Category: Technical Picks
Well it is very important to look at the momentum, price action and volume weighted average price of a stock other than fundamental screeners.
This is what our team has come up with another important feature for selecting the stocks on the basis of more than 10 technical screeners, which can help our investors & members to look for short term positional investing, short term trading and identifying the long term price action trends of their favourite stocks.
Business Strategy and Outlook
Synchrony partners with retailers and medical providers to offer promotional financing as well as private label and co-branded general-purpose credit cards. The company’s promotional financing and instalment loans offered through its Home and Auto segment and its CareCredit program have performed well, and receivables have been relatively resilient in the current cycle. The company’s private-label and cobranded credit cards, co-marketed through partnerships with retailers, have faced more headwinds both before and during the pandemic, and credit card receivables outstanding are well below their 2018 peak.
The company has also had to contend with the loss of Walmart in 2018 and then Gap in 2021. These were significant blows, as the Walmart credit card program was about 13% of Synchrony’s receivables at the time and the Gap credit card program was about 5%. The bank’s partnership base remains highly concentrated, with its top five partnerships accounting for nearly 50% of its revenue. The firm will likely continue to be forced to choose between revenue growth and margins as it is pressured at the negotiating table by its merchant partners.
Synchrony is also facing elevated repayment rates on the company’s cards as consumers have used fiscal stimulus money to pay down debt. This has caused the company’s loan receivables balance to stagnate and pushed down gross interest yields on the company’s credit cards. Repayment rates will likely normalize over time, as the impact of fiscal stimulus and loan forbearance fades, but in the short-term Synchrony’s net interest income will face headwinds.
The future for Synchrony is not completely bleak. New credit card programs with Venmo and Walgreens give avenues for Synchrony to restart loan growth. The company also has several successful digital retailers as partners, such as PayPal and Amazon, which will offset the damage from Synchrony’s partners in the brick-and-mortar retail space. Additionally, high repayment rates on the company’s credit cards have pushed credit costs well below historical levels, and the company has been able to release the reserves it built up during the pandemic and accelerate share repurchases.
Financial Strength
Synchrony’s financial strength allowed it to navigate a difficult economic situation in 2020 without much stress being placed on the firm. The company’s sale of its Walmart portfolio to Capital One in late 2019 came at a fortuitous time, as it removed a credit-challenged account and created an influx of additional liquidity as the company entered 2020. Additionally, during the pandemic, decreased retail sales led to portfolio runoff and lower credit card receivables. While this is undoubtedly a negative for revenue generation, it did reduce the leverage of the bank and the company has been placed in a situation where it is seeking to manage the size of its deposit base to avoid becoming overfunded.
The consequence of these events is clearly negative for the company’s income statement, as seen by Synchrony’s earnings results during 2020 and its low net interest growth since then. However, the balance sheet benefited and low receivable growth as well as low net charge-offs have allowed the firm to easily maintain that strength. The bank’s common equity Tier 1 ratio stands at 15.6%. With the bank’s allowance for bad loans at more than 10.76% of existing receivables, it is not foreseen Synchrony encountering any capital issues and there is likely room for continued shareholder returns. Even if credit conditions deteriorate or the firm sees additional retailer bankruptcies, the company is well positioned to manage it. The bank should have plenty of flexibility to respond to competitive threats and to invest in its business despite the uncertainties of the current economic cycle.
Bulls Say’s
- Synchrony enjoys long term contracts with several successful digital retailers such as Amazon and PayPal. These partnerships provide Synchrony with a source of receivable growth in a difficult environment for brick-and-mortar retailers.
- Synchrony continues to win new credit card programs, with credit cards for Venmo and Verizon being launched in 2020.
- The company’s credit cards present a compelling value for its retail partners. Struggling retailer will continue to be drawn to the incremental sales and revenue Synchrony’s credit cards provide.
Company Profile
Synchrony Financial, originally a spin-off of GE Capital’s retail financing business, is the largest provider of private-label credit cards in the United States by both outstanding receivables and purchasing volume. Synchrony partners with other firms to market its credit products in their physical stores as well as on their websites and mobile applications. Synchrony operates through three segments: retail card (private-label and co-branded general-purpose credit cards), payment solutions (promotional financing for large ticket purchases), and CareCredit (financing for elective healthcare procedures).
(Source: MorningStar)
General Advice Warning
Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.
