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Commodities Trading Ideas & Charts

Strong Fiscal 2021 Trends Persist Into First-Quarter Fiscal 2022

While dominating the fragmented Australian market, and being a large global player in commodity and environmental testing, it is trumped by the majors, Bureau Veritas, SGS, and Intertek in nondestructive testing and inspection. Services include laboratory testing for the mineral, coal, environmental, food, and pharmaceutical segments.

Excellent reputation, technical capabilities, a global network, and established relationships with global clients are key advantages over often fragmented competitors.ALS’ global network of more than 350 laboratories provides a geographically diverse revenue base: 37% Asia-Pacific, 36% Americas, 24% EMENA, and the balance Africa. This global network reduces region reliance and gives it the capability to leverage experience across borders and serve an international client base.

Financial Strength

ALS is in only reasonable financial health. At the end of fiscal 2015, acquisitions and capital expenditure had pushed net debt to AUD 776 million and gearing (net debt/equity) to 63%. A subsequent AUD 325 million capital raising meant gearing fell to near 40% and net debt/EBITDA from 2.6 times to a manageable 2.0 times. Incremental acquisitions in the life sciences segment’s EBITDA had been accompanied by a sharp rise in group net debt. This has since been paid down to AUD 675 million at end-March 2021. Somewhat elevated leverage (ND/ND+E) of 36% reflects ongoing incremental acquisitions in the life sciences segment, albeit within the limits of ALS’ sub-45% target ratio. Fiscal 2021 net debt/EBITDA of 1.6 is reasonable.

Bulls Say’s

  • ALS has diversified the earnings base to mitigate exposure to highly cyclical commodity markets. Expansion into food and pharma testing, as well as inspection and certification markets, should provide growth despite a significant slowdown in minerals testing.
  • Large clients are unlikely to move away on price alone, with quality and skills essential requirements.
  • Exposure to mineral and coal testing could once again provide earnings growth if the global economy’s appetite for commodities increases.

Company Profile 

Founded in the 1880s and listing on the ASX in 1952, ALS operates three divisions: commodities, life sciences, and industrial. ALS commodities traditionally generated the majority of underlying earnings, providing geochemistry, metallurgy, inspection and mine site services for the global mining industry. Expansion into environmental, pharmaceutical and food testing areas and commodity price weakness have lessened earnings exposure to commodities.

General Advice Warning

Any advice/ information provided is general in nature only and does not take into account the personal financial situation, objectives or needs of any particular person.