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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

AUD/JPY Neutral Weekly Technical Outlook

Daily Candlestick Chart

While there is still a bearish crossover between the 20- and 50-day SMAs, the 200-day counterpart could keep the attention on the upward.

Positive RSI divergence is also present, which could signal a move higher towards the SMAs in the short term.

(Source: Daily FX)

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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls Lose Control Near 0.7500

AUD/USD 4-hour chart

The AUD/USD on the 4-hour chart, pair has been confronting solid resistance at the constantly falling trend line from Wednesday’s high around 0.7600 marks.
The bears might then capture the horizontal support levels of 0.7465 and 0.7445. The AUD/USD bears will then hunt upon on 0.7409 falls on Friday. However it may reverse the current trend and move north if the price breaks the bearish slope line.
The critical psychological level of 0.7500 would be the first priority for bulls in line.
There is marked 0.7520 horizontal resistance level that would then be followed by the 0.7535 high of Wednesday.
(Source: FXSTREET)
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IPO Watch

Paytm Money will Allow you to reserve IPO allotments in advance

A purchase request to the brokerage is known as a pre-booking. Sridhar added that on the day the offer goes live on the exchange, the brokerage will buy allotments on behalf of all the requests it has received from investors.

“Because we won’t be collecting money during the pre-order, it’s not the same as booking a slot ahead of market hours,” he explained, adding that depending on the size, demand, and premium of the IPO, a request made through the feature may or may not turn into an allocation.

Investors will have to clear a payment request on their Unified Payments Interface (UPI) app within 24 hours of receiving an allocation using the new functionality.

Over the last few months, there has been a boom in interest in IPOs, and we have observed examples where customers have been unable to apply due to difficulties such as tight timelines during market hours and demand-driven processing delays in the markets.

For the forthcoming Zomato IPO on July 14-16, the functionality will first be available on the Paytm Money app.

Company Profile

Paytm is an Indian digital payment system and financial technology company, based in Noida. Paytm is currently available in 11 Indian languages and offers online use-cases like mobile recharges, utility bill payments, travel, movies, and events bookings as well as in-store payments at grocery stores, fruits and vegetable shops, restaurants, parking, tolls, pharmacies and educational institutions with the Paytm QR code.

(Source: The Economics Time)

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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

AUD/USD starts the week off in hands of bulls

A sharp drop from monthly highs 1% recovered, putting it in a great position to start the week optimistic, boosting commodity-linked currencies.

“The scenario is also likely to dampen interest in both business and pleasure travel to other Australian states, given the potential of becoming trapped is quite real.”

From a daily standpoint, the price is at a fork in the road. A break of support, given the bearish tendency, would be likely to result in a negative extension.

(Source: FX Street)

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ipo IPO Watch

The IPO valuation of Rs 60,000 crore for Zomato has created a lot of buzz.

People have opposing viewpoints. Despite its losses, some believe that a tech-enabled corporation should be valued differently than a typical company. Some see the IPO as a way for venture capital and private equity investors to unload their risk to retail investors, while others anticipate Indian food tech businesses will match international peers like DoorDash’s valuations to a major extent.

Zomato’s IPO will take place from July 14 to July 16, with a price range of Rs 72-76.

Zomato’s IPO will take place from July 14 to July 16, with a price range of Rs 72-76. The increased offer size is estimated to be around Rs 9,375 crore. Zomato’s IPO valuation, at around Rs 60,000 crore, is roughly equal to the market value of all of the other quick service restaurants (QSRs) listed on Indian stock exchanges. It is also worth as much as the combined market value of all of the country’s listed hospitality chains. This second category includes behemoths such as Indian Hotels, which operates the world-famous Taj hotel brand in India and overseas and also Oberoi Hotels.

In India, there are around 20 listed hospitality companies with a combined market capitalisation of Rs 44,000 crore and a half-dozen listed quick service restaurants with a combined market value of Rs 60,712 crore. After the coronavirus crisis, Jubilant (which operates a Domino’s Pizza India franchisee), Westlife (McDonald’s), and Indian Hotels (which runs the Qmin gourmet food ordering app) all introduced contactless delivery services.

Jubilant Foods, which claims that over 90% of Domino’s deliveries are now related to internet orders, is the most valuable QSR stock at Rs 41,007 crore, while Indian Hotels (Taj) is the most valuable hospitality firm at Rs 17,589 crore. According to Indian Hotels chairman N Chandrasekaran, who spoke at the company’s annual shareholder meeting last month, Qmin, which Taj debuted last July, is expanding its reach to 25 cities from 16 cities.

Source: economictimes.indiatimes

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IPO Watch

Despite reservations, the Zomato IPO is expected to go through.

According to market experts, Zomato’s IPO is likely to go through and may even list at a premium to the issue price due to interest from long-term institutional investors, but profitability concerns and the size of the offering are likely to keep subscription numbers in check.

According to brokers, the stock’s grey market premium has reduced to 10-11 per share over its IPO price band of 72-76 per share, down from 15-16 a few days ago.

Arun Kejriwal comments, founder, Kris Research.

The premium has dropped since the offer may not be subscribed as many times as expected, and if the Tatva Chintan Pharma IPO is set for next week, it is probable that market funds would be redirected to that IPO rather than only Zomato. In the funding market, the cost of per share is currently $6 plus the issue price, and in the grey market, it can be sold for $10-$11 per share, which is the grey market premium. People are making $4 per share in the grey market by selling their stock.

According to market sources, Tatva Chintan, which is expected to collect approximately 475 crore in the IPO, could go public this week. In the grey market, Tatva Chintan’s shares are trading at a 600 percent premium.

About Zomoto

Customers, restaurant partners, and delivery partners are all connected through our technological platform, which serves their various demands. Customers use our platform to find and book restaurants, read and write customer reviews, see and upload images, order food delivery, book a table, and pay for their meals when dining out. We, on the other hand, equip restaurant partners with industry-specific marketing tools that allows interaction and gain customers in order to develop their business while simultaneously providing a dependable and effective last-mile delivery service.

Source : economictimes.indiatimes

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Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Currencies

AUD/USD Forecast: Aussie depending on the market’s sentiment

The 0.75 handle has previously served as resistance, so it’s highly possible that we’ll have to work a little to get beyond it. On the downside, we had broken through the 0.75 handle.

If we break below this weekly candlestick, we’ll almost certainly aim for the 0.75 level below, and look closely at the weekly chart, you can see the big head and shoulders pattern that just broke down.

(Source: The Economics Times)

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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

After the meeting, the RBA will welcome the decline in the value of the Australian dollar.

Even as it starts to reduce its quantitative easing programme, the RBA is expected to applaud the Australian dollar’s reaction to its policy moves, hoping that it would help it achieve its goal of bringing inflation down within its target range. Even as the market begins to price in rate hikes as early as 2022, the RBA repeated on Tuesday that it does not plan to raise the cash rate before 2024. Even as the market starts to price in rate hikes as early as 2022, the RBA repeated on Tuesday that it does not plan to raise the cash rate before 2024.

Following the RBA conference, markets shifted their rate expectations forwards. They had returned to where they were before the meeting by Wednesday. Because of its position, the RBA may be one of the last major central banks to raise interest rates. While many in the market saw the RBA’s actions as hawkish, it continues one of the most dovish major central banks in the world.

Source afr

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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

Predictions for AUD/USD and NZD/USD — Rising Risk Demand Aids Commodity-Linked Aussie, Kiwi

The AUD/USD concluded at.7490 on Friday, up 0.0059 or +0.79%, while the NZD/USD finished at.6999, up 0.0052 or +0.75%.The surge in Treasury yields in the United States on Friday boosted riskier assets and currencies, with global stock markets surging and commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand Dollars gaining traction.

Treasury yields are rising, while U.S. stocks are reaching new highs, and the dollar is weakening

Treasury yields rose further on Friday, as the 3 key US stock indexes soared to new highs, as markets eased off their fears of a faltering economic recovery following COVID-19, which had dominating trading for much of the week. Early in the week, fears of a failing recovery, fueled in part by the spread of the Delta coronavirus, lowered risk appetite and triggered flight-to-safety bond purchases, with some wagering the reflation trade had stopped.

On Thursday, 10-year US government bond yields fell to a four-and-a-half-month low as a result of this action. Investors were cutting short bond positions through July 6, according to data released on Friday, which pushed on yields. Stocks gained as financials and other economically focused sectors recovered from earlier in the week’s selloff driven by growth concerns.

Throughout the week, the Aussies and Kiwis have been under pressure.

The Australian and New Zealand currencies were under pressure for the majority of the week as global risk aversion damaged equities and lowered bond yields, while a further lockdown in Sydney posed a threat to the domestic economy. The news that Sydney’s lockdown will be prolonged for a third week did not assist the Aussie, as the Delta variant outbreak showed no signs of decline.

The country’s economic interruption merely highlighted the necessity for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to maintain its stimulus, with Governor Philip Lowe stating that interest rates are unlikely to rise before 2024.

Source finance.yahoo

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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

Fears over the economy have pushed the Australian dollar to a one-year low.

Investors interested in US bonds

As investors raced into safe assets like US government bonds, the decrease matched a small decline in the New Zealand dollar, which is also closely linked with growth, as well as declines in US and European sharemarkets. Only a few weeks earlier, the main concern on financial markets was that unprecedented levels of fiscal and monetary stimulus would cause inflation to spiral out of control.

Now, markets are expressing increasing concern about the possibility that a reduction in stimulus from the likes of the US Federal Reserve could hinder the comeback before the global economy has fully recovered from the pandemic.

Reason for drop Aussie dollar

The Australian dollar has dropped in value just days after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced a plan to gradually withdraw quantitative easing and stop buying yield curve control bonds in April 2024 rather than continuing it to the next issuance. The initiatives are the first, cautious steps towards reducing the record levels of monetary stimulus, which also include $200 billion in bond purchases to underpin rates and lower borrowing costs across the economy in order to stimulate development.

Spite of low in stimulus, the July meeting was dovish overall, as the RBA reiterated its expectation of raising interest rates in 2024, while market pricing suggests other central banks may move faster. The Fed’s recent effort to contemplate reducing its massive bond-buying programmes against the backdrop of a chronic COVID-19 threat, with new varieties like the delta strain forcing even fully vaccinated nations like Israel to consider fresh lockdowns, has fueled fears that stimulus may be withdrawn.

Comments on Aussie dollars by Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist, NAB

The Australian dollar is extremely susceptible to growth, and there has been a change in focus to growth worries. The RBA’s overall message is that it is dovish in comparison to other central banks. The economy and labour market are strengthening quicker than the RBA anticipated, indicating slowing, but wages growth has not exceeded projections, so no rate hikes are projected until 2024.

Source AFR

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Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.