Business Strategy and Outlook
Magellan is an active manager of listed equities and infrastructure. The firm has had considerable success in growing funds under management, or FUM, owing to its superior track record of outperformance, product expansion initiatives, and strong distribution capabilities.
The firm has a fundamental, high-conviction investment approach. Its flagship Global strategy has historically tilted toward IT, e-commerce platforms, and consumer franchises; preferring large, developed market multinationals. FUM have been attracted by consistently achieving excess returns with lower volatility and drawdowns relative to peers.Magellan’s products are well-distributed. Its funds are featured across platforms, included in model portfolios, and are well-rated.
There is a focus on targeting retail investors, with product expansion an increasingly common driver of growth. As per Morningstar analyst, Magellan has built the foundations for ongoing earnings growth, supported by its economic moat, product variety, and historically strong track record. Regardless, the potential earnings upside from these positive traits will take time to manifest.
Magellan Loses Largest Mandate, but Sell-Off Way Overdone
Morningstar analyst reduced its fair value estimate for Magellan Financial Group by 25% to AUD 38 per share, following client the termination of its mandate with its largest client, St James’s Place, or SJP. As per the viewpoint of Morningstar analyst, most of Magellan’s institutional clients hired the group to deliver returns of about 10% per year and focus on downside protection. It is an investment undertaking Magellan has always communicated to the market, and a hurdle it consistently surpassed, with institutional returns averaging 18% per year over the last five years. As Magellan’s recent underperformance has only begun since November 2020, it was believed that institutional clients would negotiate for lower fees rather than terminate Magellan. Regretfully, this has not transpired in SJP’s case.
Financial Strength
Magellan is in sound financial health.The firm has a conservative balance sheet with no debt, with its financial position also boosted by solid operating cash flows. As of June 30, 2021, Magellan had cash and equivalents of about AUD 212 million and financial investments with a net fair value of around AUD 453 million mainly invested in its own unlisted funds and listed shares. This should provide it with enough liquidity to cope with most market conditions. Its high dividend payout ratio of: (1) 90%-95% of the net profit after tax of its core funds management business before performance fees; and (2) annual performance fee dividend in the range of 90%-95% of net crystallised performance fees aftertax reflects the capital-light nature of asset management.
Bull Says
- The majority of Magellan’s earnings come from a few large funds, meaning it has a high reliance on key investment personnel and the performance of its main funds. Should key people leave, or its main funds underperform for a sustained period, outflows could be material.
- There is increasing competition from other active international equity managers and new international equity funds from incumbents.
- The firm faces fee pressure from the increasing popularity of lower-cost alternatives, such as indextype products and ETFs.
Company Profile
Magellan Financial Group is an Australia-based niche funds manager. Established in 2006, the firm specialises in the management of equity and infrastructure funds for domestic retail and institutional investors. Magellan has been particularly successful in winning mandates from global institutional investors. Current FUM is split across global equities, infrastructure and Australian equities
(Source: Morning Star)
General Advice Warning
Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.