  the measures announced thus far do not warrant an increase in growth expectations. In order to hit its midterm ambitions, that more drastic portfolio decisions must be made, which should include further trimming of the brand portfolio, a clear plan to address the underperformance in North America and in the beauty care segment, as well as providing more clarity regarding the adhesives unit, which has been overlooked to some extent and unjustly punished for underperformance on the consumer side.

Financial Strengths

Henkel has a strong balance sheet, and it has historically been run with very conservative levels of leverage. Even at the time of the acquisition of the Sun Products corporation in 2016, which was financed with debt, debt/EBITDA only increased to about 1 time. It has remained fairly stable at around 1 time since then, with net debt/EBITDA declining, averaging around 0.5 times over the last 5 years,

significantly below large-cap consumer staples peers for which the average is closer to 2.0 times.

Acquisitions have declined in importance since the Sun Products purchase, but remain an integral part of management’s stated strategy. To this point, one of the reasons given for the formation of the Henkel Consumer Brands segment was to enable the company to step up its active portfolio management, both in terms of divestment or discontinuations of noncore brands and businesses, and by creating a stronger basis for acquisitions across the consumer space. The restructuring of the business will only be completed in 2023, so do not expect to see a massive transformative initiative until at least 2024. In the absence of acquisitions, however, Henkel is unlikely to need to raise capital, and even given the unambitious mid-single-digit estimate of EBITDA growth over five-year forecast period should ensure that the net debt/EBITDA ratio remains controlled for the foreseeable future, all else equal.

Bulls Say

  • The combination of the beauty care and the home care segments under one roof in the consumer segment should result in more rapid and material portfolio decisions.
  • Henkel offers plenty of balance sheet optionality and should be able to pursue targets ranging from bolt-on to transformative.
  • Henkel’s clear market leadership in adhesives technologies through its differentiated and customizable offering gives it a unique position to benefit from secular trends around lighter yet strong materials and energy efficiency.

Company Description

Two distinct customer groups comprise Henkel. The consumer segment (around 50% of consolidated 2021 sales) is laundry and home care, including the Persil and Purex laundry detergent brands, and beauty care, including the Schwarzkopf brand in hair care, and the Dial brand in hand soap. The

adhesives technologies segment makes up the remaining 50% of sales. Sales from Western Europe accounted for 30% of the firm’s consolidated total in 2021, while Asia-Pacific and North America accounted for 17% and 25%, respectively.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

Pepsi faces risks that consumers spurn its fare in favour of healthier options

Business Strategy and Outlook

Pepsi’s strategy is seen, emphasizing growth in its core snacks (number one position) and beverages (number two position) businesses through expanding its addressable market and investing to align its mix with evolving consumer preferences (such as snacking as a meal substitute), favourably. Within snacks (55% of sales), Pepsi dominates the global competitive landscape (7 times its closest competitor, with five of the six top brands), and it is alleged its core brand development advantages–direct-to-store partnerships with retailers, innovation to align with consumer preferences, and data analysis–allow it to drive growth in its underlying categories. In experts view, Pepsi’s market position enables it to raise price without a lasting hit to volumes (and should continue to do so), given its troves of global consumer data. But the firm doesn’t just let its fare fend for itself. Rather, it spends to support its brands in a crowded space. In addition, investments to bolster its manufacturing capacity should further entrench its standing with leading retail partners in both physical and digital outlets, in experts opinion. 

In its beverage business (45% of sales), Pepsi is a strong number two player in an oligopolistic industry, and it is anticipated the firm can generate growth within the carbonated soft drink, or CSD, category and still beverages, such as sports (where it maintains dominant share), energy drinks (enhanced by its acquisition of Rockstar Energy), and bottled/carbonated water. It is likely, current innovation efforts, particularly to expand in low sugar CSDs and sports drinks, aligns with consumer preferences and leverages its strong brands. Pepsi faces risks that consumers spurn its fare in favour of healthier options and that online distribution grows, but it is surmised as, the firm is well positioned to manage these challenges. It is held for investments to reformulate products (without altering the taste profile) combined with the addition of healthier brands should appeal to consumers looking for wholesome products. In analysts view, Pepsi’s resources should ensure its fare wins regardless of the channel in which consumers opt to shop.

Financial Strength

It is held that Pepsi maintains solid financial health, which should enable it to support growth while also returning excess cash to shareholders. At the end of fiscal year 2021, the firm’s net debt/EBITDA stood at approximately 2.5 times, with approximately $40 billion of debt outstanding against nearly $6 billion in cash and investments. Debt maturities over the next three years approximate one-quarter of its outstanding debt balance, which is seen, Pepsi can cover with its cash on hand, the $3.5 billion in proceeds received in fiscal 2022 from the sale of Tropicana, and the $7.5 billion available through its revolving credit facilities. It is projected net debt/EBITDA will decline to 0.8 times by fiscal 2031. Pepsi’s balance sheet strength is buttressed by its strong cash flow generation, as analysts forecast free cash flow as a percentage of sales will average around 12% over the next 10 years (generally in line with historic levels). It is likely Pepsi will direct additional resources toward capital expenditures each of the next two years (equating to 5.5% of sales on average) in order to add manufacturing capacity for in-demand products, automate and digitize the supply chain, and invest in e-commerce before returning to its historic 5% average through the remainder of experts 10-year explicit forecast. However, it is not considered that elevated capital expenditures will come at the expense of its commitment to return excess cash to shareholders. Analysts forecast the firm will raise its dividend at a high-single-digit annual clip (maintaining a payout ratio of around 70%). It is also alleged that Pepsi will repurchase nearly 1% of shares outstanding on an annual basis, which is viewed to be a prudent use of cash when the stock trades below experts assessment of its intrinsic value. While it is likely the firm will also remain a consolidator in the space, experts don’t model future tie ups due to the uncertainty surrounding the potential size, timing, and valuation.

Bulls Say’s

  • Given its dominant share in Latin American snacks, more than 23% per Euromonitor, it is likely for Pepsi to benefit from favourable demographic and disposable income tailwinds in the region. 
  • Despite holding the top spot in global sports drinks, it is held Pepsi is poised for further category gains as it launches innovation aligned with evolving consumer trends, including for Gatorade Zero and Gatorade Light. 
  • It is alleged Pepsi’s robust cash flow generation affords the opportunity to invest in its brands, distribution, and capacity.

Company Profile 

PepsiCo is a leading provider of snacks and beverages globally with prominent brands including Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, and Aquafina in the beverage space and Lays, Cheetos, and Doritos within snacks. The company maintains dominant share of the global snacks industry with six of the top 10 savoury snack brands and the number two position in the carbonated soft drink, or CSD, category globally along with key brands in bottled water and sports and energy drinks. Overall, the company earns 60% of its revenue and two thirds of its operating profit in North America, although it serves Europe, Latin America, Africa/Middle East/South Asia, and Asia Pacific through separate business units. 

(Source: MorningStar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do, business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and is not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

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Dividend Stocks

Too many fingers in too many pies, reduces Aegon’s focus

Business Strategy and Outlook

Aegon has had its share of problems over the last 13 years, averaging close to 4.4% return on equity over this period. That is well below the 11% cost of capital experts’ assign to the business. These struggles have stretched across capital, solvency, governance, management, and recurring nonrecurring items. Additionally, communication with the investment community was not good. However, it is seen, recent results show a change of direction in terms of strategy. 

Under the new leadership Aegon is focusing on four things to make it a materially better company. First, strengthening the balance sheet; management has already started this. Second, creating a more disciplined management culture with the move to quarterly from semi-annual reporting. This is another change which is welcomed. The charges investors saw in the first half of 2020 already show greater accountability. Third, improving efficiency, and fourth, increasing strategic focus, which is likely to be closely aligned. Management has spoken at length about Aegon’s geographical breadth and this is something which is emphasized to investors that is seen to be managerial distraction. Too many fingers in too many pies reduces Aegon’s focus. The United States and Netherlands have long been key to this business. Discussions on Portugal and Spain and the distribution partnership with Banco Santander lead us to believe these markets will remain core, though it remains preference to see an exit.

Financial Strength

Aegon management is on a debt drive and analysts really like this. Traditionally, Aegon has not been a highly leveraged business, steering into the financial crisis with a debt/asset ratio of well under 2%. During this period, Aegon delivered quite reliable earnings. As the global financial crisis ensued and Aegon took on EUR 3.0 billion of debt from the Dutch government, the company’s woes were exacerbated during the succeeding sovereign debt crisis; management drove a further deterioration of the balance sheet with an aggressive pursuit of joint ventures in Spain. Debt consequently increased to 3.5% of assets and was only marginally tempered until another round of poor transactions when management decided to acquire Mercer’s defined-contribution record-keeping business and a partial acquisition of La Banque Postale asset management. Balance sheet quality was further degraded with the purchase of BlackRock’s defined contribution platform and Cofunds a year later. Debt/assets reached a high of 3.6% of assets and interest payments on this debt reached 35% of earnings before interest. This served as a catalyst for mounting pressure from Dodge & Cox, Aegon’s long-term shareholder. Actions have eminently improved the shape of Aegon’s balance sheet and as at year-end 2021 Aegon reported a 2.6% debt/asset ratio.

Bulls Say’s

  • Aegon has shed peripheral businesses in Central and Eastern Europe. 
  • Debt repayment has been impressive. 
  • The new management team appears to be laying-out a strategy for the business.

Company Profile 

Aegon is a Netherlands-headquartered insurance company with core operations that stretch across the U.S., Netherlands, and United Kingdom. The business also holds peripheral ventures in Spain, Portugal, Brazil, and China. 

(Source: MorningStar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do, business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and is not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.