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3 Key Factors Affecting the Exchange Rate Fluctuations between AUD and INR

High interest rates in India attract foreign investors to earn high returns for their savings which increases demand & value of the Rupee against AUD and vice versa. Presently the cash rates are 8.5% and 2.25% for Reserve Bank of India and Reserve Bank of Australia respectively.

  1. Inflation

Inflation is general price rise over a period of time. A prices rise will buy you less i.e. it erodes the value of money over time. Presently India is facing high inflation of about 5.5% to 8.5% which decreases the demand for Rupees. And Australia facing relatively low inflation approx to 1.3% creates safer option to invest for the investor and increases demand for the AUD but the Rupee falls. Investors’ confidence changes with political stability affecting the price of currency which causes the decrease in value of the Indian currency against the AUD.

  • Balance of Payment

Rise in exports for a foreign country appreciates the value of currency of the country. If we import from Australia the payment has to be done in Australian dollars which increases the value and demand for AUD. And opposite is the case with increase in imports i.e. it will devalue the local currency. And this difference between the imports and exports for the country is termed as Balance of Payment. If the imports are greater than exports then, local currency will fall and vice versa.

India and Australia are negotiating a free trade deal that would allow goods to flow freely between the two countries without additional taxes, tariffs or import quotas. This would help in balancing import/export imbalances. As a result, the currency is anticipated to be more stable.

(Source:  Orbitremit)

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Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

Despite India’s lowest coronavirus mortality since April, the rupee bears recover 75.50

Even as the death toll in India declines, market mood dwindles amid covid troubles

The official covid data for India, obtained from the Health Ministry early Monday, indicated a 39,796 daily increase in coronavirus infections, bringing the total to 30.59 million. The bulletin also cites 723 covid-related deaths the day before, the lowest number since April 2008, bringing the overall number of fatalities to 402,278.

Statements from Barclays and Nomura predicting an increase in the current budget deficit could also be fuelling the quotation (CAD). According to Nomura, the CAD will grow from 0.9 percent of GDP in FY 2021 to 1.5 percent of GDP in FY 2022. Barclays is aiming for a 1.1 percent CAD figure, which appears to be a tad bullish on Indian economics.

USD/INR pair has reversed Friday’s decline from late-April highs.

Despite Friday’s mixed US jobs figures, a negative attitude and uncertainty over the Fed’s next moves keep the US dollar bought versus key currencies. However, S&P 500 futures are down 0.15 percent, while markets in Asia-Pacific are down somewhat as of press time.

Moving on, a prolonged holidays in the United States and a light schedule elsewhere may hold the USD/INR near the mid-72.00s. Any unexpected benefits from India, on the other hand, should not be overlooked.

Despite the fact that the mid-April lows test USD/INR bulls near 74.50-55, also short-term sellers are less inclined to take risks entry until the price stays above the 10-DMA level of 74.32. Overall, the USD/INR is forming a bullish rounding bottom chart pattern on the daily chart, implying additional upward towards the yearly top near 75.65.

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.

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Currencies Trading Ideas & Charts

In May, India Inc’s foreign borrowings fell by 51% to USD 738 million.

In May, no borrower used rupee-denominated bonds to raise cash from international markets, as in the previous month.

Among the largest borrowers were BW Global United LPG India Pvt Ltd (USD 198.41 million for capital goods imports), Renew Sun Waves (USD 140 million for new projects), and Indian Oil Corporation NSE 0.32 percent (USD 100 million for working capital requirements). According to the data, Tata SIA Airlines Ltd raised USD 110.40 million for the import of capital goods.

Source:Economic times

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.