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Technology Stocks

KBR’s portfolio transformation is the culmination of the firm’s shift away from more cyclical and lower-margin end markets

Business Strategy & Outlook

Under the leadership of CEO Stuart Bradie, who took the helm in 2014, KBR has focused on shifting its portfolio toward differentiated government solutions. The portfolio rebalancing, which included the acquisitions of Wyle and HTSI in 2016, SGT in 2018, and Centauri in 2020, has already started to bear fruit and led to improved results in recent quarters. In 2020, KBR restructured its portfolio into two segments: government solutions and sustainable technology solutions. The government solutions segment accounted for roughly 64% of the firm’s backlog as of December 2021 (compared with only about 16% as of December 2014), and the shift to long-term government contracts resulted in a more stable portfolio. The segment has some moat-forming potential based on switching costs, as many of the firm’s government contracts are multi year agreements that generate relatively stable cash flows. 

The sustainable technology solutions segment (roughly 36% of KBR’s backlog as of December 2021) includes the legacy technology solutions business (which has a unique portfolio of licensed technologies and offers consulting services across a variety of markets, including refining, petrochemicals) as well as the advisory consulting business from the legacy energy solutions segment. Management believes the segment can expand its margins through cost reductions by roughly 100-200 basis points per year, to the high teens by 2024. KBR’s portfolio transformation is the culmination of the firm’s shift away from more cyclical and lower-margin end markets. The company has exited lump-sum engineering, procurement, and construction (including LNG) projects, which will result in a less risky and more profitable portfolio.

Financial Strengths

KBR is on solid financial footing. The firm’s leverage has increased significantly in recent years as a result of acquisitions, from no long-term debt prior to 2016 to roughly $1.9 billion in long-term debt as of December 2021. That said, the company ended 2021 with $370 million in cash and equivalents and has a $1 billion revolving credit facility. Furthermore, there’s no debt maturities to pose any problems over the next few years, as no major debt payments are due until 2023. Considering that an investment-grade credit rating can have strategic importance for E&C firms and boost their competitiveness in winning new awards, KBR is to prioritize paying down its debt balance. The company will have a net debt/adjusted EBITDA ratio of roughly 1.9 times in 2022, and the leverage ratio to remain consistent with management’s 2.5-3.0 times target, which is in line with its government solutions peers. KBR will generate average annual operating cash flow of roughly $550 million over the next five years. Management has indicated that it will prioritize maintaining an appropriate leverage ratio, maintaining a dividend, and investing in organic growth, with excess capital allocated to potential M&A opportunities and share repurchases.

Bulls Say

  • KBR’s sustainable technology solutions segment is well positioned to benefit from growing demand for solutions that address energy efficiency and energy transition.
  • The acquisitions of Wyle, HTSI, SGT, and Centauri have derisked KBR’s portfolio and shifted it toward relatively stable and high-margin government services work. 
  • There is room for margin expansion in both segments, driven by cost reductions and mix shift to higher-margin differentiated solutions work.    

Company Description

KBR (formerly Kellogg, Brown & Root) is a global provider of technology, integrated engineering, procurement, and construction delivery, and operations and maintenance services. The company’s business is organized into two segments: government solutions and sustainable technology solutions. KBR has customers in more than 75 countries, with operations in 40, and employs 36,000 people. The firm generated $7.3 billion in revenue in 2021.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice. The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

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Categories
Technology Stocks

Idex has consistently generated returns on invested capital in the upper mid-teens

Business Strategy & Outlook

Idex owns a collection of moaty businesses that tend to be leaders in their respective niche end markets, typically holding the number-one or -two market share. It manufactures a wide array of products, ranging from equipment used in DNA sequencing to wastewater pumps to Jaws of Life hydraulic rescue tools. Idex’s lean manufacturing process allows it to effectively operate in a high-mix and low-volume environment, offering customers a wide variety of highly engineered products that are configurable or customizable. Furthermore, a common theme across its businesses is that they specialize in making mission-critical equipment that performs a vital function but typically constitutes a small part of the customer’s total bill of materials. This aspect of the business contributes to Idex’s narrow moat through customer switching costs and allows the firm to command premium pricing. In the long run, Idex is a GDP-plus business. The organic sales growth will continue to outpace industrial production by around 1%-2% annually as the firm’s commitment to innovation and investments in research and development continue to bear fruit and generate additional revenue through introductions of new or refreshed products. Organic sales are to grow at a roughly low-single-digit clip in fluid and metering technologies as well as the fire and safety segment and the diversified products segment, and at a mid-single-digit rate in the health and science technologies segment.

Additionally, the firm will continue to supplement its organic sales growth with acquisitions. Historically, management has avoided overpaying for acquisitions. As such, despite regular mergers and acquisitions, which add goodwill and assets to the firm’s capital base, Idex has consistently generated returns on invested capital in the upper mid-teens. Management has remained disciplined in the current elevated valuation environment, and it will continue to manage acquisition risk appropriately and focus on

Financial Strengths

Idex maintains a sound capital structure, which will help the firm navigate the uncertainty due to the coronavirus pandemic. As of Dec. 31, 2021, the firm owed roughly $1.2 billion in short- and long-term debt while holding approximately $0.9 billion in cash and cash equivalents. The company can also tap into its $800 million revolving credit facility. Idex will generate average annual operating cash flows of roughly $800 million over the next five years. Given its healthy balance sheet and solid cash flow generation, Idex is adequately capitalized to meet its upcoming debt obligations. Idex will have a debt/adjusted EBITDA ratio of roughly 1.5 times in 2022.The management will continue to prioritize investing in organic growth and executing M&A, growing the dividend, and allocating excess capital to opportunistic share repurchases. The firm has raised its quarterly dividend by an average annual rate of roughly 10% over the last five years, and the dividend will keep growing roughly in line with earnings. The payout ratio will remain around 30% over the next five years.

Bulls Say

 
  • Idex generates strong free cash flows, which have averaged around 16.5% of sales during the last 10 years.
  • Recent acquisitions of Akron Brass and AWG, as well as new product introductions (including eDraulic and SAM), have reinforced Indexes already strong competitive position in the fire and safety business. 
  •  Idex has a portfolio of moaty businesses that have leading shares in niche end markets.

Company Description

Idex manufactures pumps, flow meters, valves, and fluidic systems for customers in a variety of end markets, including industrial, fire and safety, life science, and water. The firm’s business is organized into three segments: fluid and metering technologies, health and science technologies, and fire and safety and diversified products. Based in Lake Forest, Illinois, Idex has manufacturing operations in over 20 countries and has over 7,000 employees. The company generated $2.8 billion in revenue and $661 million in adjusted operating income in 2021.

(Source: Morningstar)

DISCLAIMER for General Advice: (This document is for general advice only).

This document is provided by Laverne Securities Pty Ltd T/as Laverne Investing. Laverne Securities Pty Ltd, CAR 001269781 of Laverne Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 482937.The material in this document may contain general advice or recommendations which, while believed to be accurate at the time of publication, are not appropriate for all persons or accounts. This document does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require.  The material contained in this document does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation, and needs. The material contained in this document is for sales purposes. The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of securities or financial products and neither or anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment and recipients should seek independent advice. The material in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be true but neither Laverne and Banyan Tree nor its associates make any recommendation or warranty concerning the accuracy or reliability or completeness of the information or the performance of the companies referred to in this document. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Any opinions and or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and, Laverne and Banyan Tree are not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.

Laverne and Banyan Tree and its respective officers may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Laverne and Banyan Tree do and seek to do business with companies that are the subject of its research reports. The analyst(s) hereby certify that all the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject investment theme and/or company securities.

Although every attempt has been made to verify the accuracy of the information contained in the document, liability for any errors or omissions (except any statutory liability which cannot be excluded) is specifically excluded by Laverne and Banyan Tree, its associates, officers, directors, employees, and agents.  Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Laverne and Banyan Tree, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.  Recipients of this document agree in advance that Laverne and Banyan Tree are not liable to recipients in any matters whatsoever otherwise; recipients should disregard, destroy or delete this document. All information is correct at the time of publication. Laverne and Banyan Tree do not guarantee reliability and accuracy of the material contained in this document and are not liable for any unintentional errors in the document.

The securities of any company(ies) mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Laverne and Banyan Tree.