Categories
Funds Funds

SBI Mutual Fund has launched Balanced Advantage Fund

The SBI balanced Advantage fund’s investment objective is to deliver long-term capital appreciation and income through a dynamic mix of equity and debt investments. The CRISIL Hybrid 50+50 – Moderate Index TRI would be tracked by SBI Balanced Advantage Fund.

The Balanced Advantage Fund would invest in equities and fixed income securities based on a number of factors, including valuations, earnings drivers, and sentiment indicators.

The SBI Balanced Advantage fund will work in the following manner

  1. Asset Allocation: The Fund Manager will decide on the asset allocation between equity and debt based on a variety of factors including sentiment indicators, valuations, and earning drivers.
  1. Quantitative Framework: Our investment strategy is based on a quantitative framework that determines how we invest based on market capitalization, investing style (value, growth, or quality) and sector preference.
  1. Stock/Security Selection: The equity portfolios are managed under the discretion of fund managers and portfolios are based on the analyst team’s high conviction views and the discretion of the Fund Manager. There is duration management to generate alpha across the yield curve. The portfolio is built in such a way that alpha is generated through equity while stability is sought through debt.

The scheme would invest in equities and equity-related products for a minimum of 0% and up to a maximum of 100% and the risk profile for the same would be high. It will also invest in debt securities (including securitized debt) and money market instruments, with a minimum of 0% and a maximum of 100% and the risk profile for the same would be low to medium and 0% to 10% in units issued by REITs and InvITs –the risk profile for the same is medium to high  

During the NFO period, the minimum application amount is Rs 5,000, with subsequent amounts in multiples of Rs 1. Dinesh Balachandran and Gaurav Mehta will handle the equity element of the SBI Balanced Advantage Fund, Dinesh Ahuja will manage the debt portion and Mohit Jain will manage the international investments.

The SBI Balanced mutual fund is suited for the following investor:

  • Investors looking for long-term Wealth Creation 
  • Investors looking for a Dynamic solution for the right mix of Debt & Equity
  •  Risk-averse Equity Investors with minimum 3 years+ of Investment Horizon

 (Source: www.sbimf.com)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
IPO Watch

Strong Market Debut of Devyani International at 57% premium over issue price

At the issue price, the company commanded a market capitalisation of Rs 10,823 crore and was valued at an EV/ EBITDA of 62.39.

It was subscribed 116.71 times, with qualified institutional buyer (QIB) category being subscribed 95.27 times, non-institutional investors 213.06 times, and retail individual investors 39.51 times. 

On 16th August 2021, Monday, the shares of Devyani International got listed on BSE at Rs. 141 at 56.66 per cent premium and on NSE, it got debuted at Rs. 140.90, up by 56.55 per cent.

In FY21, Devyani’s business from the core brands (India & Internationally) contributed 94.19 per cent to its revenues from operations. Delivery sales represented 70.20 per cent of revenues in FY21 in comparison to 51.15 per cent in FY20.

The company opened 40-50 stores across its brands in the last 2-3 quarters and expects to sustain this momentum. It also opened 43 stores in June quarter and 109 stores across core brands in the second half of FY21.

Company Profile

Devyani International is an associate company of RJ Corp, which is the largest bottling partner of food and beverages (F&B) major PepsiCo. It has interests in the Indian retail F&B sector. The company is the largest franchisee of Yum Brands, operating core brands such as Pizza Hut, KFC, Costa Coffee. The company operates 284 KFC stores, 317 Pizza Hut stores, and 44 Costa Coffee stores in India as of June 30, 2021. The company also owns brands such as Vaango, Food Street, Masala Twist, Ile Bar, Amreli and Ckrussh Juice Bar and has operations in Nigeria and Nepal.

(Source: Economic Times, Financial Express)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Global stocks Shares

Post Plans Reduce its Stake in BellRing Brands as It Emerges from the Pandemic

As the cereal category has come under pressure, the firm diversified its revenue base by entering categories that were driving the legacy business’ deterioration, such as eggs and protein-based nutritional products. While these actions have stabilized the top line, it is believed a competitive edge remains elusive.

The cereal business (42% of fiscal 2020 revenue) has been declining (outside of the pandemic) as consumers have shifted away from processed, high-sugar, high-carbohydrate fare. Post’s cereal business is very profitable, with EBITDA margins around mid-20% and low-30% for the U.S. and European businesses, respectively. The refrigerated segments (41%, with 24% food service and 17% retail) consist primarily of egg and potato products. As a result, this business is relatively low margin (10%-12%) and does not offer the firm a competitive advantage, in our view. While 2020 was challenging for food service, the segment should recover in 2021 with the dissemination of vaccines.

Post holds a majority stake in BellRing Brands (17%), which makes protein shakes, bars, and powders. The business has realized low-double-digit growth and attractive operating margins (17%-18%). Post recently announced plans to reduce its stake in BellRing from 71% to no more than 20% in the first half of calendar 2022, which will undoubtedly result in slower sales growth for Post. 

Financial Strength

Post has a unique capital allocation strategy, preferring to carry a heavier debt load than most packaged food peers. Post’s legacy domestic cereal business generates significant free cash flow (about 12% of revenue, above the 10% peer average), although after acquiring the refrigerated foods, BellRing, and private brands businesses, this metric fell to just over a 6% average between 2013 and 2018. Post has no intention to initiate a dividend. It is increasing FVE for Post to $114 per share from $110 to account for better than expected third-quarter sales, partially offset by a higher U.S. tax rate beginning in 2022. The company’s valuation implies a 2022 price/adjusted earnings of 21 times.

Bull Says

  • Post’s Premier Protein brand is well positioned in the protein shake category, an attractive, high-growth market with outsize margins.
  • The refrigerated foods segment, nearly half of Post’s business, is benefiting from consumers’ evolving preference for fresh, unprocessed high-protein eggs, and fresh and convenient side dish options.
  • Although growth in the cereal business has been stagnant, it reports attractive profits and cash flows and has a lucrative opportunity with Premier Protein co-branded cereal

Company Profile

Post Holdings Inc (NYSE: POST) is a packaged food company that primarily operates in North America and Europe. For fiscal 2020, 42% of the company’s revenue came from cereal, with brands such as Honeycomb, Grape-Nuts, Shredded Wheat, Pebbles, Honey Bunches of Oats, Malt-O-Meal, Weetabix, and Alpen. Refrigerated food made up 41% of 2020 revenue and services the retail (17% of company sales) and food-service channels (24%), providing value-added egg and potato products, prepared side dishes, cheese, and sausage under brands Bob Evans and Simply Potatoes. The stake in BellRing Brands makes up the remaining 17% of revenue, with protein-based shakes, powders, and bars that sell under the Premier Protein, Power Bar, and Dymatize brands, but Post is reducing this holding to a minority position in calendar 2022.

 (Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Technology Stocks

Tesla Shares Crash as NHTSA Opens Autopilot Investigation; Shares are Slightly Overvalued

an investigation into Tesla Inc’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) autopilot software following 11 crashes from January 2018 through July 2021 where the software was engaged. Having reviewed the NHTSA report, the incidents highlight the need for Tesla to continue to improve its autonomous software before the company is likely to see a large revenue increase from its subscription-based full self-driving software. This is in line with our view that Tesla’s autonomous software will not contribute a large portion of revenue in the near term. While the outcome of the investigation is uncertain, the agency is investigating the software, rather than any hardware on a Tesla. 

Tesla shares were down around 5% at the time of writing. At current prices, Tesla shares are slightly overvalued with the stock trading in 3-star territory but roughly 20% above our fair value estimate. Accordingly, we reiterate our very high uncertainty rating for Tesla.

In all 11 crashes, a Tesla vehicle struck one or more vehicles at a first-responder scene. Most of the incidents took place after dark, where the crash scenes included typical control measures such as first-responder vehicle lights, flares, an illuminated arrow board, and road cones. While the software can take over many parts of driving features for more normal highway conditions, first-responder scenes represent a situation where drivers should likely disengage the software when approaching the scene and resume full manual control of the vehicle.

Company’s Future Outlook

As a result, the most likely outcome will include an over-the air software update, which Tesla already regularly does, and additional warnings about the limitations of driving with autopilot. The company’s Outlook intact at $570 per share fair value estimate and narrow moat rating for Tesla.

Company Profile

Tesla Inc’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) founded in 2003 and based in Palo Alto, California, is a vertically integrated sustainable energy company that also aims to transition the world to electric mobility by making electric vehicles. The company sells solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation plus batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities. Tesla has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and mid-size sedans and crossover SUVs. The company also plans to begin selling more affordable sedans and small SUVs, a light-truck, semi-truck, and a sports car. Global deliveries in 2020 were roughly 500,000 units.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

Categories
Dividend Stocks Philosophy Technical Picks

U.S. Foods Experiencing Strong Recovery From the Pandemic, but Moat Remains Out of Reach

will emerge from the pandemic in a stronger position that it was prior to the crisis, given the $1 billion in new business secured over the past year and the permanent elimination of $130 million in operating expenses. We expect the increasing availability of COVID-19 vaccines in 2021 will return US Foods’ organic sales to pre-pandemic levels by 2022, with long-term opportunities remaining intact. But as US Foods has not demonstrated a cost advantage, organic market share gains , consistent economic returns, or superior profits, we do not grant the firm a moat.

US Foods has improved profits the past few years, as gross margins increased from 16.8% in 2014 to 17.8% in 2019 (pre-pandemic), operating margins from 2.0% to 3.2%, and ROICs .We attribute this to positive customer mix (both to more profitable segments and more selective customer contracts within segments), more effective data-driven pricing, the centralization of purchasing and administrative functions, and a reduction of the sales force, facilitated by productivity-enhancing tools. But despite the added profits, we believe the reduction in the sales force hampered organic market share gains, a move with nontrivial consequences, as we view scale as the path to a competitive edge.

The lack of organic share gains impairs the firm’s ability to leverage its scale and progress toward a scale-based cost advantage. But we are encouraged by the firm’s recent decision to invest $50 million in growth opportunities, including expanding the sales force. We expect the firm will continue to grow inorganically, and we have a favourable view of its $1.8 billion tie-up with SGA Food Group and the $970 million acquisition of Smart Foodservice Warehouse, but we hold these deals fall short of providing a scale-based competitive edge.

Financial Strength

 US Foods has the financial strength to weather the pandemic. Given the firm’s acquisitive strategy, leverage runs high, with net debt/adjusted EBITDA at 5.4 times as of June. US Foods secured a $300 million term loan, issued $1 billion in long-term notes, and $500 million in convertible preferred stock since the onset of the pandemic. We expect leverage to return to a comfortable 2.6 times by 2023 as the market recovers from the pandemic and US Foods lightens up on share repurchases to prioritize debt reduction, which we think is prudent. We expect US Foods will resume repurchasing shares in 2025 (to the tune of 4%-5% of shares outstanding annually). We view this as a prudent use of cash when shares trade below our assessment of its intrinsic value. Furthermore, we have no concerns in the firm’s ability to service its debt (even during the pandemic), as interest coverage (EBITDA/interest expense) should average 6.5 times over the next five years, better than the 4.4 times average over the past three years. The firm’s priorities for cash use are capital expenditures, which we expect to amount to 1% of revenue annually over the next decade) and acquisitions (we expect about $140 million to $220 million annually, contributing a 1% bump to revenue each year). Further, the firm paid a $3.94 per share special dividend in 2016, but management has no plans to initiate an ongoing dividend as they view share repurchase as a more flexible way to return capital to shareholders. 

Bull Says

  • Continued acquisitions could modestly enhance US Foods’ scale, and the addition of its e-commerce platform should help increase share of wallet and loyalty with acquired firms’ customers.
  • US Foods is emerging from the pandemic as a stronger player, having secured over $1 billion in new business and eliminated $130 million in fixed costs.
  • US Foods benefits from secular tailwinds, such as Americans’ tendency to consume more food outside the home and industry share shifts to independent restaurants.

Company Profile

US Foods is the second-largest U.S. food-service distributor behind Sysco, holding 10% market share of the highly fragmented food-service distribution industry. US Foods distributes more than 400,000 food and non-food products to the healthcare and hospitality industries (each about 16.5% of sales), independent restaurants (33%), national restaurant chains (22%), education and government facilities (8%), and grocers (4%). In addition to its delivery business, the firm has 80 cash and carry stores under the Chef’Store banner .After Sysco’s attempt to purchase US Foods failed to gain federal approval in 2015, US Foods entered the public market via an initial public offering.

(Source: Morningstar)

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.