Categories
Technology Stocks

Cintas Reports Strong Q4 2022 and record full-year revenue

Business Strategy & Outlook

Cintas is the dominant provider in the $16 billion U.S. uniform rental/sales and related ancillary-services industry. It enjoys a roughly 43% market share, and no singular end market comprises a significant portion of total revenue. Despite its already impressive position, the Cintas will grow over the next 10 years. The firm constantly considers new product lines while emphasizing cross-selling to its existing customers. About 60% of its annual sales growth derives from new client wins, and at $4 billion-$5 billion, the remaining unvented market remains sizable, and the G&K acquisition added 170,000 uniform rental clients to Cintas’ book of business. Cintas’ first aid and safety segment benefited from a high growth of PPE sales in fiscal 2021 due to COVID-19. Now, as fiscal 2023 and COVID-19 are more under control, the segment mix-up continues to return to a more traditional level. And this is favorable for Cintas since traditional items like first aid cabinets post higher margins. The projected sales in the segment will grow at an approximately 9% CAGR over the next 10 years. 

Cintas is a highly cyclical business; its uniform rental segment moves closely with U.S. employment trends, and given the current market environment, the expected revenue will continue to increase in fiscal 2023 after strong growth in fiscal 2022. The firm recovered quickly after the 2009 recession, with revenue exceeding pre-recession levels by fiscal 2012, and Cintas still generated economic profits despite maintaining revenue losses for five straight quarters. Management has navigated this tough economic environment well over the last year, and cost management has been impressive. Despite the labor shortages that some of its customers are facing, demand remains robust and momentum seems strong, with more than 11 million job openings in the country. The midcycle revenue growth to be 7.4% and mid cycle operating margins to be 20.6% in fiscal 2032.

Financial Strengths

The Cintas’ balance sheet to be healthy. At the end of the fiscal 2022 (ended May 31, 2022), the firm posted $90 million in cash and equivalents and about $2.5 billion of total long-term debt. Solid free cash generation will enable the firm to continue reducing leverage as desired in the years ahead. Cintas’ debt/EBITDA was near 1.41 times at the end of fiscal-year 2022, versus 1.43 times at the end of fiscal 2021 and 1.65 times at the end of fiscal 2020–$1.5 billion dollars of debt will mature in fiscal 2023, followed by about $50 million of debt maturing in 2025 and $1 billion in 2027.

Bulls Say

  • Cintas’ industry-leading operating efficiency stems from its significant scale-based cost advantages, achieved through superior route density. 
  • The firm’s impressive sales execution is supporting robust new business wins and greater penetration among existing customers. It’s also helping Cintas to realize material cross-selling opportunities with the former G&K operations. 
  • There is still ample opportunity for expansion, as companies in the sizable unvended market look to outsource their uniform programs and facilities services.

Company Description

In its core uniform and facility services unit (79% of sales), Cintas provides uniform rental programs to businesses across the size spectrum, mostly in North America. The firm is by far the largest provider in the industry. Facilities products generally include the rental and sale of entrance mat, mops, shop towels, hand sanitizers, and restroom supplies. Cintas also runs a first aid and safety services business (11% of sales), a fire protection services business (6% of sales), and a uniform direct sales business (4% of sales).

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

Categories
Dividend Stocks

Undervalued GSK Looks Well Positioned for Growth Following the Demerger of Haleon

Business Strategy & Outlook

As one of the largest pharmaceutical and vaccine companies, GSK has used its vast resources to create the next generation of healthcare treatments. The company’s innovative new product lineup and expansive list of patent-protected drugs create a wide economic moat. The magnitude of GSK’s reach is evidenced by a product portfolio that spans several therapeutic classes. The diverse platform insulates the company from problems with any single product. Additionally, the company has developed next-generation drugs in respiratory and HIV areas that should help mitigate both branded and generic competition. The GSK to be a major competitor in respiratory, HIV, and vaccines over the next decade. On the pipeline front, GSK has shifted from its historical strategy of targeting slight enhancements toward true innovation. Also, it is focusing more on oncology and the immune system, with genetic data to help develop the next generation of drugs. 

The benefits of these strategies are showing up in GSK’s early-stage drugs. This focus will improve approval rates and pricing power. In contrast to respiratory drugs, treatments for cancer indications carry much strong pricing power with payers. From a geographic standpoint, GSK is strategically branching out from developed markets into emerging markets. Its vaccine segment positions the firm well in these price-sensitive markets. While this strategy is likely to create some challenges, like the potential legal violations that arose in early 2013 in China, one can believe the fast-growing emerging markets will help support long-term growth and diversify cash flows beyond developed markets. GSK’s decision to divest its consumer business will likely unlock value over the long run. GSK divested its consumer group (called Haleon) in July 2022. Given the strong valuations of consumer healthcare companies, this unit will yield a stronger valuation than what is implied within the GSK structure before the divestment.

Financial Strengths

GSK remains on fairly stable financial footing, with debt/EBITDA at 2.8 as of the end of 2021 and with Haleon taking on close to GBP 10 billion of GSK’s debt, the remaining GSK balance sheet is improved. With the improving balance sheet and steady projections of cash flows, the GSK will increasingly make more acquisitions to augment its internal research and development pipeline. Additionally, with the divestment of the consumer division in July 2022, the new dividend of GSK to be secure and likely grow at a pace similar to earnings over the next five years.

Bulls Say

  • GSK’s next-generation respiratory drugs and HIV drugs look poised for strong growth over the next five years. 
  • GSK faces relatively minor near-term patent losses, setting up steady long-term growth. 
  • The firm’s well-positioned Shingrix vaccine should support strong long-term growth based on excellent efficacy and limited competition.

Company Description

In the pharmaceutical industry, GSK ranks as one of the largest firms by total sales. The company wields its might across several therapeutic classes, including respiratory, cancer, and antiviral, as well as vaccines. GSK uses joint ventures to gain additional scale in certain markets like HIV.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

Categories
Global stocks

American Airlines is the largest U.S.-based carrier by capacity

Business Strategy & Outlook

American Airlines is the largest U.S.-based carrier by capacity. Before the coronavirus pandemic, much of the company’s story was based on realizing cost efficiencies from its transformational 2013 merger with U.S. Airways and strengthening its hubs to expand margins. While American Airlines has done a good job at limiting unit cost increases, it has been noted that the firm lagged peers in unit costs over the previous aviation cycle. Management sees the pandemic crisis as an opportunity to structurally improve the firm’s cost position relative to peers. The American will become more efficient from the crisis, but one cannot be as confident that it will improve its relative position among airlines. In the leisure market, the low-cost carriers prevent American Airlines from increasing yields with inflation. While the American’s basic economy offering effectively serves the leisure market, one doesn’t expect the firm to thrive in this segment. It is expecting a leisure-led recovery in commercial aviation, reflecting customers being more willing to visit friends and family and vacation in a pandemic than they are to go on business travel. 

The American Airlines will participate in the recovery of business and international leisure travel now that a vaccine for COVID-19 is available. A recovery in business travel will be critical for American, as the firm’s high-margin frequent-flier program is closely tied to business travel. Business travelers will often use miles from a co-branded credit card to upgrade flights when their company is unwilling to pay a premium price. Banks pay top dollar for frequent-flier miles, which gives American a high-margin income stream. The COVID-19 pandemic presented airlines with the sharpest demand shock in history, and much of is based on assumptions around how illness and vaccinations affect society. A full recovery in capacity and an 80%-90% recovery in business travel that subsequently grows at GDP levels over the medium term. Air travel demand has recovered sharply, but labor constraints have prevented airlines from fully meeting demand.

Financial Strengths

American is the most leveraged U.S.-based major airline due to its fleet renewal program and the COVID-19 pandemic. As the pandemic wreaked havoc on air travel demand and airlines’ business model, liquidity became more important in 2020 than in recent years. American Airlines, more than peers, increased leverage and diluted equity during the pandemic. The American Airlines’ comparably higher financial leverage will make it difficult for the firm to maneuver going forward, and that management will have few capital allocation options other than deleveraging post-pandemic. American Airlines came into the crisis with considerably more debt than peers, with gross debt/EBITDA sitting at roughly 4.5 times in 2019. American ended 2021 with $38.1 billion of debt and $13.4 billion of cash. It will use incremental free cash flow to deleverage after the crisis. The EBITDA expansion and debt reductions will reduce gross debt/EBITDA to roughly 2-3 turns in the 2025-26-time frame. The firm has $2.6 billion of debt coming due in 2022, and it will use cash on the balance sheet to pay that.

Bulls Say

  • American Airlines has the youngest fleet among U.S. major airlines, which should damp fuel expense and maintenance going forward. 
  • American Airlines has largely completed its fleet renewal, which should decrease capital expenditures going forward. 
  • Demand for air travel has recovered sharply from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Company Description

American Airlines is the world’s largest airline by scheduled revenue passenger miles. The firm’s major hubs are Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. After completing a major fleet renewal, the company has the youngest fleet of U.S. legacy carriers.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

Categories
Technology Stocks

Nokia is a key provider of telecommunication hardware, software, and services to communication service providers

Business Strategy & Outlook

Nokia is a key provider of telecommunication hardware, software, and services to communication service providers. CSP equipment spending provides robust growth during generational wireless upgrade cycles followed by spending lulls, with 5G being the latest tailwind. 5G’s promise of connecting billions of wireless devices at incredible speed across more spectrum bands, along with more use cases than 4G, may offer Nokia more upside than previous wireless generations. However, one does not view Nokia’s core market as moat supportive because CSPs typically multisource equipment and possess purchasing power over their vendors. Nokia has a fundamentally strong strategy to remain a leader in its competitive environment after bloated initial 5G costs caused the firm to overhaul its products. 

Nokia’s core operation should benefit from 5G network infrastructures requiring more hardware to cover the increased quantity of spectrum bands and transmit at the highest speeds. Nokia’s solutions could appeal to a wider client base as industries integrate “Internet of Things” devices into their networks and enterprises build private wireless networks. The healthy demand for Nokia’s software and service offerings as software-defined networking becomes commonplace and customers desire solutions to optimize increasingly complex networks. Nokia’s technology segment creates revenue through licensing critical communication patents and receiving royalty payments through HMD’s Nokia-branded smartphone sales. Nokia has license agreements with leading 5G handset manufacturers, and the company has stated its intention to pursue licensing in industries such as automotive and consumer electronics. Alongside selling more enterprise private wireless networks, the 5G networks and Internet of Things device propagation offer Nokia a chance to be less reliant on CSPs’ generational network upgrade spending.

Financial Strengths

After taking corrective actions to remove excess costs in its 5G products, Nokia is a financially stable company that generates positive free cash flow as 5G networks are built out. While Nokia primarily funnels cash toward organic development, sales, and marketing efforts, the company has made minor acquisitions since its large Alcatel-Lucent purchase in 2015, and Nokia is well positioned to bolt-on smaller software, Internet of Things, or related technology firms as needed. Nokia finished 2021 with EUR 9.3 billion in cash and equivalents with a debt to capital ratio of 21%, and the company to repay its debts on schedule. As 5G networks are rolled out alongside cost-extraction efforts, the revenue growth to outpace operating expenditures as Nokia capitalizes on up-front 5G innovation expenditures while strengthening operational efficiencies. After pausing its dividend to fix bloated product costs in 2019, Nokia announced a plan to restart payments in 2022, alongside a buyback program.

Bulls Say

  • 5G should have more uses and a longer build-out cycle than previous wireless generations. Internet of Things device proliferation, from autonomous vehicles to smart factories, should broaden the demand for Nokia solutions. 
  • Nokia’s moving away from an end-to-end networking portfolio could be aligned with purchasing preferences. Its focus on software for 5G networks is wise, as enterprises may require custom data analytics and optimized networks. 
  • 5G may create licensing opportunities outside of handsets, and Nokia royalties could grow via a resurging smartphone brand.

Company Description

Nokia is a leading vendor in the telecommunications equipment industry. The company’s network business derives revenue from selling wireless and fixed-line hardware, software, and services. Nokia’s technology segment licenses its patent portfolio to handset manufacturers and makes royalties from Nokia-branded cellphones. The company, headquartered in Espoo, Finland, operates on a global scale, with most of its revenue from communication service providers.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.

The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

Categories
Technology Stocks

One-Off Costs dent Wartsila’s Profitability Despite Strong H1 demand; FVE reduced to EUR 10.80

Business Strategy & Outlook

The decarbonization of the marine and energy market has created new business opportunities for Wartsila. The company has invested significantly in anticipation of these trends, ensuring its marine engines are compatible with a wide range of environmentally friendly fuel types, while also emerging as one of the top three players in the energy storage market. A broad range of solutions that help customers reduce their carbon emissions will help grow their installed base and provides a foundation to perform recurring aftermarket services, which is less susceptible to the highly cyclical marine newbuild market and mitigates the shift toward renewable energy, away from Wartsila’s traditional thermal engine business. Both the marine and energy segments have potential to grow the contribution of revenue from services by moving up the service ladder toward performance-based agreements. Wartsila has increased its level of research and development expenditure as well as making significant investments into the Energy Storage business to help offset the declining demand for its thermal energy engines resulting from the shift to renewable energy sources. 

The energy storage business has yet to achieve scale and is loss-making and thus the path toward Wartsila’s 12% operating margin target seems difficult to achieve in the short term, as the shift in product mix toward energy storage has a dilutive impact on margins. A recovery in marine markets has supported strong demand for Wartsila’s equipment and services. Demand is expected to remain robust due to regulatory pressure aimed at reducing the carbon footprint of the marine sector, which will create a wave of shipbuilding and retrofit activity. In addition, Wartsila’s important cruise vessel category market stands to benefit from the reactivation of vessels due to the easing of travel restrictions that will support the service business. Working capital efficiencies have placed Wartsila in a healthy financial position, ensuring the majority of profits are returned to shareholders through dividends, helping to mitigate the potential downside for shareholders if new business opportunities fail to transpire.

Financial Strengths

Wartsila is currently in a stable financial position and only has EUR 4 million of net debt. Net Gearing of 0.0 falls comfortably below the company’s target of 0.5 times. Wartsila’s conservative balance sheet has allowed the company to consistently return the majority of profits to shareholders irrespective of the cyclicality of its end markets and without compromising on investments in growth initiatives. Wartsila’s healthy balance sheet allows the company to continue to invest into the fast growing but loss-making energy storage business to help it achieve scale.

Bulls Say

  • Regulatory requirements are likely to spark a new wave in shipbuilding activity and decarbonization retrofits, which, combined with Wartsila’s investments in fuel agnostic engines, would see an increase in demand. 
  • Approximately half of the group’s sales are from aftermarket activities, which are more predictable, thus reducing the cyclicality of demand from its marine and energy end markets. 
  • The reactivation of cruise vessels driven by the removal of travel restrictions will support demand for Wartsila’s services and spare parts.

Company Description

Wartsila is a global manufacturer of critical equipment and services for the marine and energy markets with operations in over 70 countries. Approximately one half of the group’s sales are derived from the sale of services and spare parts through its network of 258 sales and service network locations. Wartsila is listed on the Nasdaq Helsinki exchange in Finland. Approximately 1 in 3 oceangoing vessels has a Wartsila solution on board, translating into an installed base of over 50,000 vessels and 10,000 customers.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.

The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice.The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.

Categories
Daily Report Financial Markets

USA Market Outlook – 28 July 2022

Categories
Technology Stocks

Seagate will try to create new growth opportunities through its module-like Lyve platform, which layers software onto multiple drives

Business Strategy and Outlook 

Seagate is a leading designer and manufacturer of hard disk drives used for data storage in consumer and enterprise applications. Seagate is successfully transitioning its portfolio to focus on mass-capacity drives for cloud providers and enterprises as consumer applications for legacy HDDs switch to faster flash-based solid-state drives. There is a continued demand for mass-capacity drives over the next five years as enterprises look to capture more data and use a multi tier storage approach, implementing both mass-capacity HDDs and smaller enterprise-grade SSDs as complements in data centres. Seagate has consistently driven costs down for its mass-capacity HDDs by advancing to larger capacities, and it will continue to do so by leveraging new technologies like heat-assisted magnetic recording. Mass-capacity HDD demand is to offset declines in consumer HDDs over the next five years, but Seagate’s drives doesn’t allow it to establish an economic moat. The HDDs are commodity like even at the enterprise level, with Seagate and Western Digital matching each other’s technological roadmaps and competing with one another for volume, preventing both from earning pricing power. In periods of tight supply and favourable pricing, the firm can earn excess returns on invested capital, but when the market hits oversupply, pricing falls, bringing Seagate’s economic profits with it.

Seagate will focus on expanding to new capacities for its enterprise drives while implementing new technologies like heat-assisted magnetic recording that will help it drive costs down and expand margins. Still, technological advancements like these will be matched by rivals and won’t shield Seagate from cyclical market downturns. Longer term, there will be demand for mass-capacity drives to slow as the cost gap with enterprise SSDs narrows further. Seagate will try to create new growth opportunities through its module-like Lyve platform, which layers software onto multiple drives, but isn’t large enough to offset a secular decline in HDD sales.

Financial Strength

Seagate to focus on generating free cash flow to finance its obligations and send capital back to shareholders. As of the end of fiscal 2022, Seagate carried $5.6 billion in gross debt and $600 million in cash. The firm is to fulfil its obligations with its free cash flow, an average of $1.6 billion in free cash flow annually through fiscal 2027, and Seagate has less than $600 million in principal due annually over the same period. If Seagate were to run into a liquidity or cash flow crunch, it has $1.5 billion available under its revolving credit facility. After paying its obligations, Seagate will focus on sending the remainder of its cash flow back to shareholders in the form of its consistent dividend and repurchase program. Seagate aims to increase its dividend by 3% annually and send 70% of free cash flow back to shareholders, inclusive of its dividend and repurchases.

Bulls Say’s

  • There is strong demand for Seagate’s nearline drives which will power mid-single-digit top-line growth in the short term as enterprises look to store the growing amount of data they generate. 
  • Advancements to larger capacities and new technologies like HAMR to modestly expand Seagate’s midcycle gross margin. 
  • Seagate has maintained a trailing 12-month dividend yield above 3% every fiscal year since 2016, making it a leader among the technology coverage.

Company Profile 

Seagate is a leading supplier of hard disk drives for data storage to the enterprise and consumer markets. It forms a practical duopoly in the market with its chief rival, Western Digital; they are both vertically integrated.

(Source: MorningStar)

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