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Global stocks

Cintas Corp Posts Solid Second-Quarter Results

Business Strategy and Outlook:

Cintas is the dominant provider in the $16 billion U.S. uniform rental/sales and related ancillary-services industry. It enjoys a roughly 43% market share, and no singular end market comprises a significant portion of total revenue. Despite its already impressive position, Cintas is expected to grow over the next 10 years. The firm constantly considers new product lines while emphasizing cross-selling to its existing customers. About 60% of its annual sales growth derives from new client wins, and at $4 billion-$5 billion, the remaining unvended market remains sizable, and the G&K acquisition added 170,000 uniform rental clients to Cintas’ book of business.

Cintas is a highly cyclical business; its uniform rental segment moves closely with U.S. employment trends, and given the current market environment, revenues will increase in fiscal 2022 after marginal growth in fiscal 2021. The firm recovered quickly after the 2009 recession, with revenue exceeding pre-recession levels by fiscal 2012, and Cintas still generated economic profits despite sustaining revenue losses for five straight quarters. Management has navigated this tough economic environment well over the last year, and cost management has been impressive.

Financial Strength:

The fair value estimate of the stock has been increased due to raised revenue guidance and time value of money.

Cintas’ balance sheet is considered to be healthy. At the end of the fiscal 2021 (ended May 31, 2021), the firm posted $494 million in cash and equivalents and about $1.6 billion of total long-term debt. Long-term debt was down significantly from the $2.5 billion posted at the end of fiscal 2020. Solid free cash generation will enable the firm to continue reducing leverage as desired in the years ahead. Cintas’ debt/EBITDA was near 1.4 times at the end of fiscal-year 2021, versus 1.6 times at the end of fiscal-year 2020–$1 billion dollars of debt will mature in fiscal 2022, followed by about $350 million of debt maturing in 2023 and about $50 million in 2025. Beyond that, no more debt will mature until 2027 and beyond.

Bulls Say:

  • Cintas’ industry-leading operating efficiency stems from its significant scale-based cost advantages, achieved through superior route density. 
  • The firm’s impressive sales execution is supporting robust new business wins and greater penetration among existing customers. It’s also helping Cintas to realize material cross-selling opportunities with the former G&K operations. 
  • There is still ample opportunity for expansion, as companies in the sizable unvended market look to outsource their uniform programs and facilities services.

Company Profile:

In its core uniform and facility services unit (80% of sales), Cintas provides uniform rental programs to businesses across the size spectrum, mostly in North America. The firm is by far the largest provider in the industry. Facilities products generally include the rental and sale of entrance mat, mops, shop towels, hand sanitizers, and restroom supplies. Cintas also runs a first aid and safety services business (11% of sales), a fire protection services business (6% of sales), and a uniform direct sales business (3% of sales).

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Shares Small Cap

Bega Cheese economic moat required to sustainably generate economic profits

Business Strategy and Outlook

Bega has transformed from a dairy processor with a focus on business to business operations to a branded consumer food company with a more diversified earnings base and less exposure to volatile milk prices. While dairy will remain a key category for Bega Cheese, the focus will be on high value products such as cream cheese and infant formula. In January 2021, Bega finalised the acquisition of Lion Dairy and Drinks from Kirin Group for AUD 534 million. As part of the acquisition, Bega acquired leading brands in milk-based beverages and yoghurt, white milk, and plant-based beverages, in addition to 13 manufacturing sites and Australia’s largest national cold chain distribution network. 

Revenue from the branded segment, which includes spreads, grocery products and Lion’s Dairy and Drinks portfolio, to expand at a CAGR of 18% to fiscal 2026, underpinned by new product innovation and bolt-on acquisitions. Bega Cheese has made limited investment in its brands, particularly in Australia where Fonterra is the licensee of the Bega brand, however since acquiring the spreads and grocery business in 2018, marketing spend as proportion of revenue has increased to 3% from 1% and it is anticipated to remain the higher level.

Financial Strength

Our fair value estimate is AUD 5.20 per share. Bega’s balance sheet is sound. Leverage, measured as net debt/EBITDA improved to 2.3 at June 30, 2021, from 2.4 at the prior period and comfortably below covenants. This is a pleasing position post the major acquisition of Lion Dairy and Drinks in fiscal 2021 which was funded through AUD 267 million of new and extended debt facilities and a AUD 401 million equity raising. It is expected that further deleveraging in coming years as acquisition synergies are achieved, earnings improve and noncore assets are divested, with net debt/EBITDA falling below 2.0 by 2023. Bega has the capacity to pursue smaller acquisitions while maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 50% normalised EPS. The group’s fiscal 2022 EBITDA guidance of AUD 195 million to AUD 215 million has necessitated an 11% downgrade to our fiscal 2022 EBITDA forecast to AUD 215 million.

Bulls Say’s 

  • Bega is shifting investment to the spreads and grocery business, which we view as less commoditised and higher margin than dairy, with strong niche positions in Vegemite and peanut butter 
  • External factors outside of Bega’s control, such as the weather, can adversely impact supply and demand dynamics. This can impact commodity prices, inputs costs and the firm’s supply chain and lead to volatile earnings 
  • Changing consumer trends toward dairy-free and vegan diets could lead to declines in per-capita dairy and cheese consumption, weighing on the majority of Bega’s earnings

Company Profile 

Bega Cheese is an Australian based dairy processor and food manufacturer of well-known brands including Bega Cheese and Vegemite. Bega Cheese operates two segments: the branded segment which produces consumer packaged goods primarily sold through the supermarket and foodservice channels and the bulk segment which produces commodity dairy ingredients primarily sold through the business-to-business channel.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
ipo IPO Watch

CMS Info Systems Limited IPO subscribed 1.95 times

The company is engaged in installing, maintaining, and managing assets and technology solutions on an end-to-end outsourced basis for banks, financial institutions, organized retail and e-commerce companies in India.

The IPO comprises of offer for sale of equity share amounting to Rs. 1,100 crore. The CMS Info Systems IPO open date is Dec 21, 2021, and the close date is Dec 23, 2021. The issue may list on Dec 31, 2021. The mininimum lot size comprises of 69 shares at a price band of Rs.205-216 per equity share.  A retail-individual investor can apply for up to 13 lots (897 shares or ₹193,752).The IPO will be listed both on NSE as well as BSE .

The IPO aims to raise funds for the following objectives;

  • To carry out an offer for sale of equity shares by promotors aggregating upto Rs. 11,000 million.
  • To achieve the benefits of listing the equity shares on the stock exchanges.

CMS Info System Limited  IPO has got 50 per cent reserved for qualified institutional buyers (QIBs), 35% reserved for retail investor and 15 per cent reserved for non-institutional investors (NIIs). 

CMS Info Systems IPO Subscription Status (Bidding Detail)

The offering received 7,32,71,721 applications versus 3,75,60,975 shares on offer, resulting in a 1.95-to-1 subscription ratio. The part earmarked for retail bidders was subscribed 2.15 times, according to BSE data, while the institutional quota garnered 1.45 times offers. So far, the HNI section has been subscribed to 1.98 times.

Company Profile

As of March 31, 2021, CMS Info Systems Limited was India’s largest cash management firm in terms of ATM and retail pick-up points. The company instals, maintains, and manages assets and technological solutions for banks, financial institutions, organised retail, and e-commerce companies in India on an end-to-end outsourced basis.

The company is divided into three segments: 1. cash management services, 2. managed services (such as banking automation product sales, common control systems, and software solutions, and so on), and 3. others (such as financial card issuance for banks and card personalisation services). It has a network of 3,965 cash vans and 238 branches and offices covering all of India’s states and union territories as of August 31, 2021.

(Source: CMS Info Systems IPO DRHP)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Commodities Trading Ideas & Charts

Higher Copper Price and Futures a Tailwind for Oz Minerals, but Shares Remain Overvalued

Business Strategy and Outlook

Oz Minerals is a midtier Australian miner, primarily exposed to copper and, to a lesser extent, gold. Prominent Hill and Carrapateena mine is fully owned by Oz Minerals Ltd.

Expected fiscal 2021 annual production at Prominent Hill of less than 70,000 tonnes of copper and 120,000 ounces of gold is globally small-scale. Barring a significant new discovery, life at Prominent Hill is likely to extend only incrementally with exploration. Cash costs have consistently been at competitive levels below USD 1.00 per pound since 2015, below the industry average. Prominent Hill output is likely to fall as the company processes stockpiles where grades are set to decline and eventually as those stockpiles exhaust around 2023-24. Regional exploration acreage around Prominent Hill is extensive and the company has focused on near mine areas with some success.

The Carrapateena mine, also in South Australia, produces about 70,000 tonnes of copper a year and is likely to expand to just over 110,000 a year from around 2028. Carrapateena comes with an approximate 20 year reserve life and a similar competitive position to Prominent Hill. 

Oz Minerals has targeted acquisition of advanced-stage exploration plays, development projects, or operatingmines. The company has built an encouraging pipeline of projects. Management developed Carrapateena to deliver a vastly more attractive project than initially planned. The acquisition of Brazil-based Avanco is a modest addition. Longer-term output hinges on successful acquisitions and/or exploration and development.

Higher Copper Price and Futures a Tailwind for Oz Minerals, but Shares Remain Overvalued

The fair value estimate as per Morningstar analyst remains at AUD 16.60 and the current near-record high copper price means the shares remain substantially overvalued.

We expect Oz Minerals to continue to benefit from near term strength in copper prices. This augments an already strong balance sheet with net cash. It is expected that copper prices will remain elevated at an average of USD 3.70 per pound to the end of 2024 and  prices to wane longer-term to USD 2.50 per pound from 2025 as the strong economic growth and post COVID-19 stimulus abate.

Financial Strength 

The balance sheet is sound with modest net cash at the end of March 2021. Single-commodity miners should have a conservative balance sheet and is considered as appropriate as per the viewpoint of Morningstar analyst. Longer-term, Oz Minerals could again start to generate significant excess cash flow, though if the company decides to push ahead with some of the potential development projects it has, this cash could largely be put to work and the firm could carry modest net debt at some points through our 10-year forecast period. The company is likely to further invest in Carrapateena, potentially develop the West Musgrave nickel/copper mine and some of the copper/gold assets acquired with Avanco Resources, as well to build and advance the company’s project pipeline. If an acquisition is made, the balance sheet might temporarily be more highly geared, but it seems unlikely Oz Minerals would buy a large new mine while it has so many internal development options.

Bulls Say 

  • Oz Minerals brings leverage to copper, a key metal for the emerging economies of China and India. 
  • Carrapateena extends Oz Minerals’ production of copper at a low operating cost. Successful development increases the likelihood nearby deposits could become economically viable. 
  • Oz Minerals holds significant exploration acreage around Prominent Hill and Carrapateena, with potential for life extensions and new discoveries. Management has done a creditable job of building a large and diverse pipeline of development options at different stages of maturity.

Company Profile

Oz Minerals is a midtier copper/gold producer. Prominent Hill produced about 100,000 tonnes of copper in 2020 with cash costs well below the industry average. The mine is a very small contributor to total global refined output of about 24 million tonnes in 2020. Finite reserves are a challenge, but management has extended life at Prominent Hill, albeit at a lower production rate. Life extension comes with development of the nearby Carrapateena mine, which started in 2020. Carrapateena should initially ramp up to produce at about 70,000 tonnes a year before expanding to just over 110,000 a year from around 2028. The acquisition of Brazil-based Avanco Resources adds volumes but the scale is smaller than the Australian assets, costs are higher and growth is likely to be incremental.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Philosophy Technical Picks

Despite wobbles at the top, Bapcor’s core is expected to be positive

Business Strategy and Outlook:

Bapcor’s narrow economic moat is contingent not on the CEO, but rather its scale. Bapcor’s scale allows not only additional buying power, but also the ability to source an extensive range of inventory (over 500,000 SKUs, many of these slow-moving, for over 20,000 different vehicle types) and the flexibility to efficiently allocate inventory between stores. Smaller players, lacking this scale, will be unable to replicate Bapcor’s low cost position. 

Bapcor’s trade network’s extensive reach also means Bapcor is able to provide parts to more customers in a timelier manner than smaller competitors, often within the hour, even for slow-moving SKUs. Bapcor’s trade customers consist of principally chain and independent mechanic workshops. These businesses are relatively price inelastic, as costs are passed through to the end consumer, and these businesses instead value parts availability and convenience, allowing service bays to turn over quickly. The number of registered vehicles in Australia will grow at low single digits over the next decade, marginally outpacing population growth. There are currently more than 19 million passenger vehicles in Australia, with an average age of over 10 years, and more than 14 million older than five years– squarely in Bapcor’s target market.

Financial Strength:

While it is expected that the near-term earnings momentum may slow down, analysts anchor on the firm’s long-term fundamentals and defensive earnings. The dividend yield generated by the firm is also substantial.

The financial outlook for the firm remains unchanged. Bapcor has benefitted from elevated government stimulus and pent-up demand, boosting fiscal 2021 sales as consumers opt to maintain and improve their existing cars rather than upgrade to newer vehicles. Australian retail sales were the standout in fiscal 2021, with sales from the Autobarn and Autopro network up 26% compared with fiscal 2020. It is expected that much of the growth was discretionary, rather than maintenance expenditure–retail sales outperformed 16% sales growth in Bapcor’s maintenance focussed trade business.

Company Profile:

Bapcor is one of the largest automotive spare parts and accessories businesses in Australia and New Zealand. The firm principally distributes automotive spare parts and accessories to independent and chain mechanic workshops in Australia and New Zealand through Burson-branded stores. Bapcor also operates a retail automotive spare parts and accessories business in Australia, catering to the DIY customer, under the AutoPro and Autobarn brands. The specialist wholesale business is a brand owner and wholesaler of specialised parts.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Expert Insights

Paychex Is Well Placed to Benefit From the Economic Recovery and a Complex Regulatory Landscape

Business Strategy and Outlook

Paychex’s offering appeals to businesses wishing to outsource mission-critical functions, manage and attract employees, and remain compliant with increasingly complex and evolving regulations. Paychex’s solutions span from do-it-yourself payroll with add-on human capital management modules to full-service HR outsourcing via an administrative services organization or professional employer organization model. The ASO and PEO solutions allow a business to outsource critical HR functions to Paychex, including payroll, compliance, and benefits administration, and access support from onsite HR professionals. The main difference between the two models is that under a PEO, Paychex enters a co-employment arrangement and acts as the employer of record for tax and insurance purposes. 

Financial Strength

Paychex is in a strong financial position. At the end of fiscal 2021, Paychex had a net cash position of over $300 million including restricted cash and total corporate investments. In fiscal 2019, the company issued $800 million of fixed-rate long-term debt to fund the $1.2 billion acquisition of PEO business Oasis. Paychex has returned nearly $7 billion of capital to shareholders during the eight years to fiscal 2021 primarily through dividends and to a lesser extent share repurchases. It is expected that  Paychex’s strong free cash flow generation will support an 80% dividend payout ratio over our forecast period. 

Paychex’s medium-term outlook due to resilient revenue retention and stronger demand for complementary HCM solutions than previously anticipated, underpinning our 4% fair value estimate increase to $110 per share. At current prices, Paychex’s shares screen as overvalued trading at a 21% premium to our updated fair value estimate. Management now expects fiscal 2022 adjusted EPS growth to be about 19%, from about 13% previously.

Bull Say’s

  • Paychex is well placed to benefit from increased regulatory complexity under a U.S. Democratic administration. 
  • Paychex benefits from high customer switching costs, a scale-based cost advantage, and strong brand assets and a referral network built over many decades. 
  • Paychex dominates the small-business outsourced payroll market with strong prospects of further market penetration.

Company Profile 

Paychex is a leading provider of payroll, human capital management, and insurance solutions servicing small and midsize clients primarily in the United States. The company, established in 1979, services over 710,000 clients and pays over 1 in 12 U.S. private-sector workers. Alongside its traditional payroll services, Paychex offers HCM solutions such as benefits administration and time and attendance software, as well as human resources outsourcing and insurance brokering.

(Source: BanyanTree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
LICs LICs

Metrics Master Income Trust Seeking to Raise $440m through Unit Purchase Plan

On 28 October 2021, MXT announced a Unit Purchase Plan (UPP) proposing to issue 220.8m new units at a price of $2.00 per unit. The Trust is targeting to raise ~$441.6m. While the Trust maintains the flexibility to accept applications in excess of the target raise amount, applications in excess of this amount may also be scaled back.

The Offer closed on 30 November 2021 with an Issue Date of 3 December 2021. New units are expected to commence trading on 6 December 2021.

Capital raised will be invested in accordance with the investment mandate and target return of the Trust.

MXT targets a return of the RBA cash rate plus 3.25% p.a. (currently 3.35% p.a. net of fees) through the economic cycle, with income distributions intended to be paid monthly. Since listing on the ASX in October 2017, MXT has delivered a net return of 5.15% pa.

Net Asset Value of metrics Master Income Trust is $1,573,565,708. Current Unit Price is $2.07. 

Performance 

Performance.png

Company Profile

The Investment Objective of the Metrics Master Income Trust is to provide monthly cash income, low risk of capital loss and portfolio diversification by actively managing diversified loan portfolios and participating in Australia’s bank‐dominated corporate loan market. The Manager seeks to implement active strategies designed to balance delivery of the Target Return, while seeking to preserve investor.

(Source: FN Arena, Bloomberg, MXT)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Funds Funds

UBS Property Securities Fund: The fund which aims to outperform the S&P/ASX 300 Property Accumulation Index

Investment strategy 

The Fund uses a multi-step investment process for constructing the Fund’s investment portfolio that combines top-down sector allocation with bottom-up individual stock selection. Top-down sector allocation is determined through a systematic evaluation of listed and direct property market trends and conditions. Bottom-up stock selection is driven by proprietary analytical techniques to conduct fundamental company analysis, which provides a framework for security selection through an analysis of individual securities independently and relative to each other. Investment return objective The Fund aims to outperform (after management costs) the S&P/ASX 300 Property Accumulation Index over rolling three year periods.

Investment return objective 

The Fund aims to outperform (after management costs) the S&P/ASX 300 Property Accumulation Index over rolling three year periods.

 Downside Risks

  • Deterioration in the Australian economy especially the property market (fundamentals deteriorate). Rising bond yields negatively impacting pricing. 
  • The Portfolio Manager/analysts miss-calculate their bottom-up valuation 
  • Key person risks in Mr. Pica (however, the CBRE investment team is relatively large and capable of succession planning). 

Fund Performance (as at 31 May 2021)

C:\Users\Akhila\Downloads\Screenshot 2021-12-23 163325.png

(Source: UBS)

Fund Positioning: Top 5 Holdings – Overweights & Underweights (as at 31 May 2021)

C:\Users\Akhila\Downloads\Screenshot 2021-12-23 164000.png

(Source: UBS)

Investment Process

The Fund uses an investment process that combines in-depth top-down and bottom- up fundamental market research with a disciplined and systematic approach to portfolio construction and risk management. The Portfolio Manager’s bottom-up approach integrates both quantitative and qualitative research to identify individual securities where the real estate is undervalued and represents the most compelling investment opportunities. The securities research process incorporates several factors including: 

  • Property visits – the Portfolio Manager utilises its local presence to gauge the quality and location of the real estate, assessing properties and capital expenditure needs at the property level. 
  • Management meetings – the Portfolio Manager assesses the management team’s alignment with shareholders; determines the depth and experience of the team; and judges their ability to articulate and execute their strategy. 
  •  Modelling – the Portfolio Manager generates cash flow earnings projections; performs net asset value analysis; and analyses the capital structure. 

About the fund

The UBS Property Securities Fund (portfolio managed by CBRE while Distributed by UBS) is a portfolio of mainly Australian Real Estate Investment Trusts that the investment team believes are being undervalued by the market, based on the in-house assessment of the company’s future cashflows. The Fund aims to outperform (after management costs) the S&P/ASX 300 Property Accumulation Index over rolling five-year periods 

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Funds Funds

Pendal Horizon Fund: An actively managed portfolio of Australian shares

 The Fund is led by Crispin Murray, who has over 27 years’ industry experience and is currently the Head of Equity Strategies at Pendal. Mr. Murray is supported by a research team of nineteen, including Mr. Rajinder Singh who has over 17 years’ experience in Australian equities and manages a range of sustainability and ethical funds for Pendal.

The benchmark index is S&P/ ASX300 Accumulation Index.

Downside Risks: 

  • Market & security specific risk including Australian economic conditions deteriorate. 
  • The Portfolio Manager/analysts miss-calculate their bottom-up valuation. 
  • Stock selection fails to yield alpha against the benchmark – Companies which are screened out, such as in materials, energy, gambling, outperform. 
  • Key man risks with Crispin Murray, Andrew Waddington and Jim Taylor.

Investment Team:

Pendal’s nineteen-member Equity team is one of the largest in the industry. The Fund is managed by Crispin Murray, who is also the Head of Equity and is assisted by Rajinder Singh, who has a combined 44 year’s industry experience.

Fund Performance:

Fund Positioning:

Sector Allocation:

Investment Philosophy & Process:

Investment Philosophy: The Fund’s investment philosophy is based on the belief that good corporate governance and sustainability is a central factor to a company’s longterm success. 

Investment Process: The investment process is driven by bottom-up, fundamental research of stocks listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (both large and small cap). The key features of the process are best described in the diagram below. The Manager also utilises a proprietary system as part of its investment process, which includes Analyst Analyser which is a database that captures analyst financial models, valuations and recommendations

About the Fund:

The Pendal Ethical Share Fund is an actively managed portfolio of Australian shares which seeks to ensure that funds are invested in an ethical and socially responsible manner. The Fund invests in companies whose practices and impacts are aligned with an investor’s own social, environmental and ethical preferences and aims to provide a return (before fees, costs and taxes) that exceeds the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index over a 5-year period.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks

General Mills’ Strong Brands Provide the Pricing Power Needed to Combat Inflationary Pressures

Business Strategy and Outlook

As at-home food consumption remains elevated during the pandemic, consumers are finding favor with General Mills’ offerings, as shown by increases in household penetration and repeat purchase rates in most categories. It is expected that this lift will largely be temporary, with consumers gradually returning to activities outside of the home, returning away-from-home food expenditures to half, as it was prior to the pandemic. But it is also expected that a lasting benefit for General Mills’ pet food business exist, given the high-single-digit increase in pet adoptions during the crisis.

General Mills has earned a narrow moat rating for its preferred status with retailers, strong brand equities, and cost edge. Due to evolving nutritional preferences, consumers have been shifting from processed fare to fresh, natural options, causing General Mills’ categories to slow. In response, the firm laid out its Accelerate strategy in 2021, which calls for the company to overhaul its marketing and innovation processes. Specifically, the firm will shift media investments to digital formats to better align with consumer media consumption, it will launch bolder innovations with a faster speed to market, it will be a force for good-with purpose-driven brands–and it will invest in data analytics (leveraging proprietary data from its Box Tops program and brand websites) to drive growth. Further, the firm will reshape its portfolio by divesting 5% of sales that dilute growth and will acquire growing businesses that strengthen its five global platforms (cereal, pet, ice cream, snack bars, Mexican) or its positioning in its eight core markets (U.S., Canada, France, U.K., Australia, China, Brazil, and India).

Financial Strength 

General Mills has generally maintained a net debt/adjusted EBITDA ratio of under 3 times, although the fiscal 2018 acquisition of Blue Buffalo increased the metric to 4.8 times. But in fiscal 2021, the firm reduced leverage to below 3 times, returning the firm to its pre-acquisition capital allocation priorities of 1) capital expenditures, 2) dividend growth, 3) strategic acquisitions, and 4) share repurchases. In September 2020, General Mills implemented its first dividend hike since the tie-up, in the spring of 2021 it resumed share repurchases, and in July it closed on its $1.2 billion acquisition of no-moat Tyson’s pet snacks business. General Mills generates a significant amount of free cash flow (cash flow from operations less capital expense), averaging 15% of sales over the past three years, generally in line with our 14% annual average over the next five years. 

Bulls Say 

  • General Mills’ pet food business should benefit from the high-single-digit increase in pet adoptions during the pandemic. Its BLUE brand has been growing rapidly, as on-trend innovations are resonating with consumers.
  • The firm is modernizing its brand-building capabilities, with shortened lead times for new product launches and advertising budgets that are shifting to digital formats where consumers are spending more time. 
  • General Mills’ well-developed Strategic Revenue Management and Holistic Margin Management programs should help the firm offset steep cost inflation.

Company Profile

General Mills is a leading global packaged food company that produces snacks, cereal, convenient meals, yogurt, dough, baking mixes and ingredients, pet food, and superpremium ice cream. Its largest brands are Nature Valley, Cheerios, Old El Paso, Yoplait, Pillsbury, Betty Crocker, BLUE, and Haagen-Dazs. In fiscal 2021, 75% of its revenue was derived from the United States, although the company also operates in Canada, Europe, Australia, Asia, and Latin America. While most of General Mills’ products are sold through retail stores to consumers, the company also sells products into the food-service channel and the commercial banking industry

 (Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.