Tag: Recommendations

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Financial Markets Sectors Technology Technology Stocks

Alphabet Inc. earnings momentum to continue driven by Cloud Business and focus on AI and Machine Learning

The concept of 5G network with magnifying glass on modern circuit board, high-speed mobile internet and new generation networks technology background

Investment Thesis:

  • Commands a strong market position in online advertising and online eyeballs. 
  • Search advertising increasing its share of advertising spend. 
  • Leveraged to online video steaming and advertising via YouTube. 
  • Strong balance sheet with over US$130bn in cash, which gives flexibility to invest in growth options or undertake capital management initiatives. 
  • Focus on innovation across advertising businesses, which should help to sustain growth. 
  • Strong management team. 
  • Value accretive acquisitions in existing and new growth areas. 
  • Recent disclosure suggests GOOGL’s Cloud business building good revenue momentum.

Key Risks:

  • Threat of increased regulatory scrutiny, including concerns around consumer privacy and personal data.
  • Regulatory changes which impacts the way GOOGL does business (e.g. forced changes to products). 
  • Expenses such as TAC (traffic acquisition costs) increase ahead of expectations and which the company is unable to pass onto customers. 
  • Deterioration in economic conditions, which would put pressure on the advertising revenue. 
  • Competition from companies like Facebook Inc., Amazon etc. could put pressure on margins. 
  • Potential return from investment on new, innovative technology fails to yield adequate results.

Key highlights:

  • GOOGL reported a very strong quarter, with revenues of $61.9bn up +61.6% (or up +57% in constant currency).
  • Total Google Services revenues of $57.1bn was up +63%, with Google Search & Other up +68.1% (led by strong growth in retail), YouTube ads up +83.7% (driven by brand and direct response) and Google advertising up +60.4% (driven by Ad Manager and AdMob)
  • Google Cloud revenue was up +53.9% to $4.6bn, driven by growth in infrastructure and platform services. GOOGL’s total cost of revenues of $26.2bn was up +41%, driven by growth in TAC (traffic acquisition costs), which was up +63% to $10.9bn. Group operating income was up +203.3% to $19.4bn (with margin expanding to 31.3% from 16.7% in pcp), driven predominantly by Google Services (up +134.2% to $22.3bn).
  • GOOGL continues to spit out significant amount of cash from operations, reporting free cash flow of $16.4bn in 2Q21 and $58.5bn over the trailing 12 months.
  • At the end of the quarter, the balance sheet had $136bn cash (& equivalent). The Board has amended the existing $50bn stock repurchase program to permit the repurchase of both Class A and Class C shares.

Company Description: 

Alphabet Inc is headquartered in Mountain View, California, and provides online advertising services across the globe. It offers performance and brand advertising services through Google and Other Bets segments. The Google segment offers products, such as Ads, Android, Chrome, Google Cloud, Google Maps, Google Play, Hardware, Search, and YouTube, as well as technical infrastructure. This segment also offers digital content, cloud services, hardware devices, and other miscellaneous products and services. The Other Bets segment includes businesses, including Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Verily, Waymo, and X, as well as Internet and television services.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Technology Stocks

Adobe’s ARR Slip-Up and Light Guidance for 2022 Leave Shares Attractive; FVE Up to $630

Business Strategy and Outlook

Adobe has come to dominate in content creation software with its iconic Photoshop and Illustrator solutions, both now part of the broader Creative Cloud, which is now offered via a subscription model. The company has added new products and features to the suite through organic development and bolt-on acquisitions to drive the most comprehensive portfolio of tools used in print, digital, and video content creation The benefits from software as a service are well known in that it offers significantly improved revenue visibility and the elimination of piracy for the company, and a much lower cost hurdle to overcome and a solution that is regularly updated with new features for users.

Adobe benefits from the natural cross-selling opportunity from Creative Cloud to the business and operational aspects of marketing and advertising. It is expected that Adobe will continue to focus its M&A efforts on the digital experience segment and other emerging areas. Adobe believes it is attacking an addressable market greater than $205 billion. The company is introducing and leveraging features across its various cloud offerings (like Sensei artificial intelligence) to drive a more cohesive experience, win new clients, upsell users to higher price point solutions, and cross sell digital media offerings.

Adobe’s ARR Slip-Up and Light Guidance for 2022 Leave Shares Attractive; FVE Up to $630

Adobe reported mixed fourth-quarter results, including revenue upside, messy billings, modest EPS upside, and light guidance. However, Morningstar analyst believe the outlook is better than it appears. After all, the 2022 outlook is just 1% below FactSet consensus, with pressure driven by having one less week than 2021 and foreign exchange combining to add a 300 basis point headwind to growth. After factoring guidance and results along with rolling with DCF forward,  analyst of Morningstar have raised fair value estimate to $630 per share from $610. 

Financial Strength 

Adobe enjoys a position of excellent financial strength arising from its strong balance sheet, growing revenues, and high and expanding margins. As of November 2021, Adobe has $5.8 billion in cash and equivalents, offset by $4.1 billion in debt, resulting in a net cash position of $1.6 billion. Adobe has historically generated strong operating margins. Free cash flow generation was $6.9 billion in fiscal 2021, representing a free cash flow margin of 43.7%.Morningstar analyst believes that margins should continue to grind higher over time as the digital experience segment scales. In terms of capital deployment, Adobe reinvests for growth, repurchases shares, and makes acquisitions. The company does not pay a dividend. Over the last three years Adobe has spent $2.8 billion on acquisitions, $9.6 billion on buy-backs, while share count has decreased by 15 million shares. Morningstar analyst believes that the company will continue to repurchase shares as its primary means of returning cash to shareholders over the medium term and will continue to make opportunistic and strategic tuck-in acquisitions.

Bulls Say 

  • Adobe is the de facto standard in content creation software and PDF file editing, categories the company created and still dominates. 
  • Shift to subscriptions eliminates piracy and makes revenue recurring, while removing the high up-front price for customers. Growth has accelerated and margins are expanding from the initial conversion inflection. 
  • Adobe is extending its empire in the creative world from content creation to marketing services more broadly through the expansion of its digital experience segment. This segment should drive growth in the coming years.

Company Profile

Adobe provides content creation, document management, and digital marketing and advertising software and services to creative professionals and marketers for creating, managing, delivering, measuring, optimizing and engaging with compelling content multiple operating systems, devices and media. The company operates with three segments: digital media content creation, digital experience for marketing solutions, and publishing for legacy products (less than 5% of revenue).

 (Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
LICs LICs

Plato Income Maximiser Limited raises $139.5m

Plato Income is Financial Industry with sub- industry is Asset Management. Market Capitalization is 657.126m. Their 5 years Monthly Beta is 0.78. 

Plato Income’s NTA values shows below are before the dividend of $0.005 per share payable on 31 December 2021. The ex-date of the dividend is 16th December 2021. 

Plato Income Maximiser limited Pre – Tax NTA $1.101 while Post – tax NTA is 1.105. Per – tax NTA Includes tax on realised gains/losses and other earnings but excludes any provision from tax on unrealised gains/losses. Post – Tax NTA includes tax on realised and unrealised gains/losses and other earnings. 

During November, PL8 raised $139.5m in total through a Placement to wholesale investors and a Share Purchase Plan (SPP). The Placement to wholesale investors raised $71.3m with the issue of 64.3m fully paid ordinary shares at $1.11 per share. 

The SPP raised $68.2m through the issue of 62m new shares at $1.10 per share. The SPP was oversubscribed with the Company targeting $50m, however the Company decided not to scale back any applications.

The proceeds from the Placement and the SPP will be invested via the Plato Australian Shares Income Fund in accordance with the Company’s structure and investment strategy.

PL8 took the opportunity to raise capital when the Company was trading at a premium. The share price closed at $1.285 on 2 November, the day prior to the capital raising announcement, an 11.7% premium to the pre-tax NTA and a 15% premium to the post-tax NTA. 

The issue of new shares through the Placement and SPP has seen the share price decline to be trading closer to the pre-tax NTA at November-end.

Portfolio Performance as at 30th November 2021

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE¹1M%3M%1YR% P.A.3YRS% P.A.INCEPTION% P.A.
Total return²-0.7-2.114.813.59.6
Income³0.61.66.08.37.4
Bench. total return²-0.4-2.017.014.010.1
Excess total return²-0.3-0.1-2.2-0.5-0.5
Excess Income³0.0-0.11.13.42.2
Excess franking³0.00.00.51.20.9

Company Profile 

Plato Income Maximiser Limited is a listed investment company incorporated in Australia. The Company has been established to provide investors with the opportunity to benefit from an investment in an actively managed, well-diversified portfolio of Australian listed equities by investing in an the unlisted scheme Plato Australian Shares Income Fund.

(Source: BanyanTree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Sectors

Bendigo & Adelaide comprising 4.5cps Y20 final dividend and 23.5cps FY21 interim dividend

Investment Thesis

  • Relative to major banks, BEN trades at fair value in our view, on 13.2x one-year forward price to earnings, 0.9x price to book and dividend yield of ~5.0%. 
  • Strong franchise model with funding predominately by way of deposits. 
  • Expected low levels of impairment charges (especially as a low interest rate environment helps customers and arrears). 
  • Continued strong cost discipline, improving efficiency and boosting performance. 
  • Advanced accreditation in progress (which may improve ROE). 
  • Potential pressure on net interest margins as competition intensifies, with major banks in a low interest rate environment. 
  • Leading in terms of customer satisfaction and net promoter metrics, which are increasingly key in a period where trust is paramount.

Key Risks

  • Intense competition for loan growth, combined with further discounting. 
  • Volatility in Homesafe earnings. 
  • Increase in bad and doubtful debts or increase in provisioning. It is to monitor the asset quality of Rural Bank and Great Southern portfolios. 
  • Funding pressure for deposits and wholesale funding.

FY21 Results Highlights

  • Statutory net profit of $243.9m, up +67.3%. Cash earnings after tax of $219.7m, up 1.9%. Cash earnings per share of 41.4cps declined -5.5%. Total income was $849.0m, up +3.3%. Operating expenses of $517.4m, down -3.1% as BEN was able to drive cost reductions across the business. 
  • Net interest margin of 2.30% was down 7bps, reflecting “active pricing and volume management for lending and deposits, despite lower lending rates due to a mix of growth and competitive new business rates”. Core BEN NIM of 1.97% was up +6bps on 2H20 NIM of 1.93%. Management noted the December 2020 exit NIM was -3bps lower, which again highlights margin pressure remains from front book/back book repricing. However, we expect this to be offset by favourable funding costs. 
  • Bad and doubtful debts of $19.5m, declined – 15.9%, and comprises 6bps of gross loans. This was a solid outcome and we are likely to continue to see lower BDDs in the near-term. However, we remain cautious of this trend further out as government assistance starts to pull back. 
  • Common Equity Tier 1 of 9.36%, improved 36 basis points on the pcp, above APRA’s ‘unquestionably strong’ benchmark.

Company Profile 

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (BEN) offers a variety of banking and other financial services including internet banking, housing finance, retail and business banking, commercial finance, funds management, treasury and foreign exchange services, superannuation and trustee services.

(Source: BanyanTree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Sectors

Spark New Zealand reports earnings better than expected; however it was negatively impacted by Covid

Investment Thesis:

  • Attractive dividend yield of 5.4%. 
  • Market-leading position in New Zealand. Dominant market share in Mobile, Broadband and is the leader in IT Services. 
  • Strong capacity for growth demonstrated across all segments, with IT expected to continue to be a key driver as more consumers and businesses migrate to the Cloud. 
  • Investments in Broadband and the roll-out of 4.5G should see its lagging broadband segment improve.
  • Multi-product offerings provide interesting points of differentiation from other telco providers. 
  • Implementation of “Agile” leading to further cost reductions and operating efficiencies. 
  • Increasing customer demand for higher-margin cloud-based services. 
  • Increases in ARPU growth and connections despite weak industry conditions 
  • SPK still commands a strong market positions and has the ability to invest in technologies and areas which could provide room for growth.

Key Risks:

  • Unsuccessful migration of copper wire customers resulting in earnings drag in May due to weather conditions. 
  • More competition in its Mobile and Broadband segments leading to aggressive margin contraction, especially as products become commoditized. 
  • Risk of cost blowout (for instance in network upgrades or maintenance). 
  • Churn risk. 
  • Balance sheet risk (including credit ratings risk) should earnings decline due competitive and structural risks. 
  • Reduced flexibility and increased net debt if unable to fund total dividend by earnings per share 
  • Any network disruptions/outages.

Key highlights:

  • SPK’s earnings were negatively impacted by Covid-19 with ongoing loss of mobile roaming revenues and lower growth broadband and prepaid markets.
  • EBITDA was up +0.4% to $502m, despite Covid-19 impacts, offset from strong cost controls.
  • Margin of 27.4% was 60bps lower than the pcp. NPAT was -11.4% lower to $148m, driven by a $29m increase in depreciation and amortisation charges resulting from the shorter asset lives of new digital technologies, and higher depreciation related to customer and property leases.
  • Operating expenses declined $30m, or -2.3%, offsetting revenue declines
  • NPAT was -11.4% lower to $148m, driven by a $29m increase in depreciation and amortisation charges resulting from the shorter asset lives of new digital technologies, and higher depreciation related to customer and property leases.
  • Free cash flow of $113m, was up $63m over the pcp on tight management of working capital resulting in higher cash conversion rate of 102%.

Company Description: 

Spark New Zealand Ltd (SPK) is a New Zealand based telecommunications company. SPK’s key services are the provision of telephone lines, mobile telecommunications, broadband services and IT services. Its key product offerings are Spark Home, Mobile & Business, Spark Digital, Spark Ventures, and Spark Connect. The Company operates four main segments: (1) Spark Home, Mobile & Business; (2) Spark Digital; (3) Spark Connect & Platforms; and (4) Spark Ventures & Wholesale.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Funds Funds Research Sectors

WCM Focused International Growth Fund Institutional Class: A promising option

Approach

The managers first generate ideas through a quality-growth screen, which includes companies with market caps of at least $3.5 billion, a good liquidity profile, and other metrics such as strong and improving margins. The team excludes non-growth industries such as utilities and looks for companies with solid returns on invested capital. Factors such as economies of scale, intellectual property, and legal or regulatory advantages are key. The team also places a heavy emphasis on culture, believing that culture drives certain companies forward and helps maintain their competitive edge. The team takes its best ideas and builds a relatively concentrated portfolio of roughly 30 to 40 international stocks. Because of their benchmark-agnostic approach, the portfolio may have extreme over- and underweighting to various sectors.

Portfolio

The managers use their best ideas to build a concentrated portfolio. . Coming out of the 2007-09 global financial crisis, the managers felt like their portfolio was too concentrated at about 20 holdings. They’ve gradually increased that count, and in July 2021 had 35 holdings. While still relatively concentrated (the typical foreign large-growth peer held 83 stocks in July), the expansion helps reduce individual stock risk. The managers take other prudent steps to minimize risk and remain relatively diverse. They avoid sectors that they believe offer little growth potential and as of July 2021, the fund had no exposure to energy, real estate, or utilities.

Portfolio Holdings .png

People

Co-CEO and manager Kurt Winrich’s upcoming retirement has been long in the works and the team will still have four capable managers to pick up the slack. Mike Trigg, who has been on the strategy since the fund’s 2011 inception, is the final decision-maker here. . Peter Hunkel, who has also managed since the fund’s inception, is responsible for portfolio construction. The team promoted Sanjay Ayer, also a former Morningstar equity analyst, to the management ranks in June 2019. Ayer joined WCM in 2007 and manages the WCM Global Growth Fund WCMGX and the WCM Emerging Markets Fund WCMEX, which have had success under him. Paul Black, co-CEO of WCM, is a named manager here but serves mainly as an advisor to the team. 

Performance 

Strong stock selection has fueled the fund’s outperformance. Picks in technology and industrials, in particular, have been among the biggest contributors to its performance. That helped the strategy weather 2020’s first-quarter coronavirus-driven slide. The fund held up slightly better than the index losing 29.4% from Jan. 18 to March 23, 2020, compared with the index’s 30.3% loss. The managers then opportunistically added MercadoLibre MELI and Ferrari RACE, which benefitted the strategy coming out of the bear market. In 2021, the fund has returned to its winning ways. Its 12.7% return handily beat the index’s 4.6% and the Morningstar Category’s 4.5%. That was good for the top decile in the category. Holdings such as ASML Holdings NV ADR ASML and Shopify SHOP were among the leading contributors in that period.

Performance .png

About the Fund

WCM Focused International Growth Fund seeks long term capital appreciation by investing in equity securities of non-U.S. domiciled companies or depository receipts of non-U.S. domiciled companies.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Financial Markets Sectors Technology Technology Stocks

Equinix reports strong results driven by increased gross bookings in key American regions

The concept of 5G network with magnifying glass on modern circuit board, high-speed mobile internet and new generation networks technology background

Investment Thesis:

  • In our view, considering the quality of the business, EQIX is trading at fair valuation (from the perspective of trading multiples, dividend yield and our DCF valuation). 
  • Attractive long-term outlook in global digitization and data requirements of companies, with 5G and cloud computing as key drivers. 
  • Businesses moving away from on-premise centres towards colocation and cloud networks. 
  • Diversified client base and revenue stream minimises contractual risk. 
  • Opportunity for future market share expansion via potential acquisitions.

Key Risks:

  • Increases to operating expenses – particularly electricity costs. However, the contracts between Equinix and its customers provide for rights and protection clauses to permit the Company to pass on electricity cost increases that exceed 5%. 
  • Rising technology and acceptance of cloud-based services may incentivise businesses to fully leverage cloud infrastructure rather than connecting with IBX data centres. However, management has downplayed these concerns, stating that there must still be direct interconnection between Cloud and businesses within the data centres. 
  • Newer IBX data centres have twice the cooling needs as old centres. Potential power limitations could force the company to have a lower utilization rate of its cabinets.  
  • Increased competition in the industry from the likes of Google, Apple, Microsoft and Digital Reality Trust, and the possibility of formation of strong strategic alliances amongst competitors 
  • EQIX is subject to exchange rate risk due to the company’s diverse geographical scale of operations. However, the company hedges many of these exposures. 
  • REIT classification mandates a minimum of 90% of taxable income paid to shareholders. This may hinder EQIX’s ability to increase its cash via retained earnings and could render the company’s balance sheet inflexible.

Key highlights:

  • Over the quarter, revenues up +8% to $1.7bn, adjusted EBITDA up +7% and AFFO was ahead of management’s expectations.
  • Strong quarterly result, with revenues up +8% to $1.7bn, adjusted EBITDA up +7% and AFFO growth of +10% (normalised and constant currency) was ahead of management’s expectations.
  • Interconnection revenues grew +12%
  • On a normalized and constant currency basis, Americas’ revenue growth of +8% YoY was among the highest in as many quarters. Adjusted EBITDA of $326m was up +3%.
  • Asia-Pacific reported normalized and constant currency revenue up +11% YoY and normalised MRR up +9% YoY, with management noted MRR growth was partially impacted by Covid related constraints in Singapore and political uncertainty in Hong Kong.
  • Total gross debt at the end of the quarter was $11.8bn, with weight average borrowing costs of 1.72% (95% of the debt is at fixed rate) and weight average maturity of debt 9.6 years. 
  • Net leverage ratio at the end of the period was 3.8x

Company Description: 

Equinix (NASDAQ: EQIX) is a leading company in internet connection and data centres. It is the global market leader in colocation data centre industry, providing data services and platforms for over 9800 companies across 24 countries. This allows companies to connect to their online ecosystem and meet their interconnection needs for their business operations. EQIX also offers additional solutions such as the Equinix Cloud Exchange Fabric to connect data centres to cloud networks, and the recently introduced Equinix SmartKey to offer encryption protection for the data security management of companies.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Financial Markets Sectors Technology Technology Stocks

Apple Inc is focused on sustaining growth and margins

fintech icon on abstract financial technology background represent Blockchain and Fintech Investment Financial Internet Technology Concept.

Investment Thesis 

  • High barriers to entry.Strong strategic position in the rapidly growing global smartphone market especially with high end consumers. Loyal consumer base resulting in lower competitive pressure, and higher pricing power. 
  • Large cash balance and strong free cash flow supporting share buyback and dividend payout.
  •  Leading positions in iPhone; iPads; and Macs. 
  •  Services segment remains on track to double FY16 revenue by FY20. 
  • In terms of Other products (such as wearables and home products), AAPL seized the leading position off the back of a surge in smartwatch sales in a market expected to grow single digit till 2022 and double digit thereafter. 
  • Strong senior executive team reducing (not totally eliminating) key man risk.

Key Risks

  • Geo-political tensions. The current trade war between the US and China pose a threat to the company’s future profits. AAPL currently obtains components from single or limited sources (mostly China), the Company is subject to significant supply and pricing risks. Also, Greater China is a major market contributing to approximately 21% (Q218) of total revenue and any retaliatory efforts from Beijing could impact those sales. 
  • Whilst there are only a handful of competitors, the competition is Intense from Android manufacturers. The most notable competitors in the smartphone market (which contributes 62% of Apple’s revenues) are the Korean giant Samsung and two rapidly growing Chinese smartphone players in Huawei and Xiaomi. On raw performance specs (i.e., camera, maps, screen size, charge time, etc.), one may assert that AAPL devices are technically inferior to a handful of Android devices. 
  • Movements in U.S. dollar (USD). The greenback’s strong gain recently (due to rise in U.S. interest rates and moderating growth in other parts of the globe) has seen it rise to the highest level in nearly seven months, meaning foreign currency earnings of AAPL can be worth less when translated back to USD. The weakness in foreign currencies relative to USD will have an adverse impact on net sales during 2018.

Key highlights to 4Q18 results

  • 4Q18 revenue of $62.9bn, up +20% from the year-ago quarter, and quarterly diluted EPS of $2.91, up +41%, driven by record sales and strong momentum for iPhone, Wearables and Services. On the conference call, management highlighted “[revenue] was ahead of our expectations. That’s an increase of 20% over last year and our highest growth rate in three years”. 
  •  Gross margin was 38.3%, flat sequentially, in line with management’s expectations, as leverage from higher revenue offset seasonal transition costs. 
  •  International sales (61% of the quarter’s revenue) was strong, especially in Japan, up +34%, Rest of Asia Pacific, up +22%. The Americas (44% of revenue) saw revenue of $27.5bn, up +19%, whilst Europe at $15.4bn, was up +18% and China was up +16% at $11.4bn. 
  • Services revenue reached an all-time high of $10.0bn. Excluding a one-time favorable adjustment of $640m (in 4Q17), Services revenue grew from $7.9bn to $10bn, up +27% over the pcp. 
  • By product, iPhone, Services and Other products saw 29%, 17% and 31% sales growth, respectively, whilst disappointingly, iPad and Mac saw -15% and 3% sales growth respectively. 
  • iPhone ASP was $793 compared to $618 a year ago, driven by strong performance of iPhone X, 8 and 8 Plus, as well as the successful launch of iPhone XS and XS Max in the September quarter this year, while we launched iPhone X in the December quarter last year.

Company Profile

Apple Inc. (AAPL) designs and manufactures media devices and personal computers (Macs), and sells a variety of related software, services, accessories, networking solutions and third party digital content and applications. The company leads the world in innovation with iPhone, iPad, Mac, apple watch and Apple tv.

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Funds Funds Research Sectors

Altius Sustainable Bond Fund- A fund that aims to provide a total return approach

The Altius Sustainable Bond Fund offers investors fixed interest investments, which are managed with the consideration of environment, social and corporate governance (ESG) principles. The Manager recently expanded its exclusion of companies engaged in thermal coal to all fossil fuels (or at least have revenue no greater than 10% sourced from these activities). The Fund is a credible offering. It is run by an investment team with strong credentials and lengthy investment experience in managed assets in the investment class (the team of six comprises three PMs all with at least 25 years’ experience and the remaining team members all with over 10 years’ experience).

Downside Risk: 

  • Interest rate risk (however the Fund’s total return focus should limit this). 
  • The Manager gets the thematic and top-down view wrong. 
  • Key man risk – Bill Bovingdon, Chris Dickman and Gavin Goodhand.

Investment Team:

The fund is managed by Australian Unity’s Cash and Fixed Interest team (Altius) consisting of experienced fixed interest investment professionals. The investment team is supported by a very experienced Investment Advisory Committee, which meet every quarter (formally). Below are the 

  • Bill Bovingdon – Executive Director, Chief Investment Officer 
  • Chris Dickman – Executive Director, Senior Portfolio Manager
  • Gavin Goodhand – Senior Portfolio Manager
  • Yen Wong – Head of Credit Research
  • Kirsten Lee – Credit Analyst.
  • Vincent Tang – Senior Portfolio Analyst

Performance:

(%)Fund  Benchmark**Out-performance
1-month-0.110.35-0.46
3-months0.390.77-0.38
1-year (p.a.)-0.550.32-0.23
3-years (p.a.1.422.49-1.07
5-year (p.a.)1.532.13-0.6
Since inception (p.a.)*2.262.65-0.39

Fees Structure:

The Fund has lowered its management fees 0.56% p.a. to 0.37%p.a. The Fund charges no performance fee.

Fund Positioning:

Sector Allocation:

Top 10 Holdings:

About the fund:

The Altius Sustainable Bond Fund is an Australian fixed interest fund that invests in companies which conduct their business and apply capital responsibly, considering a range of environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues. The Fund aims to provide a total return approach, offering duration exposure at appropriate points in the cycle, as well as positioning the portfolio defensively in a rising rate environment and invests only in domestic assets, thus avoiding importation of global risks (e.g. currency) and offering a different risk profile.

(Source: Banyantree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Sectors

Transurban toll revenue declined -17.6% to $616m driving a -20.7% decline in EBITDA

Investment Thesis

  • Hard to replicate critical infrastructure assets. 
  • Consistent growth in earnings driven by four key factors: 1) Traffic (with mature toll roads delivering on average 2-4% annual traffic growth); 2) Prices (with escalation set with agreements with governments); 3) operational efficiency improvements; and 4) development contribution from new assets. 
  • Attractive yield – steady and growing distribution stream. 
  • Integration of technology and systems to enhance operations. 
  • Growth by asset acquisition and/or development of greenfield and brownfield projects. 
  • Exposure to infrastructure assets in the U.S. 
  • Strong management team with experience in deploying the developer-operator business model. 
  • West Gate Tunnel dispute is a drag on share price.

Key Risks and project deliverables

  • Bond yields experience a significant increase in the short term and track upwards over the long term. 
  • Valuation appears full at current levels. 
  • Project development cost blowouts. 
  • Reduced traffic volumes. 
  • Regulatory changes within the sector. 
  • Unfavorable financing arrangements. 
  • Poor acquisitions (derived from inaccurate modelling of traffic).

FY21 Results Highlights

  • Average daily traffic (ADT) decreased by 0.4% vs FY20 or 7.0% excluding the contribution from new assets, M8/M5 East and NorthConnex, which opened during the year and performed ahead of expectations. 
  • Free Cash decreased by 13.5% vs FY20, primarily reflecting the impacts of reduced traffic in Melbourne and North America due to Covid-19 related mobility restrictions as well as increases in cost related to strategic growth projects. 
  • FY21 distribution of 36.5cps including a final distribution of 21.5 cps for 2H21. 
  • Statutory profit of $3,272m, which includes $3,726m gain on sale of TCL’s Chesapeake assets. 
  • The Board declared a distribution of 21.5 cps for 2H21 which takes the total FY21 distribution to 36.5cps, of which 1.0 cent is fully franked. TCL highlighted that its distribution reinvestment plan is open for this distribution payment.

Company Profile 

Transurban Group (TCL) develops, operates, and maintains urban toll road networks in Australia and the United States. The company holds interest in 15 roads in Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane, and Virginia. Transurban Group is headquartered in Docklands, Australia.

(Source: BanyanTree)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.