Thomson Reuter’s Focus on Streamlining Its Business Sets the Stage for Strong EBITDA Growth

Business Strategy & Outlook:

For most of the 2010s, Thomson Reuters was a laggard relative to its information services peers, in our view. Since deciding to spin off its Refinitiv financial and risk operations to London-based LSE Group, we believe the firm has gained more focus. Some of its past offerings have been clunky, and we believe efforts to streamline its business should lead to meaningful margin expansion and higher retention in the years ahead. We view Thomson Reuters’ legal offerings as the firm’s crown jewel. The company’s Westlaw offering serves as an important research service for lawyers. Thomson Reuters’ main competitor in the space is RELX’s LexisNexis, but given the critical nature of the information being sought, many law firms subscribe to both services.

The firm’s other two main businesses are its corporate and tax and accounting segments. We believe these three units will constitute the core of Thomson Reuters’ operations going forward, as the other two segments are news, which operates with razor-thin margins, and print, which is in runoff. The new Thomson Reuters is poised to operate as more of an operating company and less of a holding company, the merits of which we appreciate. The firm should be able to double down on industry-leading software like Westlaw in the legal segment and Checkpoint in tax and accounting, leveraging a customer base that includes the Big Four global accounting firms and virtually all the top 100 U.S. legal and accounting firms in some capacity. In our view, the stickiness of the firm’s products in legal and accounting (which overlap almost completely with corporate) should help Reuters navigate a piecemeal pivot to cloud software, or SaaS offerings, with minimal attrition

Financial Strengths:

At the end of 2021, the company had a net debt/EBITDA ratio (the value of debt obligations outstanding less cash and equivalents divided by adjusted EBITDA) of 1.6 times, a substantial improvement from 2016, when debt stood at about 2.5 times EBITDA. Total debt outstanding was $3.7 billion with $0.8 billion in cash. The firm has no maturities until November 2023. We expect that over time, Thomson Reuters will reduce its stake in LSE Group and use its proceeds for activities that better align with the firm’s strategy. Thomson Reuters has the ability to sell to cover tax gains, but after that, it can begin to sell batches of LSE Group stock. We expect the firm to look for acquisition opportunities. Notably, its government business is a fast grower and the firm could enhance its government offerings with acquisitions. We believe the firm has ample capacity to pursue acquisitions.

Bulls Say:

The pivot to a software-intensive model could lower customer acquisition costs, allowing the firm to drive growth through previously inaccessible small and midsize legal and tax firms.
Increasing regulatory complexity and requirements for a library of previous years of regulations increase barriers to entry, reduce competition, and strengthen advantages in the legal and tax and accounting segments.
A renewed focus and new management following the Refinitiv divestment could see margins improve, driving profitability.

Company Description:

Thomson Reuters is the result of the $17.6 billion megamerger of Canada’s Thomson and the United Kingdom’s Reuters Group in 2008 and the 2018 carve-out of its finance and risk business, Refinitiv, in which it holds a 45% stake. In 2019, the company agreed to exchange its 45% stake in Refinitiv for a 15% stake in LSE, which closed in early 2021. Since the divestiture, the company is more concentrated on selling its flagship legal data and software, Westlaw, and its tax accounting software, Onesource. Reuters sees roughly 80% of revenue and 70% of expenses attributed to the United States, while the remainder (largely through the global print and Reuters News segments) is distributed across Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.

(Source: Morningstar)

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