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IPO Watch

Exxaro Tiles receives approval from the Sebi to launch an initial public offering

According to a Sebi update issued on Monday, Exxaro Tiles, which filed preliminary IPO papers with the regulator in March, has received the regulator’s comments. The Sebi’s comments are required for public offerings such as initial public offerings (IPOs), follow-on public offerings (FPOs), and rights issues.
According to the DRHP, the Gujarat-based business may seek a pre-IPO sale of up to 22 lakh equity shares for cash consideration in conjunction with the merchant banker. The pre-IPO transaction will result in a reduction in the volume of equity shares issued compared to the new issuance.
The company expects to raise Rs 150-160 crore from the IPO, according to market sources. The funds from the new issue will be used to repay or prepay debt, support working capital needs, and for other general company reasons.
About Exxaro
Exxaro Tiles, founded by Mukeshkumar Patel, Dineshbhai Patel, Rameshbhai Patel, and Kirankumar Patel, specialises in the production and distributing of vitrified tiles, which are primarily utilised for flooring solutions in the domestic and industrial sectors. It presently has a dealer network of approximately 2,000 people spread over 27 states.

Source:- Economictimes

General Advice Warning
Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Technology Stocks

Revenue Reaching for the Sky but Earnings to Remain Grounded

Unfortunately, the bright revenue picture is blurred by an uncertain outlook for costs snapping back from COVID-19 related rights relief, and investments needed to execute the strategic plan. EBITDA is projected to fall for two to three years from management’s projected NZD 180 million-plus in fiscal 2021. The trajectory is in line with our current expectation, but the key mystery is where Sky’s fiscal 2024 EBITDA will end up relative to our NZD 110 million forecast.

The current guidance for fiscal 2021 implies second-half EBITDA of NZD 66 million, or roughly NZD 130 million annualised. Our current fiscal 2024 EBITDA forecast of NZD 110 million would then equate to an average decline of 16% from fiscal 2021. It may be tempting to blindly input management’s financial targets into the model, but details from the investor day warrant a longer deliberation. In any case, our unchanged NZD 0.30 fair value estimate (AUD 0.28 at current exchange rates) already implies material upside from Sky’s current stock price. And the no-moat-rated group has attracted “a number of unsolicited approaches around potential transactions” over the past year according to management.

Management View to Launch Broadband Service

Management’s clear rationale for launching the broadband service is also sound (to improve the value and bundle proposition for existing Sky customers), while a continued focus on staking its ground in the fast-growing streaming space is not only positive but necessary. As with all strategic plans, the proof is in the execution. Its degree of difficulty is high, especially the objective of stabilising core pay TV subscriber base while growing streaming customers–a Goldilocks scenario that may be easier said than done. Still, with a pristine balance sheet, management is equipped with ample firepower to continue Sky’s transformation. The group ended December 2020 with an NZD 123 million cash balance, more than enough to repay the NZD 100 million bond (matured in March 2021). It also has an undrawn NZD 200 million facility (maturing July 2023).

Finally, management reaffirmed all current guidance for fiscal 2021. In fact, it even alluded to the potential that EBITDA may exceed the upper end of the NZD 170 to 183 million projected range, suggesting some remnants of COVID-19-related content cost savings and/or continued progress on non-content expense reductions. We have increased our fiscal 2021 EBITDA estimate to NZD 183 million, from NZD 175 million, but our longer-term forecasts are unchanged.

Company Profile

Sky Network Television is the only satellite pay-TV provider in New Zealand, and distributes local and overseas content to its customers through a digital satellite network. It generates subscription and content revenue from these customers. This business is augmented by a free-to-air television channel (Prime) and defensive forays into other distribution channels such as online video-on-demand and online access to live sports.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Global stocks Shares

Raising Our Tesla FVE to $550 on Improved Profitability Outlook; Shares Slightly Overvalued

Tesla also invests around 6% of its sales into R&D, focusing on improving its market-leading technology and reducing its manufacturing costs. The company will also move upstream into battery production, with a goal to reduce costs by over 50%. Tesla also sells solar panels and batteries used for energy storage to consumers and utilities.

After taking a fresh look at Tesla, we are raising our fair value estimate to $550 per share from $354. The increased fair value estimate comes from our outlook for higher long-term profitability in the automotive segment. We maintain our narrow moat rating but downgrade our moat trend rating to stable from positive. At current prices, shares as slightly overvalued, with the stock trading above our fair value estimate but within 25% of our fair value estimate, which is the upper end of the range for 3-star territory based on our uncertainty rating. A little over 5.1 million vehicles sold in 2030, up from 4.3 million, due to a greater number of affordable vehicles, which Tesla nicknamed the $25,000 car.

Management’s cost reduction initiatives driving long-term gross margin expansion. In its September Battery Day event, Tesla unveiled plans to reduce battery costs by 56%. Tesla will be able to achieve these cost reductions, without reducing prices, which will reduce vehicle unit costs and increase gross profit per vehicle. In addition to cost reductions, the mix shift to the Model Y will also increase automotive gross profit margins. The Model Y is built on the Model 3 platform, and management says the cost of production for a Model Y is not that much more than the Model 3. Given that the Model Y’s entry level price is $12,500, or roughly 30%, more expensive than the Model 3, we see gross profit margins expanding as a greater proportion of Model Y vehicles are sold.

Tesla’s EV prices will remain at or above the price of a comparable internal combustion engine or hybrid vehicle. This should lead to Tesla’s cost reduction efforts driving profit margin expansion. Tesla’s second largest vehicle platform over the next decade, with the two platforms generating nearly 90% of total volumes. Similar to Tesla starting with the Model 3 and then transitioning to sell more Model Ys, we expect Tesla will start with a $25,000 car and then transition to produce a greater proportion of SUVs from the platform.

Financial Strength

Tesla is in solid financial health as cash and cash equivalents exceeded total debt as of March 31, 2021. Total debt was roughly $10.9 billion, with about $5.1 billion of that amount nonrecourse debt mostly backed by asset-backed security issuances for the auto and energy businesses, China debt, and a warehouse line secured by cash flows from vehicle leasing contracts. To fund its growth plans, Tesla has used convertible debt financing as well as equity offerings and credit lines to raise capital. As of March 31, 2021, the company has $2.15 billion in unused committed amounts under credit lines and financing funds. In 2020, the company raised $12.3 billion in three equity issuances.

 Tesla‘s Unique Supercharger Network

  • Tesla has the potential to disrupt the automotive and power generation industries with its technology for EVs, AVs, batteries, and solar generation systems.
  • Tesla will see higher profit margins as the company achieves its plan to reduce battery costs by 56% over the next several years.
  • Through the combination of its industry-leading technology and unique Supercharger network, Tesla offers the best function of any EV on the market, which will result in the company maintaining its market leader status as EV adoption increases.

Company Profile

Founded in 2003 and based in Palo Alto, California, Tesla is a vertically integrated sustainable energy company that also aims to transition the world to electric mobility by making electric vehicles. The company sells solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation plus batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities. Tesla has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and mid-size sedans and crossover SUVs. The company also plans to begin selling more affordable sedans and small SUVs, a light-truck, semi-truck, and a sports car. Global deliveries in 2020 were roughly 500,000 units.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Shares Small Cap

Genworth will find it Challenging to Grow its LMI Business In the face of Slow Credit growth and Increased Competition

Arch Capital Group received Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, or APRA, approval to enter the market in 2019 and announced it would acquire Westpac’s LMI business in 2021. This marked increased competition for Genworth and QBE in Australia.

LMI protects a lender against a potential gap between the outstanding loan amount plus costs and the sale proceeds from the mortgaged property. While it’s the lender who is protected and decides whether to purchase LMI, the premium is paid by the borrower. Low growth in high loan/value ratio, or HLVR loans, due to low system wide home loan growth, as well as banks being more risk-averse after the Royal Commission and tightening of lending standards is expected. An economic backdrop where Australians are holding historically high levels of home-loan debt, and wage growth is low, makes strong credit growth and a significantly stronger appetite for loans with higher LVRs unlikely.

Key Investment Considerations

  • Higher-risk home loan exposure means Genworth is very sensitive to the Australian economy, particularly employment and house prices. In a downturn, it faces the likely lower premiums, higher claims and reduced investment returns.
  • The full-recourse nature of Australia’s home loans reduces potential claims risks and in a benign economy it has proved profitable, earning profits in all but two years of its roughly 50-year history.
  • A sound balance sheet means there is the prospect of further capital-management initiatives.

Financial strength

Genworth is regulated by APRA to maintain a certain prescribed capital level, or PCA. Genworth’s PCA is driven primarily by its LMI concentration risk charge (which is mainly based on its probable maximum loss based on a three-year economic or property downturn of an APRA determined 1-in-200 year severity level) and insurance risk charge (the risk that net insurance liabilities are greater than the value determined by the actuary). Genworth targets a regulatory capital base of 1.32 times-1.44 times its PCA, which it has been consistently above. The PCA as at March 31, 2021, is a healthy 1.63 times.

Bulls Say

  • Fiscal and monetary stimulus cushion the economic downturn in Australia, resulting in a rise in

delinquencies but allows Genworth to remain profitable and continue to generate profits over the longer term.

  • A sound balance sheet provides the capacity to continue to institute capital management initiatives, including special dividends and buying back more shares.
  • The recent relaxation of some macro-prudential measures and low cash rates may spur lenders to issue more investor and HLVR home loans, which Genworth is well positioned to benefit from.

Company Profile

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia listed on the Australian Securities Exchange in 2014 after its U.S.-based parent, Genworth Financial Inc. (NYSE: GNW), sold down its stake. It has since exited. With a history spanning over 50 years, Genworth Australia is a provider of lenders’ mortgage insurance, or LMI, in Australia. In Australia, LMI is predominantly purchased on loans with a loan/value ratio, or LVR, above 80%. LMI protects a lender against a potential loss (gap) between the outstanding loan amount and sale proceeds on a delinquent loan property. LMI does not protect the borrower, however the premium is paid by the borrower. It’s regulated by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, or APRA, which requires it to meet minimum regulatory capital requirements.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Technology Stocks

A Lead Supplier – Cerner in Healthcare IT Solutions & Technology Enabled Services

While the market for acute care EHR is mature and offers little growth, the firm has been able to expand into other areas, such as ambulatory (outpatient) care and secure clients in the federal space, notably with the Department of Defense (DOD) and Department of Veterans Affairs (VA). Combined, these contracts offer $20 billion in revenue to be recognized ratably per site implementation by 2028. Additionally, Cerner has started to cross-sell incremental analytics services to fortify retention rates. Incremental services are largely recurring in nature and include analytics, tele health, and IT outsourcing.

Financial Strength

Revenue is growing steadily as the rollout of Cerner’s HER platform at the DoD and VA commence, and incremental services to existing customers and international expansion add to the muted growth of the mature domestic HER market. Non-GAAP margins are already solid, and we believe they are likely to expand further with the active rationalization of services with lower profitability and cost-saving initiatives. As of fiscal 2020, the company had over $1 billion in cash, equivalents, and investments. Cerner initiated a quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share in mid-2019, which it subsequently raised to $0.22 per share at the end of 2020.

Bulls Say

  • Cerner has been able to maintain a leading market share in the acute care EHR market due to high switching costs.
  • Despite the maturity of the domestic EHR market, Cerner’s federal contracts provide modest revenue growth through 2028.
  • Cerner’s leading EHR market share gives the company valuable RWE that can be packaged and sold to pharma companies, payers, and providers in a data offering.

Company Profile

Cerner is a leading supplier of healthcare information technology solutions and tech-enabled services. The company is a long-standing market leader in the electronic health record (EHR) space, and along with rival Epic Systems corners a majority of the market for acute care EHR within health systems. The company is guided by the mission of the founding partners to provide seamless medical records across all healthcare providers to improve outcomes. Beyond medical records, the company offers a wide range of technology that supports the clinical, financial, and operational needs of healthcare facilities.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks

Deployment Plans Pave a Road to Improving EBITDA at Carnival in 2022

However, global travel has waned as a result of corona virus, potentially leading to longer-term secular shifts in consumer behavior, challenging the economic performance of Carnival over an extended horizon. As consumers slowly resume cruising after a year-plus no-sail halt (with eight of the company’s nine brands set to resume limited sailings by year-end), we suspect cruise operators will have to continue to reassure passengers of both the safety and value propositions of cruising. Aggravating profits will be the fact that the entire fleet will likely have staggered reintroductions, crimping profitability over the 2021-22 time frame, ceding scale benefits. For reference, as COVID-19 continues to wane, 52% of the fleet is expected to be deployed by November.

Financial Strength

We believe Carnival has secured adequate liquidity to survive a slow resumption of domestic cruising, with $9.3 billion in cash and investments at the end of May 2021. This should cover the company’s cash burn rate over the ramp-up, which is likely to increase from the roughly $500 million per month experienced in the first half of 2021. Since the beginning of the pandemic, Carnival has raised nearly more than $24 billion in cash via short-term debt, long-term loans and equity issuances (announcing another $500 million at the market equity issuance of June 28, 2021). By our math, Carnival has about 16 months worth of liquidity to operate successfully in a no-revenue environment. If we assume all customer deposits are refunded, this shrinks to about 12 months.

Bulls Say

  • As Carnival deploys its fleet, passenger counts and yields could rise at a faster pace than we currently anticipate if capacity limitations are repealed.
  • A more efficient fleet composition (after pruning 19 ships during COVID-19) may help contain fuel spending, benefiting the cost structure to a greater degree than initially expected, once sailings fully resume.
  • The nascent Asia-Pacific market should remain promising post-COVID-19, as the four largest operators had capacity for nearly 4 million passengers in 2020, which provides an opportunity for long-term growth with a new consumer.

Company Profile

Carnival is the largest global cruise company, set to deploy 52 ships on the seas by the end of fiscal 2021 as the COVID-19 pandemic wanes. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe; and P&O Cruises in Australia. Carnival also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival’s brands attracted about 13 million guests in 2019, prior to COVID-19.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
IPO Watch

SEBI has put the IPOs of GoAir and Aditya Birla MF on hold.

According to Sebi’s most recent reports on the status of offer documents filed for public fund-raising, its observations on Aditya Birla MF’s offer document were “held in suspension.” Sebi cited the same grounds for rejecting GoAir’s IPO. If a firm or its group companies are the subject of a regulatory enquiry, Sebi normally holds off on giving its approval to a fund-raising strategy.

Sebi is reviewing GoAir’s group firm Bombay Dyeing for financial irregularities and fraud linked to a contract between Bombay Dyeing and SCAL Services, according to the IPO paperwork. An investigation began when one of Bombay Dyeing’s shareholders filed a complaint. GoAir filed a draught prospectus with the Sebi in May to fundraise Rs 3,600 crore.

Two of Aditya Birla MF’s sponsors, Aditya Birla Capital and the Indian branch of Sun Life Group of Canada, planned to offer 3.9 crore shares of the business to cut their joint interest by around 13.5 percent.

Sebi is apparently looking into a series of transactions between Aditya Birla Finance, a fund house’s group firm that has filed for an IPO, and CG Power’s backers, the Thapar family. The agreements were made in 2016.

Source: economictimes

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks

TJX’s Long-Term Strength Remains, but International Exposure Elongates it’s Recovery

Near-term sales face headwinds outside the United States, with ongoing store closures in Europe and Canada (roughly 300 units as of May 1). However, we still believe TJX and its peers benefit from durable advantages over full-price apparel and home décor sellers, with strong brands, store experiences, and scale working to keep returns on invested capital high (high-20s average over the next decade).

TJX’s value proposition should resonate even as retail competition intensifies. While digital retailers are a factor (particularly if the pandemic durably increases e-commerce adoption), we see the off-price channel as relatively well protected, as the low-frills buying experience and 20%-60% discounts relative to the full-price channel result in competitive prices and superior economics after considering shipping and return costs. Vendors’ desire for discretion also favors physical stores that can discreetly sell merchandise without diluting top brands’ cachet.

With a global presence, TJX leverages an extensive merchandising operation and proprietary inventory management system to maintain a fast-changing assortment at significant discounts. We believe TJX’s ability to deliver a high-value lineup while maintaining strong returns is driven by its difficult-to-replicate sourcing and distribution agility. By accepting incomplete assortments without return privileges, paying promptly, and stocking brands discreetly (preserving labels’ conventional-channel pricing power by avoiding the stigma of a consistent discount presence), TJX is a valued partner for its more than 21,000 vendors, in our view. As a result, TJX can opportunistically offer a fast-changing, high-value assortment in a treasure-hunt format that is hard to replicate digitally.         

Financial Strength

TJX’s financial health is sound, and we expect it to weather the COVID-19 crisis. The firm drew $1 billion from its revolver and subsequently issued $4 billion in long-dated notes to bridge the crisis, and, with the worst of the pandemic seemingly passed, has since repaid the revolver and nearly $3 billion of other indebtedness. The firm has a historically conservative approach to debt that we do not expect to change. Management states that its maximum store count potential is 3,000 units at Marmaxx (from 2,450 at the end of fiscal 2021), 1,500 at HomeGoods (from 855), 650 in Canada (from 525), and 1,125 in its existing other international markets (from 742).

Bulls Say

  • With an agile merchandising and distribution network, TJX keeps store inventory fresh, spurring traffic while minimizing risks associated with fashion trends and freeing capital.
  • We believe digital retailers will have a more difficult time in encroaching on the off-price channel, particularly given the sector’s already-low prices and vendors’ demand for discretion.
  • TJX’s international operations should offer ample runway for growth and associated incremental cost leverage, with the store banners and off-price concept translating well abroad.

Company Profile

TJX is a leading off-price retailer of apparel, home fashions, and other merchandise. It sells a variety of branded goods, opportunistically buying inventory from a network of over 21,000 vendors worldwide. TJX targets undercutting conventional retailers’ regular prices by 20%-60%, capitalizing on a flexible merchandising network, relatively low-frills stores, and a treasure-hunt shopping experience to drive margins and inventory turnover. TJX derived 79% of fiscal 2021 revenue from the United States, with 11% from Europe (mostly the United Kingdom and Germany), 9% from Canada, and the remainder from Australia. The company operated 4,572 stores at the end of fiscal 2021 under the T.J. Maxx, T.K. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, Winners, Homesense, Winners, and Sierra banners.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Property

Qube Holdings Will Be Cashed Up After Selling Moorebank Warehouses

However, Qube’s strategy to consolidate a fragmented industry should deliver above-market rates of growth and scale benefits. Qube is developing the Moorebank intermodal terminal, located on the Southern Sydney Freight Line, to help alleviate congestion at Port Botany and drive efficiencies in the distribution supply chain. Moorebank, on full completion and ramp-up, should materially contribute to group earnings and deliver a strong competitive advantage for the group’s logistics operations.

Qube’s strategy is to consolidate the fragmented logistics chain surrounding the export and import of containers, bulk products, automobiles, and general cargo, to create a more efficient and cost-effective supply chain. The business has enjoyed some successes to date, though significant scope for industry consolidation remains. Qube to generate robust earnings growth over the long term on acquisitions, developments and organic growth. The domestic port logistics industry has traditionally been very fragmented, highly competitive, and inefficient. Currently, there are more than 250 operators providing port logistics services in one segment of the market.

Qube’s strategy is to provide a broad range of services nationwide, touching multiple segments of the import/export supply chain. Successfully developing its strategic land holdings into inland intermodal terminals should add materially to Qube’s future earnings and support cost advantages to less efficient peers. Qube aims to develop inland rail terminals as an alternative to moving container volumes from port via road. The bulk and general segments are highly fragmented and competitive but Qube is one of the largest players, with operations at 28 city and regional ports. The automotive stevedoring business operates in a duopoly market structure, holding long-term off-ship transportation, processing and storage contracts with major foreign vehicle manufacturers.

Financial Strength

The sale of Moorebank warehouses, Qube will be in strong financial health. Gearing (net debt/net debt plus equity) was 27% in December 2020, slightly up from from 26% in June but below Qube’s 30%-40% long-term target range. It should be in a net cash position after receiving Moorebank sale proceeds, providing ample headroom to fund developments and bolt-on acquisitions. We forecast net debt/EBITDA to fall from 3.8 at June 2020 to be at or below 1 over the medium term assuming the sale of the warehouses goes ahead as planned. Qube’s businesses have delivered steadily increasing operating cash flow in recent years, though operations remain cyclical. Recent growth initiatives should generate strong future cash flow, though a large-scale acquisition or development project may require new equity funding. Qube has significant capital expenditure requirements including Moorebank development. Qube is committed to paying 50%-60% of net operating profit after tax as dividends.

Qube Holding’s Port Logistics Services

  • There is significant potential to increase efficiency through vertical integration of port logistics services. Qube will attempt to deliver on this strategy through consolidation and integration.
  • The Moorebank Intermodal Terminal should become a key piece of Sydney’s transport infrastructure, driving strong returns for Qube.
  • Senior management has a proven track record in the port logistics segment and has demonstrated an ability to generate strong returns for shareholders.

Company Profile

Qube has three main divisions: operating; infrastructure and property; and Patrick. Operating undertakes road/rail transportation of containers to and from port, operation of container parks, customs/quarantine services, warehousing, intermodal terminals, international freight forwarding, domestic stevedoring, and bulk transport. Patrick is the container terminals business acquired from Asciano, and the infrastructure and property division includes tactical land holdings in Sydney.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks

Nestle’s Stellar Performance During Coronavirus Pandemic Is a Reflection of Its Wide Moat

With sales from premium products across categories estimated at around 26% of group sales and accounting for more than 50% of Nestle’s organic growth in fiscal 2019 in our calculations, we see heightened downside risks from recession-driven downtrading to cheaper private-label alternatives. The emergence of hard discounters selling private-label products and the threat of the online channel lowering barriers to entry for smaller, nimbler manufacturers that have proved to be more adept at identifying the niche opportunities are headwinds for large-scale consumer packaged goods firms.

Aside from structural cost-cutting efforts, the management team has put a lot of weight on reinvigorating growth through active portfolio management, resetting legacy businesses, and further investment in high-growth categories (coffee, pet care, water, and nutrition). Further, population growth, urbanisation, and economic growth are secular drivers in emerging markets, where the company sources a sizable and growing share of its sales, which should support medium-term volumes, though at a lower level than historical averages.

Financial Strength

Nestle has one of the strongest balance sheets in packaged food, and we regard it as having a low liquidity and refinancing risk profile. Nestle’s net debt/EBITDA of 1.4 times at the end of 2019 is well below its peer group average of around 3.0 times, and EBITDA covered interest expense by a very comfortable 16 times in 2019. Nestle faces maturities of around CHF 2 billion in 2020, CHF 4 billion in 2021, and CHF 2.7 billion in 2022, which we see as manageable, given the firm’s prodigious cash generation (10% average free cash flow to the firm as a percentage of sales over the past decade) and access to refinancing debt.

Leveraging the balance sheet to a level in line with peers could raise more than CHF 20 billion in additional capital. Further, Nestle owns 23% of wide-moat L’Oreal, a stake that could raise close to CHF 20 billion at our fair value estimate. With approximately CHF 2 billion more in excess cash on the balance sheet, Nestle has a potential pool of capital of more than CHF 40 billion, which would allow it to execute a transformative acquisition of a large-cap name. Nestle has historically spent CHF 1 billion-3 billion of its roughly CHF 10 billion in annual free cash flow on bolt-on deals. Nestle generates around CHF 4 billion per year in free cash flow after the dividend has been paid. Nestle could still deleverage to less than 1 time net debt/EBITDA by fiscal 2024 due to its improved profitability, leaving ample room for large acquisitions.

Nestle’s Geographic Reach

  • The breadth and diversity of Nestle’s portfolio and its geographic reach allow for easier absorption of brand and operational shocks.
  • Nestle’s global distribution network and entrenched supply chain relationships render the company one of the most effective platforms to develop and expand brands on a global scale (as seen in its latest partnership deal with Starbucks).
  • With margins lagging some of its large-cap peers, there should be plenty of low-hanging fruit with which Nestle could improve its financial performance.

Company Profile

With a 150-year-plus history, Nestle is the largest food and beverage manufacturer in the world by sales, generating more than CHF 90 billion in annual revenue. Its diverse product portfolio includes brands such as Nestle, Nescafe, Perrier, Pure Life, and Purina. Nestle also owns just over 23% of French cosmetics firm L’Oreal. The company has a vast portfolio of global products, with 34 brands each achieving more than CHF 1 billion in sales annually and a geographic presence that spans 189 countries.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.